Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tromso v HamKam

Kickoff: 2026-09-20 15:00 UTC

Final: Tromso 3–2 HamKam

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tromso (Local)

Prediction 65.60%1.52fair odd
EV -4.23%
Edge -2.89%
Kelly -9.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.50%65.56%65.70%67.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.411.421.4673.53%70.75%70.67%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

HamKam (Visit)

Prediction 14.25%7.02fair odd
EV +5.48%
Edge +0.741%
Kelly +0.857%
Growth +0.047%

assuming max odds 7.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.87%14.34%14.15%16.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.336.257.4018.18%15.81%16.00%13.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.15%4.96fair odd
EV +2.75%
Edge +0.539%
Kelly +0.670%
Growth +0.018%

assuming max odds 5.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.04%20.11%20.14%21.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.514.505.1023.81%22.19%22.22%19.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tromso (Local): 65.60%; HamKam (Visit): 14.25%; Draw: 20.15%. For HamKam (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.02. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.48%.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Betsson🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.23%EV -4.23%E -2.89%K -9.19%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.87%EV +5.48%E +0.741%K +0.857%G +0.047%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.89%EV -12.36%E -2.84%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-20 14:39
Pinnacle🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 66.17%EV -4.23%E -2.89%K -9.19%G +0.000%7.03I 14.22%NM 13.74%EV +0.211%E +0.030%K +0.035%G +0.000%4.81I 20.79%NM 20.09%EV -3.10%E -0.644%K -0.812%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-20 14:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -8.16%E -5.83%K -20.40%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -0.217%E -0.031%K -0.036%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -9.34%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-20 14:19
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -10.79%E -7.93%K -29.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -0.217%E -0.031%K -0.036%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -3.30%E -0.687%K -0.868%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-20 14:48
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -10.79%E -7.93%K -29.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -0.217%E -0.031%K -0.036%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -9.34%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-20 13:09
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.98%EV -4.88%E -3.37%K -10.85%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.97%EV -0.930%E -0.134%K -0.156%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.04%EV +2.75%E +0.539%K +0.670%G +0.018%3.0%2026-09-20 14:14
GTbets🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.31%EV -4.88%E -3.37%K -10.85%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.93%EV -3.07%E -0.451%K -0.529%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 20.77%EV -8.13%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-20 14:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.74%EV -6.19%E -4.33%K -14.40%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.82%EV -3.07%E -0.451%K -0.529%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -7.33%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-20 14:54
BetAnything🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.74%EV -6.19%E -4.33%K -14.40%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.82%EV -3.07%E -0.451%K -0.529%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -7.33%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-20 14:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.18%EV -6.85%E -4.82%K -16.31%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.82%EV -3.07%E -0.451%K -0.529%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.00%EV -5.31%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-20 14:34
BetUS🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.18%EV -6.85%E -4.82%K -16.31%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.82%EV -3.07%E -0.451%K -0.529%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.00%EV -5.31%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-20 14:35
NordicBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.34%EV -4.23%E -2.89%K -9.19%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.81%EV -3.07%E -0.451%K -0.529%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%EV -13.37%E -3.11%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-20 14:54
1xBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.91%EV -4.88%E -3.37%K -10.85%G +0.000%6.78I 14.75%NM 14.10%EV -3.35%E -0.495%K -0.580%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 19.99%EV -3.70%E -0.774%K -0.979%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-20 14:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.12%EV -10.13%E -7.39%K -27.38%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.72%EV -4.49%E -0.671%K -0.788%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -3.30%E -0.687%K -0.868%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 14:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.93%EV -7.51%E -5.32%K -18.31%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.08%EV -5.92%E -0.897%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.99%EV -6.32%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-20 14:34
Bovada🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.61%EV -6.19%E -4.33%K -14.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -7.34%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.96%EV -5.31%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 14:44
DraftKings🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.61%EV -6.19%E -4.33%K -14.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -7.34%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.96%EV -5.31%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 14:53
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -5.54%E -3.85%K -12.59%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -7.34%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -9.34%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 14:54
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.32%EV -6.19%E -4.33%K -14.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -7.34%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -7.33%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 13:04
Fanatics🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -8.16%E -5.83%K -20.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -7.34%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.34%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-20 14:49
SportsBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 65.96%EV -8.82%E -6.34%K -22.61%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -7.34%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -7.33%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 14:49
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -8.16%E -5.83%K -20.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -7.34%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -11.36%E -2.58%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-20 14:48
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -8.16%E -5.83%K -20.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -7.34%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -11.36%E -2.58%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-20 14:45
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -10.79%E -7.93%K -29.96%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -7.34%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -9.34%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 13:04
Bet Right🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -10.79%E -7.93%K -29.96%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -7.34%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -11.36%E -2.58%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-20 14:19
BetRivers🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.50%EV -5.54%E -3.85%K -12.59%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -10.91%E -1.75%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -9.34%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-19 14:02
Unibet (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.50%EV -5.54%E -3.85%K -12.59%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -10.91%E -1.75%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -9.34%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-19 14:02
Casumo🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.50%EV -5.54%E -3.85%K -12.59%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -10.91%E -1.75%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -9.34%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-19 14:02
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.50%EV -5.54%E -3.85%K -12.59%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -10.91%E -1.75%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -9.34%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-19 14:01
Unibet (NL)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.50%EV -5.54%E -3.85%K -12.59%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -10.91%E -1.75%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -9.34%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-19 14:01
ATG (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.50%EV -5.54%E -3.85%K -12.59%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -10.91%E -1.75%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -9.34%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-19 14:01
Svenska Spel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.50%EV -5.54%E -3.85%K -12.59%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -10.91%E -1.75%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -9.34%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-19 14:01
betPARX🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.50%EV -5.54%E -3.85%K -12.59%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -10.91%E -1.75%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -9.34%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-19 14:02
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.71%EV -8.16%E -5.83%K -20.40%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.72%EV -10.91%E -1.75%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.57%EV -5.31%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 14:49
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.89%EV -6.85%E -4.82%K -16.31%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.51%EV -10.91%E -1.75%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -15.38%E -3.66%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 14:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.71%EV -10.79%E -7.93%K -29.96%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.65%EV -13.05%E -2.14%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.64%EV -8.33%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-20 14:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -4.88%E -3.37%K -10.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -14.47%E -2.41%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -4.30%E -0.906%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 14:54
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -5.54%E -3.85%K -12.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -14.47%E -2.41%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -12.77%E -2.95%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 14:54
Codere (IT)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -8.16%E -5.83%K -20.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -14.47%E -2.41%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -9.34%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-20 14:54
Unibet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.82%EV -6.85%E -4.82%K -16.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -14.47%E -2.41%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -13.37%E -3.11%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-19 14:01
Grosvenor🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.82%EV -6.85%E -4.82%K -16.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -14.47%E -2.41%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -13.37%E -3.11%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-19 14:01
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -8.16%E -5.83%K -20.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -14.47%E -2.41%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -12.77%E -2.95%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-20 14:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.97%EV -8.16%E -5.83%K -20.40%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.68%EV -17.32%E -2.99%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.35%EV -5.31%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-20 14:49
TABtouch🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 63.50%EV -7.51%E -5.32%K -18.31%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.44%EV -17.32%E -2.99%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.07%EV -14.38%E -3.38%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-19 14:01
LiveScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.66%EV -8.16%E -5.83%K -20.40%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.37%EV -17.32%E -2.99%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.97%EV -14.38%E -3.38%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-19 14:02
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.66%EV -8.16%E -5.83%K -20.40%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.37%EV -17.32%E -2.99%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.97%EV -14.38%E -3.38%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-19 14:02
Virgin Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.66%EV -8.16%E -5.83%K -20.40%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.37%EV -17.32%E -2.99%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.97%EV -14.38%E -3.38%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-19 14:01
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -8.16%E -5.83%K -20.40%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -18.04%E -3.14%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -12.77%E -2.95%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-20 13:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -8.16%E -5.83%K -20.40%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -18.04%E -3.14%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -12.77%E -2.95%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-20 13:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -8.16%E -5.83%K -20.40%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -18.04%E -3.14%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -12.77%E -2.95%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-20 13:04
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -8.16%E -5.83%K -20.40%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -18.04%E -3.14%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -12.77%E -2.95%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-20 13:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.46%EV -10.79%E -7.93%K -29.96%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.38%EV -18.75%E -3.29%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.15%EV -12.36%E -2.84%K -3.69%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-20 14:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -8.16%E -5.83%K -20.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -21.60%E -3.93%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -9.34%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-20 14:54
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.54%EV -10.79%E -7.93%K -29.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -21.60%E -3.93%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -9.34%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-20 13:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 67.11%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.42%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.47%0.7%2026-09-20 14:54
Matchbook◎1.48I 67.57%NM 67.11%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.42%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.47%0.7%2026-09-20 14:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.49%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.05%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45%0.8%2026-09-20 14:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.23%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.00%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77%1.2%2026-09-20 14:54
Smarkets◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.40%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.30%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.30%1.6%2026-09-20 14:49