La escuela de los momios

Tromso v Aalesund

Inicio: 2026-05-25 15:00 UTC

Final: Tromso 1–1 Aalesund

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Tromso (Local)

Predicción 62.75%1.59momio equitativo
EV -3.37%
Ventaja -2.19%
Kelly -6.23%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.54

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.40%62.82%62.69%65.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.361.461.451.5473.53%68.43%68.97%64.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Aalesund (Visitante)

Predicción 15.96%6.26momio equitativo
EV +7.75%
Ventaja +1.15%
Kelly +1.35%
Crecimiento +0.105%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.78%15.92%15.98%17.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.005.895.806.7520.00%16.98%17.24%14.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 21.29%4.70momio equitativo
EV +1.11%
Ventaja +0.234%
Kelly +0.297%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.23%21.27%21.33%22.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.314.334.7526.67%23.20%23.09%21.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
betPARX1.41I 70.92%NM 65.99%EV -11.52%E -8.17%K -28.10%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV +7.75%E +1.15%K +1.35%G +0.105%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -2.08%E -0.452%K -0.578%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-18 15:05
Pinnacle1.48I 67.57%NM 65.25%EV -7.13%E -4.82%K -14.85%G +0.000%6.72I 14.88%NM 14.37%EV +7.27%E +1.08%K +1.27%G +0.092%4.74I 21.10%NM 20.37%EV +0.900%E +0.190%K +0.241%G +0.002%3.5%2026-05-25 14:50
Coolbet1.49I 67.11%NM 65.10%EV -6.50%E -4.36%K -13.27%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.48%EV +6.95%E +1.04%K +1.22%G +0.085%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.42%EV +1.11%E +0.234%K +0.297%G +0.003%3.1%2026-05-25 14:50
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -10.90%E -7.67%K -25.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV +3.76%E +0.579%K +0.684%G +0.026%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -4.21%E -0.935%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-25 14:50
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -12.15%E -8.68%K -30.38%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV +3.76%E +0.579%K +0.684%G +0.026%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -7.83%E -1.81%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-25 14:50
Unibet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.26%EV -9.01%E -6.22%K -20.03%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV +2.17%E +0.338%K +0.401%G +0.009%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -6.34%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-25 14:50
Grosvenor1.44I 69.44%NM 64.42%EV -9.64%E -6.69%K -21.91%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.49%EV +2.17%E +0.338%K +0.401%G +0.009%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -6.34%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-25 14:50
BetRivers1.44I 69.44%NM 64.42%EV -9.64%E -6.69%K -21.91%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.49%EV +2.17%E +0.338%K +0.401%G +0.009%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -6.34%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-25 14:50
Unibet (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.42%EV -9.64%E -6.69%K -21.91%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.49%EV +2.17%E +0.338%K +0.401%G +0.009%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -6.34%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-25 14:50
Casumo1.44I 69.44%NM 64.42%EV -9.64%E -6.69%K -21.91%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.49%EV +2.17%E +0.338%K +0.401%G +0.009%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -6.34%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-25 14:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.42%EV -9.64%E -6.69%K -21.91%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.49%EV +2.17%E +0.338%K +0.401%G +0.009%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -6.34%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-25 14:50
Unibet (NL)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.42%EV -9.64%E -6.69%K -21.91%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.49%EV +2.17%E +0.338%K +0.401%G +0.009%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -6.34%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-25 14:50
ATG (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.42%EV -9.64%E -6.69%K -21.91%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.49%EV +2.17%E +0.338%K +0.401%G +0.009%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -6.34%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-25 14:50
Svenska Spel1.44I 69.44%NM 64.42%EV -9.64%E -6.69%K -21.91%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.49%EV +2.17%E +0.338%K +0.401%G +0.009%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -6.34%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-25 14:50
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 62.54%EV -4.62%E -3.04%K -8.89%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV +0.569%E +0.090%K +0.107%G +0.001%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%EV -9.53%E -2.24%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 14:50
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.54%EV -4.62%E -3.04%K -8.89%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV +0.569%E +0.090%K +0.107%G +0.001%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%EV -9.53%E -2.24%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 14:50
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 64.20%EV -10.27%E -7.18%K -23.88%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.69%EV -0.229%E -0.037%K -0.044%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -7.40%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-25 14:50
Virgin Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 64.21%EV -10.90%E -7.67%K -25.94%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.59%EV -0.229%E -0.037%K -0.044%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.20%EV -8.47%E -1.97%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-25 14:50
LiveScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 64.21%EV -10.90%E -7.67%K -25.94%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.59%EV -0.229%E -0.037%K -0.044%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.20%EV -8.47%E -1.97%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-25 14:50
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.82%EV -3.37%E -2.19%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.14I 16.29%NM 15.51%EV -1.99%E -0.323%K -0.386%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -10.60%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 14:50
LeoVegas1.40I 71.43%NM 64.15%EV -12.15%E -8.68%K -30.38%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.72%EV -2.62%E -0.430%K -0.514%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.13%EV -9.53%E -2.24%K -2.93%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-25 14:50
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 62.70%EV -5.25%E -3.48%K -10.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.78%EV -4.22%E -0.703%K -0.844%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -6.34%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 14:50
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 63.17%EV -7.13%E -4.82%K -14.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -4.22%E -0.703%K -0.844%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -6.34%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 14:30
Bet Right1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -12.15%E -8.68%K -30.38%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -4.22%E -0.703%K -0.844%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.60%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-25 14:50
PMU (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 64.50%EV -14.66%E -10.78%K -40.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -4.22%E -0.703%K -0.844%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.88%EV -10.60%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-25 14:50
GTbets1.48I 67.57%NM 63.19%EV -7.13%E -4.82%K -14.85%G +0.000%5.94I 16.84%NM 15.74%EV -5.18%E -0.872%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.06%EV -5.49%E -1.24%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 14:30
Marathon Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.61%EV -6.50%E -4.36%K -13.27%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.95%EV -6.61%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.45%EV -7.40%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-25 14:50
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.31%EV -9.01%E -6.22%K -20.03%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -7.41%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -6.34%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-25 14:50
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -5.88%E -3.92%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -8.21%E -1.43%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -6.34%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 14:40
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -5.88%E -3.92%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -8.21%E -1.43%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -6.34%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 14:40
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 62.12%EV -5.88%E -3.92%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -8.21%E -1.43%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -8.47%E -1.97%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-25 14:40
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -5.88%E -3.92%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -8.21%E -1.43%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -12.72%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 14:49
Bovada1.46I 68.49%NM 62.76%EV -8.39%E -5.74%K -18.23%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -8.21%E -1.43%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -8.47%E -1.97%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-25 14:47
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 63.01%EV -9.01%E -6.22%K -20.03%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89%EV -8.21%E -1.43%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.10%EV -7.83%E -1.81%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-25 14:50
Betclic (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 63.87%EV -11.52%E -8.17%K -28.10%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -8.21%E -1.43%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.47%EV -6.34%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-25 14:43
BetOnline.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 62.03%EV -4.62%E -3.04%K -8.89%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -9.01%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.34%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-25 14:50
LowVig.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 62.03%EV -4.62%E -3.04%K -8.89%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -9.01%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.34%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-25 14:50
BetUS1.52I 65.79%NM 62.03%EV -4.62%E -3.04%K -8.89%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -9.01%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.34%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-25 14:50
BetAnything1.52I 65.79%NM 62.03%EV -4.62%E -3.04%K -8.89%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -9.01%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.34%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-25 14:50
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -5.88%E -3.92%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -12.20%E -2.22%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -10.60%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-25 14:50
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 61.01%EV -7.13%E -4.82%K -14.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -12.20%E -2.22%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -14.85%E -3.71%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-25 14:50
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.64%E -6.69%K -21.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -12.20%E -2.22%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.60%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-25 14:30
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.64%E -6.69%K -21.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -12.20%E -2.22%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.60%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-25 14:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 61.43%EV -12.15%E -8.68%K -30.38%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.64%EV -12.20%E -2.22%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.93%EV -20.17%E -5.38%K -7.34%G +0.000%16.3%2026-05-25 14:40
Codere (IT)1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -7.76%E -5.28%K -16.51%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -13.80%E -2.56%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -10.60%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-25 14:40
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.06%EV -7.76%E -5.28%K -16.51%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.21%EV -15.39%E -2.90%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -6.34%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-25 14:40
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 60.40%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -16.19%E -3.08%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -10.60%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-25 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -7.13%E -4.82%K -14.85%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -16.19%E -3.08%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -10.60%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-25 14:40
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -7.13%E -4.82%K -14.85%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -16.19%E -3.08%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -10.60%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-25 14:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -7.13%E -4.82%K -14.85%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -16.19%E -3.08%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -10.60%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-25 14:40
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -7.13%E -4.82%K -14.85%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -16.19%E -3.08%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -10.60%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-25 14:40
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 61.19%EV -9.64%E -6.69%K -21.91%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.78%EV -16.19%E -3.08%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.03%EV -14.85%E -3.71%K -4.95%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-25 14:30
Unibet (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 61.75%EV -10.90%E -7.67%K -25.94%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.86%EV -16.99%E -3.27%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.39%EV -12.72%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-25 14:49
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -9.64%E -6.69%K -21.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -20.18%E -4.04%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -10.60%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-25 14:30
Winamax (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.48%EV -10.27%E -7.18%K -23.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.58%EV -20.18%E -4.04%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.93%EV -10.60%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-25 14:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.34%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%0.9%2026-05-25 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.34%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%0.9%2026-05-25 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.34%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%0.9%2026-05-25 14:50
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 64.34%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%0.9%2026-05-25 14:50
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 64.06%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99%1.4%2026-05-25 14:50