Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Viking FK v Lillestrom

2026-09-20 15:00 UTC — Eliteserien - Norway

Résultat du match

33 opérateurs (10 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Viking FK (Local)

Prévision 62.46%1.60cote équitable
EV -5.07%
Avantage -3.33%
Kelly -9.75%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.52

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.75%62.54%62.36%63.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.371.461.471.5272.99%68.65%68.03%65.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Lillestrom (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.42%5.74cote équitable
EV +0.160%
Avantage +0.028%
Kelly +0.034%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.30%17.34%17.51%18.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.605.355.405.7521.74%18.69%18.52%17.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 20.13%4.97cote équitable
EV -2.99%
Avantage -0.621%
Kelly -0.784%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.66%20.12%20.12%20.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.204.544.504.8223.81%22.01%22.22%20.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Viking FK (Local) : 62.46% ; Lillestrom (Visiteur) : 17.42% ; Match nul : 20.13%. Pour Lillestrom (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 5.74. 8 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 5.75, pour une espérance positive de +0.160%.

Cotes des opérateurs (33 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.76%EV -8.19%E -5.57%K -17.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV +0.160%E +0.028%K +0.034%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -5.41%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 15:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.76%EV -8.19%E -5.57%K -17.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV +0.160%E +0.028%K +0.034%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -5.41%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 15:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.76%EV -8.19%E -5.57%K -17.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV +0.160%E +0.028%K +0.034%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -5.41%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 15:05
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.76%EV -8.19%E -5.57%K -17.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV +0.160%E +0.028%K +0.034%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -5.41%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 15:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.76%EV -8.19%E -5.57%K -17.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV +0.160%E +0.028%K +0.034%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -5.41%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 15:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.76%EV -8.19%E -5.57%K -17.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV +0.160%E +0.028%K +0.034%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -5.41%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 15:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.76%EV -8.19%E -5.57%K -17.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV +0.160%E +0.028%K +0.034%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -5.41%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 15:05
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.76%EV -8.19%E -5.57%K -17.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV +0.160%E +0.028%K +0.034%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -5.41%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 15:06
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.78%EV -7.57%E -5.11%K -15.76%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.56%EV -0.711%E -0.125%K -0.151%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -3.40%E -0.708%K -0.894%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 16:15
Pinnacle🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.27%EV -6.32%E -4.21%K -12.63%G +0.000%5.57I 17.95%NM 17.04%EV -2.98%E -0.534%K -0.651%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.69%EV -2.99%E -0.621%K -0.784%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 16:30
1xBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.68%EV -5.07%E -3.33%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.52I 18.12%NM 17.26%EV -3.85%E -0.697%K -0.851%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.06%EV -4.40%E -0.927%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 16:20
SportsBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.45%EV -8.82%E -6.04%K -19.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -4.20%E -0.763%K -0.932%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.71%EV -5.41%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 16:21
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -10.06%E -6.99%K -22.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -4.20%E -0.763%K -0.932%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -9.43%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-13 15:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.64%EV -6.94%E -4.66%K -14.17%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -5.94%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.07%EV -6.41%E -1.38%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 16:20
Unibet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.03%EV -10.06%E -6.99%K -22.87%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV -5.94%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.17%EV -9.43%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 15:06
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.19%EV -10.69%E -7.47%K -24.86%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -5.94%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -9.43%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 15:05
TABtouch🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.06%EV -11.31%E -7.97%K -26.94%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.58%EV -5.94%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.35%EV -11.45%E -2.60%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-13 15:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 63.03%EV -11.94%E -8.47%K -29.12%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.77%EV -7.68%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.20%EV -11.45%E -2.60%K -3.37%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-13 15:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 63.03%EV -11.94%E -8.47%K -29.12%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.77%EV -7.68%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.20%EV -11.45%E -2.60%K -3.37%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-13 15:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 63.03%EV -11.94%E -8.47%K -29.12%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.77%EV -7.68%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.20%EV -11.45%E -2.60%K -3.37%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-13 15:05
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.20%EV -6.94%E -4.66%K -14.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -8.55%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.15%EV -7.42%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 17:45
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -6.32%E -4.21%K -12.63%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -8.55%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -9.43%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 16:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.36%EV -7.57%E -5.11%K -15.76%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -8.55%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -7.42%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-13 15:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.30%EV -8.82%E -6.04%K -19.16%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.49%EV -9.42%E -1.81%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -9.43%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-13 15:20
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.85%EV -8.19%E -5.57%K -17.43%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.48%EV -9.42%E -1.81%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -11.45%E -2.60%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 15:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -6.32%E -4.21%K -12.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -12.90%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -9.43%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 18:30
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -6.32%E -4.21%K -12.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -12.90%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -11.45%E -2.60%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-13 16:21
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -10.06%E -6.99%K -22.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.90%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -9.43%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-13 16:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 62.12%EV -11.94%E -8.47%K -29.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.52%EV -12.90%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.37%EV -13.46%E -3.13%K -4.08%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-13 15:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 62.79%EV -14.44%E -10.54%K -39.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.20%EV -12.90%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.01%EV -13.46%E -3.13%K -4.08%G +0.000%16.2%2026-09-13 15:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.62%EV -10.69%E -7.47%K -24.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.36%EV -16.39%E -3.41%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.03%EV -11.45%E -2.60%K -3.37%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-13 15:20
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.75%EV -10.06%E -6.99%K -22.87%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.42%EV -17.26%E -3.63%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -15.47%E -3.68%K -4.83%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-13 16:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 61.18%EV -11.94%E -8.47%K -29.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.75%EV -19.87%E -4.32%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.06%EV -13.46%E -3.13%K -4.08%G +0.000%15.9%2026-09-13 15:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.