L’École des cotes

Vålerenga v HamKam

2026-07-31 17:00 UTC — Eliteserien - Norway

Résultat du match

34 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Vålerenga (Local)

Prévision 55.77%1.79cote équitable
EV -1.85%
Avantage -1.05%
Kelly -2.44%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.76

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.59%55.76%55.84%57.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.561.651.671.7664.10%60.54%60.06%56.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

HamKam (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.16%4.72cote équitable
EV -0.104%
Avantage -0.022%
Kelly -0.028%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.15%21.18%21.17%23.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.244.254.7226.67%23.61%23.53%21.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.07%4.33cote équitable
EV -3.11%
Avantage -0.740%
Kelly -0.971%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.43%23.06%22.99%24.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.603.954.004.2027.78%25.31%25.00%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (34 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
GTbets1.76I 56.82%NM 53.59%EV -1.85%E -1.05%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.35%EV -10.69%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.06%EV -9.57%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 10:30
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.07%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.52%EV -7.93%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 13:35
PointsBet (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -10.05%E -2.36%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-27 13:15
1xBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.47%EV -5.76%E -3.41%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.66I 21.46%NM 20.48%EV -1.37%E -0.295%K -0.375%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.05%EV -4.49%E -1.08%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 13:25
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -5.76%E -3.41%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -13.23%E -3.23%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -5.41%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-27 13:20
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 55.50%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -6.88%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-27 13:04
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 55.50%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -6.88%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-27 13:05
Pinnacle1.67I 59.88%NM 56.94%EV -6.87%E -4.11%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.72I 21.19%NM 20.15%EV -0.104%E -0.022%K -0.028%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.91%EV -4.26%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 13:20
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -6.87%E -4.11%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -6.88%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -5.41%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-27 13:20
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.87%E -4.11%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -4.76%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-27 13:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.77%EV -6.87%E -4.11%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.51%EV -8.36%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -5.41%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-27 13:25
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -6.87%E -4.11%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -11.11%E -2.65%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-27 13:20
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -6.87%E -4.11%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -6.88%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -12.34%E -3.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-27 13:01
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 53.87%EV -6.87%E -4.11%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -17.46%E -4.48%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -10.03%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-27 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.87%EV -6.87%E -4.11%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -17.46%E -4.48%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -10.03%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-27 13:20
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 53.87%EV -6.87%E -4.11%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -17.46%E -4.48%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -10.03%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-27 13:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.87%EV -6.87%E -4.11%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -17.46%E -4.48%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -10.03%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-27 13:20
Codere (IT)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.75%EV -7.43%E -4.48%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -11.11%E -2.65%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -11.18%E -2.90%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-27 13:35
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -7.99%E -4.84%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -2.64%E -0.575%K -0.734%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -3.11%E -0.740%K -0.971%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 13:10
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -7.99%E -4.84%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -2.64%E -0.575%K -0.734%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -3.11%E -0.740%K -0.971%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 13:10
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -7.99%E -4.84%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.49%EV -3.70%E -0.814%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -6.57%E -1.62%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-27 13:20
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 55.07%EV -7.99%E -4.84%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -11.11%E -2.65%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.30%EV -10.03%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-27 13:35
SportsBet1.64I 60.98%NM 55.82%EV -8.54%E -5.21%K -13.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.29%EV -8.99%E -2.09%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-27 13:20
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 55.34%EV -9.10%E -5.58%K -14.45%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.23%EV -10.05%E -2.36%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.43%EV -11.18%E -2.90%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-27 13:10
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%EV -9.66%E -5.96%K -15.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -11.11%E -2.65%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-27 13:20
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.77%EV -9.66%E -5.96%K -15.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV -15.34%E -3.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.05%EV -11.18%E -2.90%K -3.92%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-27 13:35
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 56.36%EV -10.22%E -6.35%K -16.75%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.96%EV -8.36%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-27 13:20
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 56.36%EV -10.22%E -6.35%K -16.75%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.96%EV -8.36%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-27 13:44
betano_uk1.61I 62.11%NM 56.36%EV -10.22%E -6.35%K -16.75%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.96%EV -8.36%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -7.72%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-27 13:44
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.35%EV -10.77%E -6.73%K -17.96%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.34%EV -12.17%E -2.93%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.31%EV -12.34%E -3.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-27 13:35
Betclic (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.86%EV -10.77%E -6.73%K -17.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.41%EV -13.23%E -3.23%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.73%EV -14.64%E -3.96%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-27 13:35
BoyleSports1.60I 62.50%NM 54.29%EV -10.77%E -6.73%K -17.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.86%EV -19.58%E -5.15%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.86%EV -12.34%E -3.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-27 12:25
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 53.61%EV -10.77%E -6.73%K -17.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.57%EV -19.58%E -5.15%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.82%EV -16.95%E -4.71%K -6.52%G +0.000%16.6%2026-07-27 13:20
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 54.25%EV -13.01%E -8.34%K -23.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.57%EV -20.63%E -5.50%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.19%EV -15.80%E -4.33%K -5.96%G +0.000%18.2%2026-07-27 13:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 54.26%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.98%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.76%13.8%2026-07-27 13:35