Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

SK Brann v Vålerenga

Kickoff: 2026-07-26 12:30 UTC

Final: SK Brann 2–3 Vålerenga

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SK Brann (Local)

Prediction 56.60%1.77fair odd
EV -1.52%
Edge -0.873%
Kelly -2.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.48%56.56%56.59%58.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.641.631.7464.52%61.14%61.35%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Vålerenga (Visit)

Prediction 21.66%4.62fair odd
EV +3.32%
Edge +0.696%
Kelly +0.881%
Growth +0.029%

assuming max odds 4.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.92%21.69%21.62%23.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.224.254.7727.78%23.69%23.53%20.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.74%4.60fair odd
EV -1.30%
Edge -0.286%
Kelly -0.366%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.51%21.74%21.79%23.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.204.204.5425.00%23.80%23.81%22.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SK Brann (Local): 56.60%; Vålerenga (Visit): 21.66%; Draw: 21.74%. For Vålerenga (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.62. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.77, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.32%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.29%EV -7.74%E -4.75%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.77I 20.96%NM 19.92%EV +3.32%E +0.696%K +0.881%G +0.029%4.36I 22.94%NM 21.79%EV -5.21%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 12:25
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.09%EV -3.78%E -2.22%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10%EV -0.361%E -0.079%K -0.100%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.81%EV -3.25%E -0.731%K -0.943%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-26 11:10
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.52%EV -4.91%E -2.93%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 21.19%EV -1.23%E -0.269%K -0.345%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.29%EV -1.30%E -0.286%K -0.366%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-26 12:25
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.48%E -3.28%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58%EV -4.69%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58%EV -4.34%E -0.987%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 12:25
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.27%EV -4.91%E -2.93%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.49%EV -4.69%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.24%EV -7.60%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-26 12:05
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.27%EV -4.91%E -2.93%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.49%EV -4.69%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.24%EV -7.60%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-26 12:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.24%EV -7.74%E -4.75%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -4.69%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -5.86%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 12:20
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.88%E -5.51%K -14.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -4.69%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -4.34%E -0.987%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 12:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.48%E -3.28%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.61%EV -5.78%E -1.33%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -7.60%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 12:25
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.00%EV -1.52%E -0.873%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.10%EV -6.21%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.90%EV -9.12%E -2.18%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-26 12:15
William Hill🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.75%EV -6.61%E -4.01%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -6.21%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 12:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.42%EV -4.91%E -2.93%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -6.86%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -4.34%E -0.987%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-26 12:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.91%E -2.93%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -6.86%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -6.51%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 12:15
BetAnything🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.91%E -2.93%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -6.86%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -6.51%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 12:15
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.48%E -3.28%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -6.86%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -6.51%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 12:15
Casumo🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.59%EV -7.74%E -4.75%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -6.86%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 11:50
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.59%EV -7.74%E -4.75%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -6.86%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 11:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.59%EV -7.74%E -4.75%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -6.86%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 11:50
Grosvenor🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.59%EV -7.74%E -4.75%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -6.86%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 11:51
Unibet (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.59%EV -7.74%E -4.75%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -6.86%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 11:50
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.59%EV -7.74%E -4.75%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -6.86%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 11:46
Unibet (NL)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.59%EV -7.74%E -4.75%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -6.86%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 11:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.59%EV -7.74%E -4.75%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -6.86%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 11:46
betPARX🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.59%EV -7.74%E -4.75%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -6.86%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 11:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.59%EV -7.74%E -4.75%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -6.86%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 11:51
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.74%EV -8.31%E -5.13%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -6.86%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 12:24
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.44%EV -8.31%E -5.13%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.26%EV -6.86%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -10.86%E -2.65%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 12:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -6.61%E -4.01%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -7.94%E -1.87%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -7.60%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 12:10
SportsBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.73%EV -7.74%E -4.75%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.76%EV -7.94%E -1.87%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -6.51%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 12:15
TABtouch🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.60%EV -8.31%E -5.13%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.57%EV -7.94%E -1.87%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 11:51
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -4.35%E -2.57%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 12:05
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.37%EV -6.61%E -4.01%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -5.86%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 12:25
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -8.31%E -5.13%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 12:10
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -8.31%E -5.13%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 12:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -8.31%E -5.13%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 12:15
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -8.88%E -5.51%K -14.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-26 12:15
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -8.88%E -5.51%K -14.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-26 12:15
Everygame🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -9.44%E -5.90%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 12:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.46%EV -9.44%E -5.90%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -10.86%E -2.65%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-26 11:46
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.46%EV -9.44%E -5.90%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -10.86%E -2.65%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-26 11:51
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.07%EV -10.57%E -6.69%K -18.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-26 12:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 56.62%EV -10.01%E -6.29%K -16.96%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.69%EV -10.11%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.69%EV -9.78%E -2.36%K -3.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 12:25
BetUS🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.17%EV -3.78%E -2.22%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 22.71%EV -10.54%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.12%EV -7.82%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-26 12:05
LeoVegas🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.84%EV -6.61%E -4.01%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -11.19%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.68%EV -7.60%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 12:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.71%EV -7.74%E -4.75%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -11.19%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -10.86%E -2.65%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 12:24
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.40%EV -7.74%E -4.75%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -11.19%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-26 12:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 56.64%EV -12.27%E -7.92%K -22.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.41%EV -11.19%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-26 11:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.12%EV -8.31%E -5.13%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -13.36%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.14%EV -6.51%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-26 12:25
Sky Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -9.44%E -5.90%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.36%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-26 12:05
Bet Right🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.55%EV -8.88%E -5.51%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.64%EV -14.44%E -3.66%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.81%EV -10.86%E -2.65%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-26 12:10
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.48%EV -6.61%E -4.01%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -15.52%E -3.98%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-26 12:05
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.48%EV -6.61%E -4.01%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -15.52%E -3.98%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-26 12:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.48%EV -6.61%E -4.01%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -15.52%E -3.98%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-26 12:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.48%EV -6.61%E -4.01%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -15.52%E -3.98%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-26 12:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.69%EV -10.57%E -6.69%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.85%EV -16.61%E -4.31%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.46%EV -10.86%E -2.65%K -3.50%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-26 12:25
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 55.57%EV -12.27%E -7.92%K -22.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.93%EV -22.02%E -6.12%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.51%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%16.1%2026-07-26 12:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 57.46%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.27%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.27%0.0%2026-07-26 12:26
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.19%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%0.5%2026-07-26 12:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.19%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%0.5%2026-07-26 12:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.19%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%0.5%2026-07-26 12:25
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.66%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.43%1.4%2026-07-26 12:25