Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tromso v Aalesund

Kickoff: 2026-05-25 15:00 UTC

Final: Tromso 1–1 Aalesund

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tromso (Local)

Prediction 62.75%1.59fair odd
EV -3.37%
Edge -2.19%
Kelly -6.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.40%62.82%62.69%65.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.461.451.5473.53%68.43%68.97%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Aalesund (Visit)

Prediction 15.96%6.26fair odd
EV +7.75%
Edge +1.15%
Kelly +1.35%
Growth +0.105%

assuming max odds 6.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.78%15.92%15.98%17.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.895.806.7520.00%16.98%17.24%14.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.29%4.70fair odd
EV +1.11%
Edge +0.234%
Kelly +0.297%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 4.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.23%21.27%21.33%22.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.314.334.7526.67%23.20%23.09%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tromso (Local): 62.75%; Aalesund (Visit): 15.96%; Draw: 21.29%. For Aalesund (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.26. 16 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.75%.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
betPARX🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.99%EV -11.52%E -8.17%K -28.10%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV +7.75%E +1.15%K +1.35%G +0.105%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -2.08%E -0.452%K -0.578%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-18 15:05
Pinnacle🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.25%EV -7.13%E -4.82%K -14.85%G +0.000%6.72I 14.88%NM 14.37%EV +7.27%E +1.08%K +1.27%G +0.092%4.74I 21.10%NM 20.37%EV +0.900%E +0.190%K +0.241%G +0.002%3.5%2026-05-25 14:50
Coolbet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.10%EV -6.50%E -4.36%K -13.27%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.48%EV +6.95%E +1.04%K +1.22%G +0.085%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.42%EV +1.11%E +0.234%K +0.297%G +0.003%3.1%2026-05-25 14:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -10.90%E -7.67%K -25.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV +3.76%E +0.579%K +0.684%G +0.026%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -4.21%E -0.935%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-25 14:50
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -12.15%E -8.68%K -30.38%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV +3.76%E +0.579%K +0.684%G +0.026%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -7.83%E -1.81%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-25 14:50
Unibet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.26%EV -9.01%E -6.22%K -20.03%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV +2.17%E +0.338%K +0.401%G +0.009%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -6.34%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-25 14:50
Grosvenor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.42%EV -9.64%E -6.69%K -21.91%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.49%EV +2.17%E +0.338%K +0.401%G +0.009%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -6.34%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-25 14:50
BetRivers🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.42%EV -9.64%E -6.69%K -21.91%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.49%EV +2.17%E +0.338%K +0.401%G +0.009%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -6.34%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-25 14:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.42%EV -9.64%E -6.69%K -21.91%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.49%EV +2.17%E +0.338%K +0.401%G +0.009%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -6.34%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-25 14:50
Casumo🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.42%EV -9.64%E -6.69%K -21.91%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.49%EV +2.17%E +0.338%K +0.401%G +0.009%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -6.34%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-25 14:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.42%EV -9.64%E -6.69%K -21.91%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.49%EV +2.17%E +0.338%K +0.401%G +0.009%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -6.34%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-25 14:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.42%EV -9.64%E -6.69%K -21.91%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.49%EV +2.17%E +0.338%K +0.401%G +0.009%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -6.34%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-25 14:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.42%EV -9.64%E -6.69%K -21.91%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.49%EV +2.17%E +0.338%K +0.401%G +0.009%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -6.34%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-25 14:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.42%EV -9.64%E -6.69%K -21.91%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.49%EV +2.17%E +0.338%K +0.401%G +0.009%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -6.34%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-25 14:50
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.54%EV -4.62%E -3.04%K -8.89%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV +0.569%E +0.090%K +0.107%G +0.001%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%EV -9.53%E -2.24%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 14:50
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.54%EV -4.62%E -3.04%K -8.89%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV +0.569%E +0.090%K +0.107%G +0.001%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%EV -9.53%E -2.24%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 14:50
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.20%EV -10.27%E -7.18%K -23.88%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.69%EV -0.229%E -0.037%K -0.044%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -7.40%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-25 14:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.21%EV -10.90%E -7.67%K -25.94%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.59%EV -0.229%E -0.037%K -0.044%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.20%EV -8.47%E -1.97%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-25 14:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.21%EV -10.90%E -7.67%K -25.94%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.59%EV -0.229%E -0.037%K -0.044%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.20%EV -8.47%E -1.97%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-25 14:50
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.82%EV -3.37%E -2.19%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.14I 16.29%NM 15.51%EV -1.99%E -0.323%K -0.386%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -10.60%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 14:50
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.15%EV -12.15%E -8.68%K -30.38%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.72%EV -2.62%E -0.430%K -0.514%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.13%EV -9.53%E -2.24%K -2.93%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-25 14:50
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.70%EV -5.25%E -3.48%K -10.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.78%EV -4.22%E -0.703%K -0.844%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -6.34%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 14:50
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.17%EV -7.13%E -4.82%K -14.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -4.22%E -0.703%K -0.844%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -6.34%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 14:30
Bet Right🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -12.15%E -8.68%K -30.38%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -4.22%E -0.703%K -0.844%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.60%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-25 14:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.50%EV -14.66%E -10.78%K -40.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -4.22%E -0.703%K -0.844%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.88%EV -10.60%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-25 14:50
GTbets🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.19%EV -7.13%E -4.82%K -14.85%G +0.000%5.94I 16.84%NM 15.74%EV -5.18%E -0.872%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.06%EV -5.49%E -1.24%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 14:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.61%EV -6.50%E -4.36%K -13.27%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.95%EV -6.61%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.45%EV -7.40%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-25 14:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.31%EV -9.01%E -6.22%K -20.03%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -7.41%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -6.34%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-25 14:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -5.88%E -3.92%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -8.21%E -1.43%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -6.34%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 14:40
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -5.88%E -3.92%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -8.21%E -1.43%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -6.34%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 14:40
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.12%EV -5.88%E -3.92%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -8.21%E -1.43%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -8.47%E -1.97%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-25 14:40
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -5.88%E -3.92%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -8.21%E -1.43%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -12.72%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 14:49
Bovada🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.76%EV -8.39%E -5.74%K -18.23%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -8.21%E -1.43%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -8.47%E -1.97%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-25 14:47
Everygame🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.01%EV -9.01%E -6.22%K -20.03%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89%EV -8.21%E -1.43%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.10%EV -7.83%E -1.81%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-25 14:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 63.87%EV -11.52%E -8.17%K -28.10%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -8.21%E -1.43%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.47%EV -6.34%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-25 14:43
BetOnline.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.03%EV -4.62%E -3.04%K -8.89%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -9.01%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.34%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-25 14:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.03%EV -4.62%E -3.04%K -8.89%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -9.01%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.34%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-25 14:50
BetUS🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.03%EV -4.62%E -3.04%K -8.89%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -9.01%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.34%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-25 14:50
BetAnything🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.03%EV -4.62%E -3.04%K -8.89%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -9.01%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.34%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-25 14:50
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -5.88%E -3.92%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -12.20%E -2.22%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -10.60%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-25 14:50
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.01%EV -7.13%E -4.82%K -14.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -12.20%E -2.22%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -14.85%E -3.71%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-25 14:50
SportsBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.64%E -6.69%K -21.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -12.20%E -2.22%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.60%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-25 14:30
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.64%E -6.69%K -21.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -12.20%E -2.22%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.60%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-25 14:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.43%EV -12.15%E -8.68%K -30.38%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.64%EV -12.20%E -2.22%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.93%EV -20.17%E -5.38%K -7.34%G +0.000%16.3%2026-05-25 14:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -7.76%E -5.28%K -16.51%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -13.80%E -2.56%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -10.60%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-25 14:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.06%EV -7.76%E -5.28%K -16.51%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.21%EV -15.39%E -2.90%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -6.34%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-25 14:40
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.40%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -16.19%E -3.08%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -10.60%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-25 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -7.13%E -4.82%K -14.85%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -16.19%E -3.08%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -10.60%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-25 14:40
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -7.13%E -4.82%K -14.85%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -16.19%E -3.08%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -10.60%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-25 14:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -7.13%E -4.82%K -14.85%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -16.19%E -3.08%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -10.60%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-25 14:40
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -7.13%E -4.82%K -14.85%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -16.19%E -3.08%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -10.60%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-25 14:40
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.19%EV -9.64%E -6.69%K -21.91%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.78%EV -16.19%E -3.08%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.03%EV -14.85%E -3.71%K -4.95%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-25 14:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 61.75%EV -10.90%E -7.67%K -25.94%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.86%EV -16.99%E -3.27%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.39%EV -12.72%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-25 14:49
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -9.64%E -6.69%K -21.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -20.18%E -4.04%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -10.60%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-25 14:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.48%EV -10.27%E -7.18%K -23.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.58%EV -20.18%E -4.04%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.93%EV -10.60%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-25 14:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.34%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%0.9%2026-05-25 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.34%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%0.9%2026-05-25 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.34%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%0.9%2026-05-25 14:50
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 64.34%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%0.9%2026-05-25 14:50
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 64.06%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99%1.4%2026-05-25 14:50