La escuela de los momios

Vålerenga v Sandefjord

Inicio: 2026-03-15 16:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Vålerenga (Local)

Predicción 49.29%2.03momio equitativo
EV -2.40%
Ventaja -1.21%
Kelly -2.45%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.98

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.80%49.28%49.25%50.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.881.881.9858.82%53.22%53.19%50.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Sandefjord (Visitante)

Predicción 26.52%3.77momio equitativo
EV -1.62%
Ventaja -0.436%
Kelly -0.596%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.71

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.31%26.58%26.53%27.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.153.443.403.7131.75%29.11%29.41%26.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.19%4.13momio equitativo
EV +1.59%
Ventaja +0.379%
Kelly +0.497%
Crecimiento +0.008%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.10%24.14%24.22%26.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.793.804.2031.25%26.41%26.32%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Coolbet1.98I 50.51%NM 49.01%EV -2.40%E -1.21%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.89%EV -7.72%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.10%EV +1.59%E +0.379%K +0.497%G +0.008%3.1%2026-03-15 15:10
BetOnline.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 50.22%EV -6.34%E -3.34%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -4.53%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.27%EV -0.829%E -0.202%K -0.267%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 15:35
LowVig.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 50.22%EV -6.34%E -3.34%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -4.53%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.27%EV -0.829%E -0.202%K -0.267%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 15:35
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 50.14%EV -4.86%E -2.52%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.08%EV -1.62%E -0.436%K -0.596%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.78%EV -1.55%E -0.382%K -0.506%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-15 15:55
1xBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.96%EV -6.34%E -3.34%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.37%EV -4.53%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.67%EV -3.01%E -0.750%K -0.999%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 15:55
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.50%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -4.53%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -5.67%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 15:45
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -7.82%E -4.18%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -1.88%E -0.508%K -0.697%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.16%EV -5.67%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 15:44
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.07%EV -7.33%E -3.90%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -3.21%E -0.879%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.67%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 15:45
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 50.07%EV -7.33%E -3.90%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -3.21%E -0.879%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.67%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 15:45
betPARX1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -3.88%E -1.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.84%E -2.89%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -5.67%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 15:45
Casumo1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -3.88%E -1.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.84%E -2.89%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -5.67%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 15:45
Unibet (NL)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -3.88%E -1.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.84%E -2.89%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -5.67%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 15:45
Unibet (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -3.88%E -1.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.84%E -2.89%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -5.67%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 15:45
ATG (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -3.88%E -1.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.84%E -2.89%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -5.67%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 15:45
Svenska Spel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -3.88%E -1.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.84%E -2.89%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -5.67%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 15:45
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -5.67%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 15:35
GTbets1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -6.34%E -3.34%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.91%EV -7.98%E -2.30%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -5.67%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 14:55
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 48.29%EV -4.86%E -2.52%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -11.16%E -3.33%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -5.67%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 15:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.29%EV -4.86%E -2.52%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -11.16%E -3.33%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -5.67%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 15:45
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -4.86%E -2.52%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -11.16%E -3.33%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -6.88%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 15:45
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -4.86%E -2.52%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -11.16%E -3.33%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -6.88%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 15:45
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.59%EV -7.33%E -3.90%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -12.49%E -3.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -6.88%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 15:35
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.09%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 15:35
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.09%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 15:45
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -7.33%E -3.90%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -8.09%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 15:50
Bovada1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -7.82%E -4.18%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -8.09%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 15:52
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -7.82%E -4.18%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -8.09%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 15:55
BetAnything1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -7.82%E -4.18%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -8.09%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 15:55
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -9.79%E -5.35%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -4.53%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -8.09%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 15:50
TABtouch1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -12.49%E -3.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -8.09%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 15:45
Virgin Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 48.10%EV -6.84%E -3.62%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.97%EV -13.81%E -4.25%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -8.09%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 15:45
LiveScore Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 48.10%EV -6.84%E -3.62%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.97%EV -13.81%E -4.25%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -8.09%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 15:45
Marathon Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -7.33%E -3.90%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.75%EV -4.00%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.66%EV -8.57%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 15:50
Bet Right1.88I 53.19%NM 48.68%EV -7.33%E -3.90%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.84%E -2.89%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -9.29%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-15 15:45
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -8.81%E -4.76%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -9.29%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-15 15:45
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -8.81%E -4.76%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -9.29%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-15 15:50
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -9.79%E -5.35%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.29%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 15:55
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 49.54%EV -9.79%E -5.35%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.28%EV -8.51%E -2.47%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.18%EV -9.29%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 15:35
LeoVegas1.87I 53.48%NM 48.21%EV -7.82%E -4.18%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -13.81%E -4.25%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -9.29%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-15 15:45
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -10.50%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 15:35
Codere (IT)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.33%EV -7.33%E -3.90%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -11.16%E -3.33%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.55%EV -10.50%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-15 15:35
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 49.57%EV -9.79%E -5.35%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -10.50%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 15:45
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -8.81%E -4.76%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -9.84%E -2.89%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -10.50%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-15 15:45
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.32%EV -10.29%E -5.65%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.92%EV -16.47%E -5.23%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -10.50%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-15 15:35
Betclic (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 49.57%EV -12.75%E -7.20%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.59%EV -12.49%E -3.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 23.84%EV -10.99%E -2.99%K -4.10%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-15 15:34
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -9.79%E -5.35%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -9.84%E -2.89%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -12.92%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-15 15:45
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 48.48%EV -11.27%E -6.26%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -15.14%E -4.73%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -12.92%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-15 15:35
Parions Sport (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 48.46%EV -11.76%E -6.57%K -14.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.11%EV -15.14%E -4.73%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.43%EV -14.13%E -3.98%K -5.54%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-15 15:35
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.81%E -4.76%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.84%E -2.89%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -15.34%E -4.38%K -6.14%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-15 15:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.81%E -4.76%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.84%E -2.89%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -15.34%E -4.38%K -6.14%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-15 15:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.81%E -4.76%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.84%E -2.89%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -15.34%E -4.38%K -6.14%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-15 15:35
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.81%E -4.76%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.84%E -2.89%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -15.34%E -4.38%K -6.14%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-15 15:35
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 49.43%EV -16.20%E -9.53%K -23.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.86%EV -13.81%E -4.25%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.71%EV -17.76%E -5.22%K -7.40%G +0.000%19.0%2026-03-15 15:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 47.80%EV -11.27%E -6.26%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.31%EV -9.84%E -2.89%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.89%EV -22.60%E -7.06%K -10.27%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-15 15:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.65%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.13%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-03-15 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.49%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.37%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%1.1%2026-03-15 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.49%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.37%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%1.1%2026-03-15 15:55
Matchbook1.95I 51.28%NM 50.62%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.31%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.3%2026-03-15 15:55
Smarkets1.94I 51.55%NM 50.28%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.34%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%2.5%2026-03-15 15:55