Language:English
Tromso v Lillestrom
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tromso (Local)
Prediction 52.57%1.90fair odd
EV -4.33%
Edge -2.38%
Kelly -5.28%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.83%52.54%52.45%53.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.741.731.8260.98%57.42%57.80%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Lillestrom (Visit)
Prediction 22.70%4.41fair odd
EV +0.999%
Edge +0.225%
Kelly +0.290%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 4.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.70%22.65%22.80%23.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.094.104.4527.03%24.47%24.39%22.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.74%4.04fair odd
EV -2.29%
Edge -0.580%
Kelly -0.776%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.22%24.82%24.76%26.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.703.753.9531.25%27.05%26.67%25.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tromso (Local): 52.57%; Lillestrom (Visit): 22.70%; Draw: 24.74%. For Lillestrom (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.41. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.999%.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.31%EV -4.33%E -2.38%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.81%EV +0.999%E +0.225%K +0.290%G +0.003% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.88%EV -3.53%E -0.904%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.43%EV -4.85%E -2.68%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 22.08%EV -0.589%E -0.135%K -0.174%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.48%EV -2.29%E -0.580%K -0.776%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.44%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.70%EV -1.27%E -0.292%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -9.71%E -2.66%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.44%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.70%EV -1.27%E -0.292%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -9.71%E -2.66%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.26%EV -6.96%E -3.93%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -2.41%E -0.559%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -6.00%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-15 16:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.02%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -3.54%E -0.833%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.53%EV -3.77%E -0.970%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -8.01%E -4.58%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -3.54%E -0.833%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -6.00%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.69%EV -4.85%E -2.68%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.60%EV -4.22%E -1.00%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.71%EV -4.52%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.92%EV -8.01%E -4.58%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -4.67%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -8.47%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.67%EV -10.11%E -5.91%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -4.67%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.67%EV -10.11%E -5.91%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -4.67%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.67%EV -10.11%E -5.91%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -4.67%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.67%EV -10.11%E -5.91%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -4.67%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.67%EV -10.11%E -5.91%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -4.67%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.67%EV -10.11%E -5.91%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -4.67%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.67%EV -10.11%E -5.91%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -4.67%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.67%EV -10.11%E -5.91%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -4.67%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.67%EV -10.11%E -5.91%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -4.67%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.67%EV -10.11%E -5.91%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -4.67%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.67%EV -10.11%E -5.91%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -4.67%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -10.64%E -6.26%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -4.67%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -10.64%E -6.26%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -4.67%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.99%EV -7.48%E -4.25%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.47%EV -5.81%E -1.40%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.00%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -6.94%E -1.69%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -6.00%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -6.94%E -1.69%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -6.00%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -6.94%E -1.69%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -6.00%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -6.94%E -1.69%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -6.00%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.53%EV -6.96%E -3.93%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -6.94%E -1.69%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.53%EV -6.96%E -3.93%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -6.94%E -1.69%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.96%EV -8.53%E -4.90%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -6.94%E -1.69%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-15 16:28 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.65%EV -11.69%E -6.96%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -6.94%E -1.69%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -8.47%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.71%EV -4.33%E -2.38%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -9.21%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -6.00%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-15 14:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -6.96%E -3.93%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.21%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.21%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -8.01%E -4.58%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -9.21%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.47%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -8.01%E -4.58%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -9.21%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.47%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -9.06%E -5.24%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.21%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -8.01%E -4.58%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.21%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-15 16:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.45%EV -9.06%E -5.24%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -9.21%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -9.71%E -2.66%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.80%EV -8.01%E -4.58%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -9.21%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -12.18%E -3.43%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -9.06%E -5.24%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -9.21%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 53.60%EV -13.79%E -8.41%K -21.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.98%EV -9.21%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.42%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.69%EV -7.48%E -4.25%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -10.35%E -2.62%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -10.64%E -6.26%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 22.71%EV -10.80%E -2.75%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-15 16:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.60%EV -9.06%E -5.24%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -11.48%E -2.94%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -13.42%E -3.83%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.60%EV -9.06%E -5.24%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -11.48%E -2.94%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -13.42%E -3.83%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.60%EV -9.06%E -5.24%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -11.48%E -2.94%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -13.42%E -3.83%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.60%EV -9.06%E -5.24%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -11.48%E -2.94%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -13.42%E -3.83%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.60%EV -9.06%E -5.24%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -11.48%E -2.94%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -13.42%E -3.83%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 52.37%EV -11.16%E -6.60%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.69%EV -11.48%E -2.94%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.93%EV -12.18%E -3.43%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-15 16:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.19%EV -8.53%E -4.90%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -12.62%E -3.28%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.54%EV -12.21%E -7.31%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -13.75%E -3.62%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 50.83%EV -12.21%E -7.31%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -14.89%E -3.97%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.53%EV -20.84%E -6.51%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.77%EV -10.64%E -6.26%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.79%EV -16.02%E -4.33%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.45%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.57% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.58% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.84% | 0.6% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.41% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.51% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08% | 1.0% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.41% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.51% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08% | 1.0% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.54% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.45% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.01% | 1.2% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.40% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.79% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.81% | 2.0% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |