Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.61
assuming max odds 5.67
assuming max odds 4.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vålerenga (Local): 59.83%; HamKam (Visit): 18.49%; Draw: 21.68%. For HamKam (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.41. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.67, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.85%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.06%EV -4.87%E -3.06%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.67I 17.64%NM 17.12%EV +4.85%E +0.856%K +1.04%G +0.050% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.82%EV -3.54%E -0.797%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-31 16:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.96%EV -5.47%E -3.46%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 5.52I 18.12%NM 17.45%EV +2.08%E +0.377%K +0.460%G +0.010% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.59%EV -3.33%E -0.746%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-31 16:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.89%EV -5.47%E -3.46%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.49%EV +1.71%E +0.311%K +0.380%G +0.007% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.62%EV -3.54%E -0.797%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-31 16:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.89%EV -5.47%E -3.46%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.49%EV +1.71%E +0.311%K +0.380%G +0.007% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.62%EV -3.54%E -0.797%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-31 16:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.73%EV -5.47%E -3.46%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.81%EV -1.99%E -0.375%K -0.462%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-31 16:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.73%EV -5.47%E -3.46%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.81%EV -1.99%E -0.375%K -0.462%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-31 16:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.42%EV -9.65%E -6.39%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.50%EV -1.99%E -0.375%K -0.462%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -4.63%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-31 16:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.15%EV -5.47%E -3.46%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 5.28I 18.94%NM 18.00%EV -2.36%E -0.447%K -0.551%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.85%EV -5.71%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-31 16:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.39%EV -6.06%E -3.86%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.06%EV -2.91%E -0.555%K -0.685%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -4.63%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-31 16:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -6.06%E -3.86%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.16%EV -3.84%E -0.738%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.70%EV -5.71%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-31 16:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -6.06%E -3.86%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.16%EV -3.84%E -0.738%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.70%EV -5.71%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-31 16:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -7.26%E -4.68%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.12%EV -4.76%E -0.925%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -6.80%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-31 16:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -9.65%E -6.39%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.97%EV -5.69%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -6.80%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-31 16:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.44%EV -7.26%E -4.68%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -2.46%E -0.547%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-31 16:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.06%E -3.86%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -6.15%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-31 16:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.85%EV -4.87%E -3.06%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.44%EV -9.61%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-30 13:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -6.06%E -3.86%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -6.80%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-31 16:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -6.06%E -3.86%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -6.80%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-31 16:18 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.71%EV -7.26%E -4.68%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -7.88%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-31 16:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -8.46%E -5.53%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -6.15%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-31 16:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -8.46%E -5.53%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-31 16:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -8.46%E -5.53%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-31 16:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.25%E -6.83%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-31 16:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.25%E -6.83%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-31 16:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.03%EV -10.25%E -6.83%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -11.13%E -2.71%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-31 16:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.57%EV -4.27%E -2.67%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -9.38%E -1.92%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-31 11:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.57%EV -4.27%E -2.67%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -9.38%E -1.92%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-31 11:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.57%EV -4.27%E -2.67%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -9.38%E -1.92%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-31 11:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.57%EV -4.27%E -2.67%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -9.38%E -1.92%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-31 11:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.57%EV -4.27%E -2.67%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -9.38%E -1.92%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-31 11:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.57%EV -4.27%E -2.67%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -9.38%E -1.92%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-31 11:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.57%EV -4.27%E -2.67%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -9.38%E -1.92%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-31 11:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.57%EV -4.27%E -2.67%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -9.38%E -1.92%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-31 11:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.40%EV -9.06%E -5.96%K -17.41%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -9.38%E -1.92%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -4.63%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-31 16:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -3.67%E -2.28%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -11.23%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-31 16:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.64%EV -5.47%E -3.46%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -11.23%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-31 11:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.79%EV -6.06%E -3.86%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -11.23%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-31 11:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -8.46%E -5.53%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -11.23%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.06%EV -5.71%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-31 16:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.63%EV -6.66%E -4.27%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -11.23%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -11.13%E -2.71%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-31 11:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -6.06%E -3.86%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -11.23%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -13.30%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-31 16:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -8.46%E -5.53%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -11.23%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-31 16:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.35%EV -10.85%E -7.28%K -22.14%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.73%EV -11.23%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.91%EV -6.80%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-31 16:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -10.25%E -6.83%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -11.23%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.30%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-31 16:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -7.26%E -4.68%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -12.16%E -2.56%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -11.13%E -2.71%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-31 11:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -7.26%E -4.68%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -12.16%E -2.56%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -11.13%E -2.71%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-31 11:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.35%EV -7.26%E -4.68%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -12.16%E -2.56%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -13.30%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-31 16:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.51%EV -7.86%E -5.10%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.97%EV -12.16%E -2.56%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%EV -13.30%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-31 16:43 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.67%EV -9.06%E -5.96%K -17.41%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -14.93%E -3.25%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -4.63%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-31 16:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.62%EV -10.25%E -6.83%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.12%EV -14.93%E -3.25%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.26%EV -14.38%E -3.64%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-07-31 11:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.45%EV -10.25%E -6.83%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.82%EV -16.78%E -3.73%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.74%EV -6.80%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-31 16:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.17%EV -6.06%E -3.86%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.40%EV -18.63%E -4.23%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -13.30%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-31 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.17%EV -6.06%E -3.86%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.40%EV -18.63%E -4.23%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -13.30%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-31 16:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.17%EV -6.06%E -3.86%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.40%EV -18.63%E -4.23%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -13.30%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-31 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.17%EV -6.06%E -3.86%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.40%EV -18.63%E -4.23%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -13.30%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-31 16:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.09%EV -10.25%E -6.83%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.12%EV -19.93%E -4.60%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.78%EV -13.30%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-07-31 16:35 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 62.00% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.21% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79% | 0.2% | 2026-07-31 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.14% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.71% | 0.6% | 2026-07-31 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.96% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65% | 0.9% | 2026-07-31 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.96% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65% | 0.9% | 2026-07-31 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.10% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.32% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.57% | 1.3% | 2026-07-31 16:55 |
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