Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Vålerenga v HamKam

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-31 17:00 UTC

Score final : Vålerenga 0–3 HamKam

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Vålerenga (Local)

Prévision 59.83%1.67cote équitable
EV -3.67%
Avantage -2.28%
Kelly -6.02%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.17%59.81%59.65%61.42%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.491.561.571.6167.11%64.26%63.69%62.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

HamKam (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.49%5.41cote équitable
EV +4.85%
Avantage +0.856%
Kelly +1.04%
Croissance +0.050%

avec la cote maximale 5.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.12%18.51%18.68%20.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.334.934.905.6723.09%20.28%20.41%17.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 21.68%4.61cote équitable
EV -2.46%
Avantage -0.547%
Kelly -0.703%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.61%21.67%21.67%22.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.954.224.204.5025.32%23.69%23.81%22.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Vålerenga (Local) : 59.83% ; HamKam (Visiteur) : 18.49% ; Match nul : 21.68%. Pour HamKam (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.41. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.67, soit une espérance positive de +4.85%.

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.06%EV -4.87%E -3.06%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.67I 17.64%NM 17.12%EV +4.85%E +0.856%K +1.04%G +0.050%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.82%EV -3.54%E -0.797%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-31 16:50
Pinnacle🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.96%EV -5.47%E -3.46%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.52I 18.12%NM 17.45%EV +2.08%E +0.377%K +0.460%G +0.010%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.59%EV -3.33%E -0.746%K -0.962%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-31 16:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.89%EV -5.47%E -3.46%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.49%EV +1.71%E +0.311%K +0.380%G +0.007%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.62%EV -3.54%E -0.797%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-31 16:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.89%EV -5.47%E -3.46%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.49%EV +1.71%E +0.311%K +0.380%G +0.007%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.62%EV -3.54%E -0.797%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-31 16:40
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.73%EV -5.47%E -3.46%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.81%EV -1.99%E -0.375%K -0.462%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-31 16:45
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.73%EV -5.47%E -3.46%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.81%EV -1.99%E -0.375%K -0.462%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-31 16:45
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.42%EV -9.65%E -6.39%K -18.93%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.50%EV -1.99%E -0.375%K -0.462%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -4.63%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-31 16:35
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.15%EV -5.47%E -3.46%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.28I 18.94%NM 18.00%EV -2.36%E -0.447%K -0.551%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.85%EV -5.71%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 16:49
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.39%EV -6.06%E -3.86%K -10.64%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.06%EV -2.91%E -0.555%K -0.685%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -4.63%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-31 16:20
BetAnything🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -6.06%E -3.86%K -10.64%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.16%EV -3.84%E -0.738%K -0.914%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.70%EV -5.71%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 16:40
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -6.06%E -3.86%K -10.64%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.16%EV -3.84%E -0.738%K -0.914%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.70%EV -5.71%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 16:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -7.26%E -4.68%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.12%EV -4.76%E -0.925%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -6.80%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-31 16:49
SportsBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -9.65%E -6.39%K -18.93%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.97%EV -5.69%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -6.80%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-31 16:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.44%EV -7.26%E -4.68%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -2.46%E -0.547%K -0.703%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-31 16:34
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.06%E -3.86%K -10.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -6.15%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-31 16:44
GTbets🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.85%EV -4.87%E -3.06%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.44%EV -9.61%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-30 13:35
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -6.06%E -3.86%K -10.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -6.80%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-31 16:19
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -6.06%E -3.86%K -10.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -6.80%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-31 16:18
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.71%EV -7.26%E -4.68%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -7.88%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-31 16:25
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -8.46%E -5.53%K -15.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -6.15%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-31 16:25
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -8.46%E -5.53%K -15.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-31 16:55
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -8.46%E -5.53%K -15.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-31 16:55
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.25%E -6.83%K -20.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-31 16:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.25%E -6.83%K -20.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-31 16:49
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.03%EV -10.25%E -6.83%K -20.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -11.13%E -2.71%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-31 16:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.57%EV -4.27%E -2.67%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -9.38%E -1.92%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-31 11:54
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.57%EV -4.27%E -2.67%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -9.38%E -1.92%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-31 11:55
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.57%EV -4.27%E -2.67%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -9.38%E -1.92%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-31 11:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.57%EV -4.27%E -2.67%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -9.38%E -1.92%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-31 11:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.57%EV -4.27%E -2.67%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -9.38%E -1.92%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-31 11:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.57%EV -4.27%E -2.67%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -9.38%E -1.92%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-31 11:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.57%EV -4.27%E -2.67%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -9.38%E -1.92%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-31 11:55
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.57%EV -4.27%E -2.67%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -9.38%E -1.92%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-31 11:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.40%EV -9.06%E -5.96%K -17.41%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -9.38%E -1.92%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -4.63%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-31 16:49
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -3.67%E -2.28%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -11.23%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-31 16:10
Unibet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.64%EV -5.47%E -3.46%K -9.42%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -11.23%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-31 11:54
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.79%EV -6.06%E -3.86%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -11.23%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-31 11:55
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -8.46%E -5.53%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -11.23%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.06%EV -5.71%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-31 16:35
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.63%EV -6.66%E -4.27%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -11.23%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -11.13%E -2.71%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-31 11:55
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -6.06%E -3.86%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -11.23%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -13.30%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-31 16:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -8.46%E -5.53%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -11.23%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-31 16:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.35%EV -10.85%E -7.28%K -22.14%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.73%EV -11.23%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.91%EV -6.80%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-31 16:34
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -10.25%E -6.83%K -20.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -11.23%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.30%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-31 16:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -7.26%E -4.68%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -12.16%E -2.56%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -11.13%E -2.71%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-31 11:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -7.26%E -4.68%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -12.16%E -2.56%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -11.13%E -2.71%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-31 11:55
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.35%EV -7.26%E -4.68%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -12.16%E -2.56%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -13.30%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-31 16:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.51%EV -7.86%E -5.10%K -14.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.97%EV -12.16%E -2.56%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%EV -13.30%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-31 16:43
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.67%EV -9.06%E -5.96%K -17.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -14.93%E -3.25%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -4.63%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-31 16:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.62%EV -10.25%E -6.83%K -20.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.12%EV -14.93%E -3.25%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.26%EV -14.38%E -3.64%K -4.88%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-31 11:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.45%EV -10.25%E -6.83%K -20.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.82%EV -16.78%E -3.73%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.74%EV -6.80%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-31 16:35
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.17%EV -6.06%E -3.86%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.40%EV -18.63%E -4.23%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -13.30%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-31 16:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.17%EV -6.06%E -3.86%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.40%EV -18.63%E -4.23%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -13.30%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-31 16:09
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.17%EV -6.06%E -3.86%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.40%EV -18.63%E -4.23%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -13.30%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-31 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.17%EV -6.06%E -3.86%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.40%EV -18.63%E -4.23%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -13.30%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-31 16:09
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.09%EV -10.25%E -6.83%K -20.50%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.12%EV -19.93%E -4.60%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.78%EV -13.30%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-31 16:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.61I 62.11%NM 62.00%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.21%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79%0.2%2026-07-31 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.14%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.71%0.6%2026-07-31 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.96%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65%0.9%2026-07-31 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.96%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65%0.9%2026-07-31 16:55
Smarkets◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.10%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.32%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.57%1.3%2026-07-31 16:55