Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.98
assuming max odds 3.71
assuming max odds 4.20
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vålerenga (Local): 49.29%; Sandefjord (Visit): 26.52%; Draw: 24.19%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.13. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.59%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.01%EV -2.40%E -1.21%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.89%EV -7.72%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.10%EV +1.59%E +0.379%K +0.497%G +0.008% | 3.1% | 2026-03-15 15:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.22%EV -6.34%E -3.34%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -4.53%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.27%EV -0.829%E -0.202%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-15 15:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.22%EV -6.34%E -3.34%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -4.53%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.27%EV -0.829%E -0.202%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-15 15:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.14%EV -4.86%E -2.52%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 26.08%EV -1.62%E -0.436%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.78%EV -1.55%E -0.382%K -0.506%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-15 15:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.96%EV -6.34%E -3.34%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.37%EV -4.53%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.67%EV -3.01%E -0.750%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-15 15:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.50%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -4.53%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -5.67%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-15 15:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -7.82%E -4.18%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -1.88%E -0.508%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.16%EV -5.67%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-15 15:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.07%EV -7.33%E -3.90%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -3.21%E -0.879%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.67%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-15 15:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.07%EV -7.33%E -3.90%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -3.21%E -0.879%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.67%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-15 15:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -3.88%E -1.99%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.84%E -2.89%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -5.67%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-15 15:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -3.88%E -1.99%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.84%E -2.89%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -5.67%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-15 15:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -3.88%E -1.99%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.84%E -2.89%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -5.67%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-15 15:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -3.88%E -1.99%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.84%E -2.89%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -5.67%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-15 15:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -3.88%E -1.99%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.84%E -2.89%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -5.67%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-15 15:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -3.88%E -1.99%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.84%E -2.89%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -5.67%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-15 15:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -5.67%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-15 15:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -6.34%E -3.34%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 26.91%EV -7.98%E -2.30%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -5.67%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-15 14:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.29%EV -4.86%E -2.52%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -11.16%E -3.33%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -5.67%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-15 15:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.29%EV -4.86%E -2.52%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -11.16%E -3.33%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -5.67%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-15 15:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -4.86%E -2.52%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -11.16%E -3.33%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -6.88%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-15 15:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -4.86%E -2.52%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -11.16%E -3.33%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -6.88%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-15 15:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.59%EV -7.33%E -3.90%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -12.49%E -3.78%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -6.88%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-15 15:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.09%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-15 15:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.09%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-15 15:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -7.33%E -3.90%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -8.09%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-15 15:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -7.82%E -4.18%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -8.09%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-15 15:52 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -7.82%E -4.18%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -8.09%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-15 15:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -7.82%E -4.18%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -8.09%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-15 15:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -9.79%E -5.35%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -4.53%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -8.09%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-15 15:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -12.49%E -3.78%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -8.09%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-15 15:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.10%EV -6.84%E -3.62%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.97%EV -13.81%E -4.25%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -8.09%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-15 15:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.10%EV -6.84%E -3.62%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.97%EV -13.81%E -4.25%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -8.09%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-15 15:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -7.33%E -3.90%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.75%EV -4.00%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.66%EV -8.57%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-15 15:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.68%EV -7.33%E -3.90%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.84%E -2.89%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -9.29%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-15 15:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -8.81%E -4.76%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -9.29%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-15 15:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -8.81%E -4.76%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -9.29%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-15 15:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -9.79%E -5.35%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.29%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-15 15:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.54%EV -9.79%E -5.35%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.28%EV -8.51%E -2.47%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.18%EV -9.29%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-15 15:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.21%EV -7.82%E -4.18%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -13.81%E -4.25%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -9.29%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-15 15:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -10.50%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-15 15:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.33%EV -7.33%E -3.90%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -11.16%E -3.33%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.55%EV -10.50%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-15 15:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.57%EV -9.79%E -5.35%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -10.50%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-15 15:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -8.81%E -4.76%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -9.84%E -2.89%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -10.50%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-15 15:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.32%EV -10.29%E -5.65%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.92%EV -16.47%E -5.23%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -10.50%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-15 15:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.57%EV -12.75%E -7.20%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.59%EV -12.49%E -3.78%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 23.84%EV -10.99%E -2.99%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-15 15:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -9.79%E -5.35%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -9.84%E -2.89%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -12.92%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-15 15:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.48%EV -11.27%E -6.26%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -15.14%E -4.73%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -12.92%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-03-15 15:35 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 48.46%EV -11.76%E -6.57%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.11%EV -15.14%E -4.73%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.43%EV -14.13%E -3.98%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-03-15 15:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.81%E -4.76%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.84%E -2.89%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -15.34%E -4.38%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-15 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.81%E -4.76%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.84%E -2.89%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -15.34%E -4.38%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-15 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.81%E -4.76%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.84%E -2.89%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -15.34%E -4.38%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-15 15:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.81%E -4.76%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.84%E -2.89%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -15.34%E -4.38%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-15 15:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 49.43%EV -16.20%E -9.53%K -23.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.86%EV -13.81%E -4.25%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.71%EV -17.76%E -5.22%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 19.0% | 2026-03-15 15:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.80%EV -11.27%E -6.26%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.31%EV -9.84%E -2.89%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.89%EV -22.60%E -7.06%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-03-15 15:45 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.65% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.13% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-03-15 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.49% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.37% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14% | 1.1% | 2026-03-15 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.49% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.37% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14% | 1.1% | 2026-03-15 15:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.62% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.31% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07% | 1.3% | 2026-03-15 15:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.28% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.34% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39% | 2.5% | 2026-03-15 15:55 |