L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Tromso v HamKam

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-20 15:00 UTC

Score final : Tromso 3–2 HamKam

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Tromso (Local)

Prévision 65.60%1.52cote équitable
EV -4.23%
Avantage -2.89%
Kelly -9.19%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.46

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.50%65.56%65.70%67.68%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.361.411.421.4673.53%70.75%70.67%68.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

HamKam (Visiteur)

Prévision 14.25%7.02cote équitable
EV +5.48%
Avantage +0.741%
Kelly +0.857%
Croissance +0.047%

avec la cote maximale 7.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.87%14.34%14.15%16.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.506.336.257.4018.18%15.81%16.00%13.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 20.15%4.96cote équitable
EV +2.75%
Avantage +0.539%
Kelly +0.670%
Croissance +0.018%

avec la cote maximale 5.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.04%20.11%20.14%21.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.204.514.505.1023.81%22.19%22.22%19.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Tromso (Local) : 65.60% ; HamKam (Visiteur) : 14.25% ; Match nul : 20.15%. Pour HamKam (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 7.02. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 7.40, soit une espérance positive de +5.48%.

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Betsson🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.23%EV -4.23%E -2.89%K -9.19%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.87%EV +5.48%E +0.741%K +0.857%G +0.047%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.89%EV -12.36%E -2.84%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-20 14:39
Pinnacle🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 66.17%EV -4.23%E -2.89%K -9.19%G +0.000%7.03I 14.22%NM 13.74%EV +0.211%E +0.030%K +0.035%G +0.000%4.81I 20.79%NM 20.09%EV -3.10%E -0.644%K -0.812%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-20 14:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -8.16%E -5.83%K -20.40%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -0.217%E -0.031%K -0.036%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -9.34%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-20 14:19
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -10.79%E -7.93%K -29.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -0.217%E -0.031%K -0.036%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -3.30%E -0.687%K -0.868%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-20 14:48
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -10.79%E -7.93%K -29.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -0.217%E -0.031%K -0.036%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -9.34%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-20 13:09
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.98%EV -4.88%E -3.37%K -10.85%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.97%EV -0.930%E -0.134%K -0.156%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.04%EV +2.75%E +0.539%K +0.670%G +0.018%3.0%2026-09-20 14:14
GTbets🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.31%EV -4.88%E -3.37%K -10.85%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.93%EV -3.07%E -0.451%K -0.529%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 20.77%EV -8.13%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-20 14:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.74%EV -6.19%E -4.33%K -14.40%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.82%EV -3.07%E -0.451%K -0.529%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -7.33%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-20 14:54
BetAnything🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.74%EV -6.19%E -4.33%K -14.40%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.82%EV -3.07%E -0.451%K -0.529%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -7.33%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-20 14:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.18%EV -6.85%E -4.82%K -16.31%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.82%EV -3.07%E -0.451%K -0.529%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.00%EV -5.31%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-20 14:34
BetUS🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.18%EV -6.85%E -4.82%K -16.31%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.82%EV -3.07%E -0.451%K -0.529%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.00%EV -5.31%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-20 14:35
NordicBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.34%EV -4.23%E -2.89%K -9.19%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.81%EV -3.07%E -0.451%K -0.529%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%EV -13.37%E -3.11%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-20 14:54
1xBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.91%EV -4.88%E -3.37%K -10.85%G +0.000%6.78I 14.75%NM 14.10%EV -3.35%E -0.495%K -0.580%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 19.99%EV -3.70%E -0.774%K -0.979%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-20 14:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.12%EV -10.13%E -7.39%K -27.38%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.72%EV -4.49%E -0.671%K -0.788%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -3.30%E -0.687%K -0.868%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 14:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.93%EV -7.51%E -5.32%K -18.31%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.08%EV -5.92%E -0.897%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.99%EV -6.32%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-20 14:34
Bovada🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.61%EV -6.19%E -4.33%K -14.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -7.34%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.96%EV -5.31%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 14:44
DraftKings🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.61%EV -6.19%E -4.33%K -14.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -7.34%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.96%EV -5.31%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 14:53
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -5.54%E -3.85%K -12.59%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -7.34%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -9.34%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 14:54
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.32%EV -6.19%E -4.33%K -14.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -7.34%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -7.33%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 13:04
Fanatics🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -8.16%E -5.83%K -20.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -7.34%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.34%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-20 14:49
SportsBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 65.96%EV -8.82%E -6.34%K -22.61%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -7.34%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -7.33%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 14:49
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -8.16%E -5.83%K -20.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -7.34%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -11.36%E -2.58%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-20 14:48
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -8.16%E -5.83%K -20.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -7.34%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -11.36%E -2.58%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-20 14:45
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -10.79%E -7.93%K -29.96%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -7.34%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -9.34%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 13:04
Bet Right🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -10.79%E -7.93%K -29.96%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -7.34%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -11.36%E -2.58%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-20 14:19
BetRivers🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.50%EV -5.54%E -3.85%K -12.59%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -10.91%E -1.75%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -9.34%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-19 14:02
Unibet (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.50%EV -5.54%E -3.85%K -12.59%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -10.91%E -1.75%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -9.34%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-19 14:02
Casumo🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.50%EV -5.54%E -3.85%K -12.59%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -10.91%E -1.75%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -9.34%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-19 14:02
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.50%EV -5.54%E -3.85%K -12.59%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -10.91%E -1.75%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -9.34%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-19 14:01
Unibet (NL)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.50%EV -5.54%E -3.85%K -12.59%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -10.91%E -1.75%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -9.34%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-19 14:01
ATG (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.50%EV -5.54%E -3.85%K -12.59%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -10.91%E -1.75%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -9.34%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-19 14:01
Svenska Spel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.50%EV -5.54%E -3.85%K -12.59%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -10.91%E -1.75%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -9.34%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-19 14:01
betPARX🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.50%EV -5.54%E -3.85%K -12.59%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -10.91%E -1.75%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -9.34%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-19 14:02
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.71%EV -8.16%E -5.83%K -20.40%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.72%EV -10.91%E -1.75%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.57%EV -5.31%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 14:49
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.89%EV -6.85%E -4.82%K -16.31%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.51%EV -10.91%E -1.75%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -15.38%E -3.66%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 14:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.71%EV -10.79%E -7.93%K -29.96%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.65%EV -13.05%E -2.14%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.64%EV -8.33%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-20 14:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -4.88%E -3.37%K -10.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -14.47%E -2.41%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -4.30%E -0.906%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 14:54
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -5.54%E -3.85%K -12.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -14.47%E -2.41%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -12.77%E -2.95%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 14:54
Codere (IT)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -8.16%E -5.83%K -20.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -14.47%E -2.41%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -9.34%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-20 14:54
Unibet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.82%EV -6.85%E -4.82%K -16.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -14.47%E -2.41%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -13.37%E -3.11%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-19 14:01
Grosvenor🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.82%EV -6.85%E -4.82%K -16.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -14.47%E -2.41%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -13.37%E -3.11%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-19 14:01
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -8.16%E -5.83%K -20.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -14.47%E -2.41%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -12.77%E -2.95%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-20 14:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.97%EV -8.16%E -5.83%K -20.40%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.68%EV -17.32%E -2.99%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.35%EV -5.31%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-20 14:49
TABtouch🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 63.50%EV -7.51%E -5.32%K -18.31%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.44%EV -17.32%E -2.99%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.07%EV -14.38%E -3.38%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-19 14:01
LiveScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.66%EV -8.16%E -5.83%K -20.40%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.37%EV -17.32%E -2.99%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.97%EV -14.38%E -3.38%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-19 14:02
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.66%EV -8.16%E -5.83%K -20.40%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.37%EV -17.32%E -2.99%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.97%EV -14.38%E -3.38%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-19 14:02
Virgin Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.66%EV -8.16%E -5.83%K -20.40%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.37%EV -17.32%E -2.99%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.97%EV -14.38%E -3.38%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-19 14:01
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -8.16%E -5.83%K -20.40%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -18.04%E -3.14%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -12.77%E -2.95%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-20 13:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -8.16%E -5.83%K -20.40%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -18.04%E -3.14%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -12.77%E -2.95%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-20 13:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -8.16%E -5.83%K -20.40%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -18.04%E -3.14%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -12.77%E -2.95%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-20 13:04
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -8.16%E -5.83%K -20.40%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -18.04%E -3.14%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -12.77%E -2.95%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-20 13:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.46%EV -10.79%E -7.93%K -29.96%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.38%EV -18.75%E -3.29%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.15%EV -12.36%E -2.84%K -3.69%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-20 14:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -8.16%E -5.83%K -20.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -21.60%E -3.93%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -9.34%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-20 14:54
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.54%EV -10.79%E -7.93%K -29.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -21.60%E -3.93%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -9.34%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-20 13:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 67.11%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.42%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.47%0.7%2026-09-20 14:54
Matchbook◎1.48I 67.57%NM 67.11%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.42%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.47%0.7%2026-09-20 14:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.49%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.05%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45%0.8%2026-09-20 14:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.23%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.00%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77%1.2%2026-09-20 14:54
Smarkets◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.40%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.30%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.30%1.6%2026-09-20 14:49