L’École des cotes

Tromso v Lillestrom

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-15 17:00 UTC

Score final : Tromso 0–0 Lillestrom

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Tromso (Local)

Prévision 52.57%1.90cote équitable
EV -4.33%
Avantage -2.38%
Kelly -5.28%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.83%52.54%52.45%53.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.641.741.731.8260.98%57.42%57.80%54.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Lillestrom (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.70%4.41cote équitable
EV +0.999%
Avantage +0.225%
Kelly +0.290%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 4.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.70%22.65%22.80%23.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.704.094.104.4527.03%24.47%24.39%22.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.74%4.04cote équitable
EV -2.29%
Avantage -0.580%
Kelly -0.776%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.22%24.82%24.76%26.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.703.753.9531.25%27.05%26.67%25.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 53.31%EV -4.33%E -2.38%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.81%EV +0.999%E +0.225%K +0.290%G +0.003%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.88%EV -3.53%E -0.904%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-15 16:30
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 53.43%EV -4.85%E -2.68%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 22.08%EV -0.589%E -0.135%K -0.174%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.48%EV -2.29%E -0.580%K -0.776%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-15 16:30
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 52.44%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.70%EV -1.27%E -0.292%K -0.379%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -9.71%E -2.66%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 16:30
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.44%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.70%EV -1.27%E -0.292%K -0.379%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -9.71%E -2.66%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 16:30
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 53.26%EV -6.96%E -3.93%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -2.41%E -0.559%K -0.729%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -6.00%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-15 16:29
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.02%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -3.54%E -0.833%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.53%EV -3.77%E -0.970%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 16:30
PointsBet (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -8.01%E -4.58%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -3.54%E -0.833%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -6.00%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-15 16:30
GTbets1.81I 55.25%NM 52.69%EV -4.85%E -2.68%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.60%EV -4.22%E -1.00%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.71%EV -4.52%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 16:30
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.92%EV -8.01%E -4.58%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -4.67%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -8.47%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-15 16:30
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.67%EV -10.11%E -5.91%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -4.67%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-15 16:30
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 53.67%EV -10.11%E -5.91%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -4.67%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-15 16:30
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.67%EV -10.11%E -5.91%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -4.67%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-15 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.67%EV -10.11%E -5.91%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -4.67%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-15 16:30
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 53.67%EV -10.11%E -5.91%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -4.67%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-15 16:30
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.67%EV -10.11%E -5.91%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -4.67%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-15 16:30
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 53.67%EV -10.11%E -5.91%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -4.67%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-15 16:30
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.67%EV -10.11%E -5.91%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -4.67%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-15 16:30
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 53.67%EV -10.11%E -5.91%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -4.67%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-15 16:30
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 53.67%EV -10.11%E -5.91%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -4.67%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-15 16:30
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 53.67%EV -10.11%E -5.91%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -4.67%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-15 16:30
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -10.64%E -6.26%K -15.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -4.67%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-15 16:30
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -10.64%E -6.26%K -15.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -4.67%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-15 16:30
Marathon Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 52.99%EV -7.48%E -4.25%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.47%EV -5.81%E -1.40%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.00%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 16:30
LowVig.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -6.94%E -1.69%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -6.00%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 16:30
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -6.94%E -1.69%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -6.00%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 16:30
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -6.94%E -1.69%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -6.00%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 16:30
BetAnything1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -6.94%E -1.69%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -6.00%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 16:30
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 52.53%EV -6.96%E -3.93%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -6.94%E -1.69%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 16:30
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 52.53%EV -6.96%E -3.93%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -6.94%E -1.69%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 16:30
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 52.96%EV -8.53%E -4.90%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -6.94%E -1.69%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-15 16:28
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 53.65%EV -11.69%E -6.96%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -6.94%E -1.69%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -8.47%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-15 16:30
Unibet (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.71%EV -4.33%E -2.38%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -9.21%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -6.00%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 14:40
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -6.96%E -3.93%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.21%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-15 16:30
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.21%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-15 16:30
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -8.01%E -4.58%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -9.21%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.47%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-15 16:30
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -8.01%E -4.58%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -9.21%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.47%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-15 16:30
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -9.06%E -5.24%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.21%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-15 16:30
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -8.01%E -4.58%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.21%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-15 16:29
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 52.45%EV -9.06%E -5.24%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -9.21%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -9.71%E -2.66%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-15 16:30
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 51.80%EV -8.01%E -4.58%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -9.21%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -12.18%E -3.43%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-15 16:30
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -9.06%E -5.24%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -9.21%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-15 16:30
PMU (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 53.60%EV -13.79%E -8.41%K -21.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.98%EV -9.21%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.42%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-15 16:30
Codere (IT)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.69%EV -7.48%E -4.25%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -10.35%E -2.62%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-15 16:30
Betclic (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -10.64%E -6.26%K -15.19%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.71%EV -10.80%E -2.75%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-15 16:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.60%EV -9.06%E -5.24%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -11.48%E -2.94%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -13.42%E -3.83%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-15 16:30
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 51.60%EV -9.06%E -5.24%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -11.48%E -2.94%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -13.42%E -3.83%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-15 16:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.60%EV -9.06%E -5.24%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -11.48%E -2.94%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -13.42%E -3.83%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-15 16:30
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 51.60%EV -9.06%E -5.24%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -11.48%E -2.94%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -13.42%E -3.83%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-15 16:30
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.60%EV -9.06%E -5.24%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -11.48%E -2.94%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -13.42%E -3.83%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-15 16:30
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 52.37%EV -11.16%E -6.60%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.69%EV -11.48%E -2.94%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.93%EV -12.18%E -3.43%K -4.78%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-15 16:29
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.19%EV -8.53%E -4.90%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -12.62%E -3.28%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-15 16:30
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 52.54%EV -12.21%E -7.31%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -13.75%E -3.62%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-15 16:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 50.83%EV -12.21%E -7.31%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -14.89%E -3.97%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.53%EV -20.84%E -6.51%K -9.47%G +0.000%17.8%2026-04-15 16:30
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.77%EV -10.64%E -6.26%K -15.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.79%EV -16.02%E -4.33%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.45%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-15 16:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 52.57%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.58%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.84%0.6%2026-04-15 16:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.41%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.51%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08%1.0%2026-04-15 16:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.41%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.51%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08%1.0%2026-04-15 16:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.54%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.45%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.01%1.2%2026-04-15 16:30
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.40%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.79%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.81%2.0%2026-04-15 16:30