Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

SK Brann v Sarpsborg FK

Kickoff: 2026-05-29 17:00 UTC

Final: SK Brann 1–2 Sarpsborg FK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SK Brann (Local)

Prediction 55.49%1.80fair odd
EV -2.33%
Edge -1.33%
Kelly -3.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.54%55.48%55.53%57.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.661.661.7664.10%60.27%60.24%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sarpsborg FK (Visit)

Prediction 22.42%4.46fair odd
EV -1.34%
Edge -0.304%
Kelly -0.393%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.10%22.43%22.46%24.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.134.204.4027.78%24.23%23.81%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.08%4.53fair odd
EV +0.485%
Edge +0.107%
Kelly +0.137%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 4.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.17%22.10%22.01%24.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.504.114.104.5528.57%24.34%24.39%21.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SK Brann (Local): 55.49%; Sarpsborg FK (Visit): 22.42%; Draw: 22.08%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.53. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.485%.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.10%EV -4.00%E -2.31%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.57%EV -3.58%E -0.833%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.33%EV +0.485%E +0.107%K +0.137%G +0.001%3.0%2026-05-29 16:40
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.33%EV -5.11%E -2.99%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.50%EV -4.03%E -0.941%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.17%EV +0.485%E +0.107%K +0.137%G +0.001%3.8%2026-05-29 16:50
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.27%EV -6.77%E -4.03%K -9.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.24%EV -4.70%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.49%EV -2.83%E -0.643%K -0.832%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 16:39
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.27%EV -6.77%E -4.03%K -9.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.24%EV -4.70%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.49%EV -2.83%E -0.643%K -0.832%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 16:39
GTbets🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.80%EV -2.33%E -1.33%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.13%EV -6.49%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 22.07%EV -3.49%E -0.799%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-29 16:19
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.61%EV -5.11%E -2.99%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.53%EV -5.37%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.86%EV -3.93%E -0.904%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-29 16:50
Betway🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.02%EV -5.66%E -3.33%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -10.31%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -4.37%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-29 16:40
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.10%EV -5.11%E -2.99%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.06%E -1.97%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -5.04%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 16:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.33%E -4.39%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -3.58%E -0.833%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -5.04%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 16:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.33%E -4.39%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -3.58%E -0.833%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -5.04%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 16:39
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.31%EV -10.10%E -6.24%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -1.34%E -0.304%K -0.393%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV -5.04%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-29 16:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.85%EV -7.33%E -4.39%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -5.82%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -6.14%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-29 16:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.66%E -3.33%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -5.82%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.24%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 16:40
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.51%EV -5.11%E -2.99%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -10.31%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.24%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-29 16:40
Bovada🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.95%EV -6.77%E -4.03%K -9.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.31%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -7.24%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-29 16:37
BetUS🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.95%EV -6.77%E -4.03%K -9.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.31%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -7.24%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-29 16:39
BetAnything🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.24%EV -7.88%E -4.75%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -10.31%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -7.24%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-29 16:49
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -10.66%E -6.62%K -17.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -5.82%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -7.24%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-29 16:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.75%EV -7.88%E -4.75%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -13.67%E -3.55%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -7.24%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-29 16:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.98%EV -7.88%E -4.75%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.36%EV -2.46%E -0.565%K -0.734%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -9.45%E -2.31%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-29 14:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.98%EV -7.88%E -4.75%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.36%EV -2.46%E -0.565%K -0.734%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -9.45%E -2.31%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-29 14:20
Casumo🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.98%EV -7.88%E -4.75%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.36%EV -2.46%E -0.565%K -0.734%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -9.45%E -2.31%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-29 14:19
Grosvenor🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.98%EV -7.88%E -4.75%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.36%EV -2.46%E -0.565%K -0.734%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -9.45%E -2.31%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-29 14:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.98%EV -7.88%E -4.75%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.36%EV -2.46%E -0.565%K -0.734%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -9.45%E -2.31%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-29 14:19
Unibet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.98%EV -7.88%E -4.75%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.36%EV -2.46%E -0.565%K -0.734%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -9.45%E -2.31%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-29 14:19
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.98%EV -7.88%E -4.75%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.36%EV -2.46%E -0.565%K -0.734%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -9.45%E -2.31%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-29 14:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.98%EV -7.88%E -4.75%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.36%EV -2.46%E -0.565%K -0.734%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -9.45%E -2.31%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-29 14:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.98%EV -7.88%E -4.75%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.36%EV -2.46%E -0.565%K -0.734%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -9.45%E -2.31%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-29 14:20
betPARX🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.98%EV -7.88%E -4.75%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.36%EV -2.46%E -0.565%K -0.734%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -9.45%E -2.31%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-29 14:27
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.33%E -4.39%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -8.06%E -1.97%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -9.45%E -2.31%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-29 16:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -8.44%E -5.11%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -5.82%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -9.45%E -2.31%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-29 16:39
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.78%EV -8.44%E -5.11%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -12.55%E -3.22%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -9.45%E -2.31%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-29 16:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.55%EV -10.10%E -6.24%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -10.31%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.95%EV -9.45%E -2.31%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-29 16:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -5.66%E -3.33%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -4.70%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -11.66%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-29 13:59
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -7.33%E -4.39%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -5.82%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.66%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-29 14:10
TABtouch🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.82%EV -8.99%E -5.48%K -14.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.29%EV -3.58%E -0.833%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -11.66%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-29 14:19
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -7.33%E -4.39%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -8.06%E -1.97%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -11.66%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-29 16:38
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -7.33%E -4.39%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -10.31%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -11.66%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-29 16:39
Codere (IT)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.34%EV -7.33%E -4.39%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.97%EV -11.43%E -2.89%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -11.66%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-29 16:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.99%EV -10.10%E -6.24%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.34%EV -4.70%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -11.66%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-29 14:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.99%EV -10.10%E -6.24%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.34%EV -4.70%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -11.66%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-29 14:20
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%EV -10.10%E -6.24%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -5.82%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -11.66%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-29 16:49
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -8.44%E -5.11%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -10.31%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -11.66%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-29 16:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.26%EV -10.10%E -6.24%K -16.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.76%EV -17.03%E -4.60%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.98%EV -11.66%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-29 16:40
BoyleSports🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 54.22%EV -11.21%E -7.01%K -18.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.10%EV -19.28%E -5.35%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.69%EV -11.66%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-29 16:30
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.99%EV -11.21%E -7.01%K -18.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -5.82%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.68%EV -12.77%E -3.23%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-29 14:19
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -7.33%E -4.39%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -14.79%E -3.89%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -13.87%E -3.56%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-29 16:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -7.33%E -4.39%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -14.79%E -3.89%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -13.87%E -3.56%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-29 16:39
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -7.33%E -4.39%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -14.79%E -3.89%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -13.87%E -3.56%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-29 16:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -7.33%E -4.39%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -14.79%E -3.89%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -13.87%E -3.56%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-29 16:39
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.93%EV -10.10%E -6.24%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.25%EV -10.31%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -13.87%E -3.56%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-29 16:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 54.45%EV -10.66%E -6.62%K -17.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.07%EV -14.79%E -3.89%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.48%EV -13.87%E -3.56%K -4.78%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-29 16:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.00%EV -13.43%E -8.61%K -23.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.31%EV -8.06%E -1.97%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.69%EV -14.97%E -3.89%K -5.25%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-29 14:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 54.32%EV -12.88%E -8.20%K -22.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.32%EV -10.31%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.36%EV -22.70%E -6.49%K -9.08%G +0.000%17.3%2026-05-29 16:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 57.19%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%0.5%2026-05-29 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%0.9%2026-05-29 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%0.9%2026-05-29 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%0.9%2026-05-29 16:40
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.80%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.36%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.84%1.8%2026-05-29 16:50