Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

SK Brann v Vålerenga

Inicio: 2026-07-26 12:30 UTC

Final: SK Brann 2–3 Vålerenga

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

SK Brann (Local)

Predicción 56.60%1.77momio equitativo
EV -1.52%
Ventaja -0.873%
Kelly -2.05%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.74

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.48%56.56%56.59%58.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.551.641.631.7464.52%61.14%61.35%57.47%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Vålerenga (Visitante)

Predicción 21.66%4.62momio equitativo
EV +3.32%
Ventaja +0.696%
Kelly +0.881%
Crecimiento +0.029%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.77

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.92%21.69%21.62%23.93%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.604.224.254.7727.78%23.69%23.53%20.96%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 21.74%4.60momio equitativo
EV -1.30%
Ventaja -0.286%
Kelly -0.366%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.54

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.51%21.74%21.79%23.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.004.204.204.5425.00%23.80%23.81%22.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: SK Brann (Local): 56.60%; Vålerenga (Visitante): 21.66%; Empate: 21.74%. Para Vålerenga (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.62. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.77, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.32%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.29%EV -7.74%E -4.75%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.77I 20.96%NM 19.92%EV +3.32%E +0.696%K +0.881%G +0.029%4.36I 22.94%NM 21.79%EV -5.21%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 12:25
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.09%EV -3.78%E -2.22%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10%EV -0.361%E -0.079%K -0.100%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.81%EV -3.25%E -0.731%K -0.943%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-26 11:10
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.52%EV -4.91%E -2.93%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 21.19%EV -1.23%E -0.269%K -0.345%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.29%EV -1.30%E -0.286%K -0.366%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-26 12:25
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.48%E -3.28%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58%EV -4.69%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58%EV -4.34%E -0.987%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 12:25
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.27%EV -4.91%E -2.93%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.49%EV -4.69%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.24%EV -7.60%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-26 12:05
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.27%EV -4.91%E -2.93%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.49%EV -4.69%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.24%EV -7.60%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-26 12:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.24%EV -7.74%E -4.75%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -4.69%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -5.86%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 12:20
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.88%E -5.51%K -14.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -4.69%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -4.34%E -0.987%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 12:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.48%E -3.28%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.61%EV -5.78%E -1.33%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -7.60%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 12:25
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.00%EV -1.52%E -0.873%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.10%EV -6.21%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.90%EV -9.12%E -2.18%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-26 12:15
William Hill🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.75%EV -6.61%E -4.01%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -6.21%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 12:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.42%EV -4.91%E -2.93%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -6.86%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -4.34%E -0.987%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-26 12:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.91%E -2.93%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -6.86%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -6.51%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 12:15
BetAnything🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.91%E -2.93%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -6.86%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -6.51%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 12:15
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.48%E -3.28%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -6.86%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -6.51%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 12:15
Casumo🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.59%EV -7.74%E -4.75%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -6.86%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 11:50
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.59%EV -7.74%E -4.75%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -6.86%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 11:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.59%EV -7.74%E -4.75%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -6.86%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 11:50
Grosvenor🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.59%EV -7.74%E -4.75%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -6.86%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 11:51
Unibet (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.59%EV -7.74%E -4.75%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -6.86%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 11:50
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.59%EV -7.74%E -4.75%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -6.86%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 11:46
Unibet (NL)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.59%EV -7.74%E -4.75%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -6.86%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 11:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.59%EV -7.74%E -4.75%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -6.86%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 11:46
betPARX🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.59%EV -7.74%E -4.75%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -6.86%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 11:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.59%EV -7.74%E -4.75%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -6.86%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 11:51
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.74%EV -8.31%E -5.13%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -6.86%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 12:24
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.44%EV -8.31%E -5.13%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.26%EV -6.86%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -10.86%E -2.65%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 12:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -6.61%E -4.01%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -7.94%E -1.87%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -7.60%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 12:10
SportsBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.73%EV -7.74%E -4.75%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.76%EV -7.94%E -1.87%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -6.51%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 12:15
TABtouch🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.60%EV -8.31%E -5.13%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.57%EV -7.94%E -1.87%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 11:51
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -4.35%E -2.57%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 12:05
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.37%EV -6.61%E -4.01%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -5.86%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 12:25
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -8.31%E -5.13%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 12:10
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -8.31%E -5.13%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 12:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -8.31%E -5.13%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 12:15
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -8.88%E -5.51%K -14.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-26 12:15
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -8.88%E -5.51%K -14.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-26 12:15
Everygame🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -9.44%E -5.90%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 12:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.46%EV -9.44%E -5.90%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -10.86%E -2.65%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-26 11:46
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.46%EV -9.44%E -5.90%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -10.86%E -2.65%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-26 11:51
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.07%EV -10.57%E -6.69%K -18.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-26 12:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 56.62%EV -10.01%E -6.29%K -16.96%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.69%EV -10.11%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.69%EV -9.78%E -2.36%K -3.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 12:25
BetUS🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.17%EV -3.78%E -2.22%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 22.71%EV -10.54%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.12%EV -7.82%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-26 12:05
LeoVegas🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.84%EV -6.61%E -4.01%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -11.19%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.68%EV -7.60%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 12:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.71%EV -7.74%E -4.75%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -11.19%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -10.86%E -2.65%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 12:24
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.40%EV -7.74%E -4.75%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -11.19%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-26 12:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 56.64%EV -12.27%E -7.92%K -22.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.41%EV -11.19%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-26 11:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.12%EV -8.31%E -5.13%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -13.36%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.14%EV -6.51%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-26 12:25
Sky Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -9.44%E -5.90%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.36%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-26 12:05
Bet Right🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.55%EV -8.88%E -5.51%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.64%EV -14.44%E -3.66%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.81%EV -10.86%E -2.65%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-26 12:10
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.48%EV -6.61%E -4.01%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -15.52%E -3.98%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-26 12:05
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.48%EV -6.61%E -4.01%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -15.52%E -3.98%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-26 12:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.48%EV -6.61%E -4.01%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -15.52%E -3.98%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-26 12:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.48%EV -6.61%E -4.01%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -15.52%E -3.98%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-26 12:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.69%EV -10.57%E -6.69%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.85%EV -16.61%E -4.31%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.46%EV -10.86%E -2.65%K -3.50%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-26 12:25
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 55.57%EV -12.27%E -7.92%K -22.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.93%EV -22.02%E -6.12%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.51%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%16.1%2026-07-26 12:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 57.46%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.27%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.27%0.0%2026-07-26 12:26
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.19%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%0.5%2026-07-26 12:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.19%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%0.5%2026-07-26 12:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.19%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%0.5%2026-07-26 12:25
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.66%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.43%1.4%2026-07-26 12:25