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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
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Viking FK v Lillestrom

Início: 2026-09-20 15:00 UTC

Final: Viking FK 3–0 Lillestrom

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Viking FK (Local)

Previsão 72.89%1.37odd justa
EV -0.876%
Vantagem -0.644%
Kelly -2.43%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.36

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
69.78%72.78%72.76%74.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.211.281.291.3682.64%78.35%77.82%73.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Lillestrom (Visitante)

Previsão 11.60%8.62odd justa
EV +14.85%
Vantagem +1.50%
Kelly +1.67%
Crescimento +0.248%

pressupondo odds máximas de 9.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
9.65%11.58%11.67%13.85%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
6.507.878.009.9015.38%12.71%12.50%10.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 15.51%6.45odd justa
EV -0.400%
Vantagem -0.062%
Kelly -0.074%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.42

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
14.57%15.64%15.57%18.20%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.005.765.726.4220.00%17.35%17.47%15.58%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Viking FK (Local): 72.89%; Lillestrom (Visitante): 11.60%; Empate: 15.51%. Para Lillestrom (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 8.62. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 9.90, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +14.85%.

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.34%EV -3.79%E -2.87%K -11.85%G +0.000%9.90I 10.10%NM 9.65%EV +14.85%E +1.50%K +1.67%G +0.248%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.02%EV -17.78%E -3.35%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-20 14:49
NordicBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.18%EV -5.25%E -4.04%K -17.50%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.77%EV +11.37%E +1.18%K +1.32%G +0.150%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.05%EV -19.33%E -3.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 14:49
Coolbet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.60%EV -3.79%E -2.87%K -11.85%G +0.000%8.85I 11.30%NM 10.98%EV +2.67%E +0.301%K +0.340%G +0.009%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.42%EV -2.26%E -0.359%K -0.427%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-20 14:39
1xBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.16%EV -5.98%E -4.63%K -20.61%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.93%EV +1.51%E +0.172%K +0.194%G +0.003%6.42I 15.58%NM 14.90%EV -0.400%E -0.062%K -0.074%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-20 14:54
Pinnacle🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.67%EV -4.52%E -3.45%K -14.58%G +0.000%8.56I 11.68%NM 11.27%EV -0.697%E -0.081%K -0.092%G +0.000%6.41I 15.60%NM 15.06%EV -0.555%E -0.087%K -0.103%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-20 14:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.47%EV -7.44%E -5.85%K -27.54%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -1.39%E -0.164%K -0.186%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -6.92%E -1.15%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 14:49
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.78%EV -8.89%E -7.11%K -35.57%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -1.39%E -0.164%K -0.186%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -6.92%E -1.15%K -1.38%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 14:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.78%EV -8.89%E -7.11%K -35.57%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -1.39%E -0.164%K -0.186%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -6.92%E -1.15%K -1.38%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 14:54
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -8.89%E -7.11%K -35.57%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -1.39%E -0.164%K -0.186%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.59%EV -8.47%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 14:54
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -8.89%E -7.11%K -35.57%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -1.39%E -0.164%K -0.186%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -10.79%E -1.88%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 14:40
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.09%EV -6.71%E -5.24%K -23.95%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -1.39%E -0.164%K -0.186%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -22.43%E -4.49%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-20 14:49
betano_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.25%EV -11.08%E -9.08%K -50.36%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.66%EV -1.39%E -0.164%K -0.186%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -6.92%E -1.15%K -1.38%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 14:53
Marathon Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.81%EV -8.16%E -6.48%K -31.40%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.07%EV -2.55%E -0.304%K -0.345%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.12%EV -4.59%E -0.746%K -0.891%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 14:49
GTbets🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.37%EV -0.876%E -0.644%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.14I 12.29%NM 11.92%EV -5.57%E -0.684%K -0.780%G +0.000%5.81I 17.21%NM 16.71%EV -9.86%E -1.70%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-20 14:49
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -5.98%E -4.63%K -20.61%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -7.19%E -0.899%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -6.92%E -1.15%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 14:49
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -5.98%E -4.63%K -20.61%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -7.19%E -0.899%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -6.92%E -1.15%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 14:49
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.70%EV -5.25%E -4.04%K -17.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -7.19%E -0.899%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -13.12%E -2.34%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 14:49
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.70%EV -5.25%E -4.04%K -17.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -7.19%E -0.899%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -13.12%E -2.34%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 14:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.70%EV -5.25%E -4.04%K -17.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -7.19%E -0.899%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -13.12%E -2.34%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 14:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.70%EV -5.25%E -4.04%K -17.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -7.19%E -0.899%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -13.12%E -2.34%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 14:49
Casumo🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.70%EV -5.25%E -4.04%K -17.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -7.19%E -0.899%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -13.12%E -2.34%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 14:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.70%EV -5.25%E -4.04%K -17.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -7.19%E -0.899%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -13.12%E -2.34%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 14:49
Grosvenor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.70%EV -5.25%E -4.04%K -17.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -7.19%E -0.899%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -13.12%E -2.34%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 14:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.70%EV -5.25%E -4.04%K -17.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -7.19%E -0.899%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -13.12%E -2.34%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 14:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.70%EV -5.25%E -4.04%K -17.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -7.19%E -0.899%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -13.12%E -2.34%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 14:49
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.70%EV -5.25%E -4.04%K -17.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -7.19%E -0.899%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -13.12%E -2.34%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 14:49
Bovada🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.82%EV -6.71%E -5.24%K -23.95%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -7.19%E -0.899%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -6.92%E -1.15%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 14:53
FanDuel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.97%EV -7.44%E -5.85%K -27.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -7.19%E -0.899%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -6.92%E -1.15%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-20 14:54
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -11.08%E -9.08%K -50.36%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -7.19%E -0.899%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -14.67%E -2.67%K -3.26%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-20 14:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.43%EV -8.89%E -7.11%K -35.57%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.77%EV -9.51%E -1.22%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.80%EV -3.81%E -0.615%K -0.733%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-20 14:34
Betclic (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.30%EV -11.08%E -9.08%K -50.36%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.54%EV -10.09%E -1.30%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.16%EV -8.47%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-20 14:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.43%EV -5.25%E -4.04%K -17.50%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.39%EV -11.83%E -1.56%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.19%EV -3.81%E -0.615%K -0.733%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 14:53
BetOnline.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.43%EV -5.25%E -4.04%K -17.50%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.39%EV -11.83%E -1.56%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.19%EV -3.81%E -0.615%K -0.733%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 14:54
BetUS🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.43%EV -5.25%E -4.04%K -17.50%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.39%EV -11.83%E -1.56%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.19%EV -3.81%E -0.615%K -0.733%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 14:54
BetAnything🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.43%EV -5.25%E -4.04%K -17.50%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.39%EV -11.83%E -1.56%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.19%EV -3.81%E -0.615%K -0.733%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 14:54
Codere (IT)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.46%EV -8.89%E -7.11%K -35.57%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 11.92%EV -11.83%E -1.56%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.62%EV -10.02%E -1.73%K -2.09%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 14:54
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.79%EV -4.52%E -3.45%K -14.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV -12.99%E -1.73%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.67%EV -6.92%E -1.15%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 14:43
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.62%EV -5.98%E -4.63%K -20.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -12.99%E -1.73%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -10.79%E -1.88%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-20 14:49
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.10%EV -5.98%E -4.63%K -20.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -12.99%E -1.73%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -14.67%E -2.67%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-20 14:54
LeoVegas🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.57%EV -8.16%E -6.48%K -31.40%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -12.99%E -1.73%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -6.92%E -1.15%K -1.38%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 14:54
TABtouch🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 70.97%EV -7.44%E -5.85%K -27.54%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -12.99%E -1.73%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.01%EV -17.78%E -3.35%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-20 14:49
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -8.89%E -7.11%K -35.57%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -12.99%E -1.73%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -14.67%E -2.67%K -3.26%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-20 14:54
Bet Right🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 71.90%EV -9.62%E -7.76%K -40.09%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.89%EV -12.99%E -1.73%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.21%EV -14.67%E -2.67%K -3.26%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-20 14:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.19%EV -8.89%E -7.11%K -35.57%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.86%EV -12.99%E -1.73%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -18.55%E -3.53%K -4.37%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-20 14:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.19%EV -8.89%E -7.11%K -35.57%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.86%EV -12.99%E -1.73%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -18.55%E -3.53%K -4.37%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-20 14:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.19%EV -8.89%E -7.11%K -35.57%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.86%EV -12.99%E -1.73%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -18.55%E -3.53%K -4.37%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-20 14:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 72.69%EV -11.81%E -9.76%K -56.23%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 11.89%EV -14.15%E -1.91%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.43%EV -11.57%E -2.03%K -2.46%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-20 14:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.86%EV -8.89%E -7.11%K -35.57%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.56%EV -15.89%E -2.19%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -3.04%E -0.486%K -0.579%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 14:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 72.26%EV -9.62%E -7.76%K -40.09%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -18.79%E -2.68%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.93%EV -6.92%E -1.15%K -1.38%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-20 14:49
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 71.63%EV -11.08%E -9.08%K -50.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.48%EV -18.79%E -2.68%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.89%EV -14.67%E -2.67%K -3.26%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-20 14:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.78%EV -5.98%E -4.63%K -20.61%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.85%EV -24.60%E -3.78%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -14.67%E -2.67%K -3.26%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 14:39
Neds🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.78%EV -5.98%E -4.63%K -20.61%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.85%EV -24.60%E -3.78%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -14.67%E -2.67%K -3.26%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 14:39
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 69.95%EV -6.71%E -5.24%K -23.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.77%EV -24.60%E -3.78%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.28%EV -14.67%E -2.67%K -3.26%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-20 14:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 69.95%EV -6.71%E -5.24%K -23.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.77%EV -24.60%E -3.78%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.28%EV -14.67%E -2.67%K -3.26%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-20 14:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.96%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.38%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.66%0.3%2026-09-20 14:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.96%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.38%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.66%0.3%2026-09-20 14:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.96%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.38%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.66%0.3%2026-09-20 14:54
Matchbook◎1.32I 75.76%NM 75.26%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.14%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.61%0.7%2026-09-20 14:54
Smarkets◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.43%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.10%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%1.0%2026-09-20 14:54