L’École des cotes

SK Brann v Sarpsborg FK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-29 17:00 UTC

Score final : SK Brann 1–2 Sarpsborg FK

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

SK Brann (Local)

Prévision 55.49%1.80cote équitable
EV -2.33%
Avantage -1.33%
Kelly -3.07%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.76

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.54%55.48%55.53%57.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.561.661.661.7664.10%60.27%60.24%56.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Sarpsborg FK (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.42%4.46cote équitable
EV -1.34%
Avantage -0.304%
Kelly -0.393%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.10%22.43%22.46%24.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.134.204.4027.78%24.23%23.81%22.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.08%4.53cote équitable
EV +0.485%
Avantage +0.107%
Kelly +0.137%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 4.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.17%22.10%22.01%24.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.504.114.104.5528.57%24.34%24.39%21.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 56.10%EV -4.00%E -2.31%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.57%EV -3.58%E -0.833%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.33%EV +0.485%E +0.107%K +0.137%G +0.001%3.0%2026-05-29 16:40
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 56.33%EV -5.11%E -2.99%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.50%EV -4.03%E -0.941%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.17%EV +0.485%E +0.107%K +0.137%G +0.001%3.8%2026-05-29 16:50
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.27%EV -6.77%E -4.03%K -9.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.24%EV -4.70%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.49%EV -2.83%E -0.643%K -0.832%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 16:39
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.27%EV -6.77%E -4.03%K -9.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.24%EV -4.70%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.49%EV -2.83%E -0.643%K -0.832%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 16:39
GTbets1.76I 56.82%NM 54.80%EV -2.33%E -1.33%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.13%EV -6.49%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 22.07%EV -3.49%E -0.799%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-29 16:19
1xBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.61%EV -5.11%E -2.99%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.53%EV -5.37%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.86%EV -3.93%E -0.904%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-29 16:50
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 55.02%EV -5.66%E -3.33%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -10.31%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -4.37%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-29 16:40
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.10%EV -5.11%E -2.99%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.06%E -1.97%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -5.04%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 16:39
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.33%E -4.39%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -3.58%E -0.833%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -5.04%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 16:39
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.33%E -4.39%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -3.58%E -0.833%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -5.04%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 16:39
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 57.31%EV -10.10%E -6.24%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -1.34%E -0.304%K -0.393%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV -5.04%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-29 16:49
Marathon Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.85%EV -7.33%E -4.39%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -5.82%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -6.14%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-29 16:50
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.66%E -3.33%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -5.82%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.24%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 16:40
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 54.51%EV -5.11%E -2.99%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -10.31%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.24%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-29 16:40
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 54.95%EV -6.77%E -4.03%K -9.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.31%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -7.24%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-29 16:37
BetUS1.68I 59.52%NM 54.95%EV -6.77%E -4.03%K -9.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.31%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -7.24%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-29 16:39
BetAnything1.66I 60.24%NM 55.24%EV -7.88%E -4.75%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -10.31%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -7.24%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-29 16:49
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -10.66%E -6.62%K -17.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -5.82%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -7.24%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-29 16:49
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.75%EV -7.88%E -4.75%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -13.67%E -3.55%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -7.24%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-29 16:39
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.98%EV -7.88%E -4.75%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.36%EV -2.46%E -0.565%K -0.734%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -9.45%E -2.31%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-29 14:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.98%EV -7.88%E -4.75%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.36%EV -2.46%E -0.565%K -0.734%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -9.45%E -2.31%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-29 14:20
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 55.98%EV -7.88%E -4.75%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.36%EV -2.46%E -0.565%K -0.734%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -9.45%E -2.31%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-29 14:19
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 55.98%EV -7.88%E -4.75%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.36%EV -2.46%E -0.565%K -0.734%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -9.45%E -2.31%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-29 14:19
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.98%EV -7.88%E -4.75%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.36%EV -2.46%E -0.565%K -0.734%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -9.45%E -2.31%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-29 14:19
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.98%EV -7.88%E -4.75%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.36%EV -2.46%E -0.565%K -0.734%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -9.45%E -2.31%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-29 14:19
BetRivers1.66I 60.24%NM 55.98%EV -7.88%E -4.75%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.36%EV -2.46%E -0.565%K -0.734%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -9.45%E -2.31%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-29 14:20
ATG (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.98%EV -7.88%E -4.75%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.36%EV -2.46%E -0.565%K -0.734%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -9.45%E -2.31%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-29 14:20
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24%NM 55.98%EV -7.88%E -4.75%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.36%EV -2.46%E -0.565%K -0.734%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -9.45%E -2.31%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-29 14:20
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 55.98%EV -7.88%E -4.75%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.36%EV -2.46%E -0.565%K -0.734%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -9.45%E -2.31%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-29 14:27
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.33%E -4.39%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -8.06%E -1.97%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -9.45%E -2.31%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-29 16:50
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -8.44%E -5.11%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -5.82%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -9.45%E -2.31%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-29 16:39
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 54.78%EV -8.44%E -5.11%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -12.55%E -3.22%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -9.45%E -2.31%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-29 16:39
Betclic (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.55%EV -10.10%E -6.24%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -10.31%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.95%EV -9.45%E -2.31%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-29 16:39
PointsBet (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -5.66%E -3.33%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -4.70%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -11.66%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-29 13:59
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -7.33%E -4.39%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -5.82%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.66%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-29 14:10
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 55.82%EV -8.99%E -5.48%K -14.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.29%EV -3.58%E -0.833%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -11.66%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-29 14:19
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -7.33%E -4.39%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -8.06%E -1.97%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -11.66%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-29 16:38
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -7.33%E -4.39%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -10.31%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -11.66%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-29 16:39
Codere (IT)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.34%EV -7.33%E -4.39%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.97%EV -11.43%E -2.89%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -11.66%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-29 16:39
LiveScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.99%EV -10.10%E -6.24%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.34%EV -4.70%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -11.66%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-29 14:19
Virgin Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.99%EV -10.10%E -6.24%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.34%EV -4.70%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -11.66%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-29 14:20
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%EV -10.10%E -6.24%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -5.82%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -11.66%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-29 16:49
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -8.44%E -5.11%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -10.31%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -11.66%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-29 16:39
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.26%EV -10.10%E -6.24%K -16.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.76%EV -17.03%E -4.60%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.98%EV -11.66%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-29 16:40
BoyleSports1.60I 62.50%NM 54.22%EV -11.21%E -7.01%K -18.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.10%EV -19.28%E -5.35%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.69%EV -11.66%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-29 16:30
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 55.99%EV -11.21%E -7.01%K -18.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -5.82%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.68%EV -12.77%E -3.23%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-29 14:19
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -7.33%E -4.39%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -14.79%E -3.89%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -13.87%E -3.56%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-29 16:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -7.33%E -4.39%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -14.79%E -3.89%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -13.87%E -3.56%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-29 16:39
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -7.33%E -4.39%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -14.79%E -3.89%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -13.87%E -3.56%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-29 16:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -7.33%E -4.39%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -14.79%E -3.89%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -13.87%E -3.56%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-29 16:39
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 54.93%EV -10.10%E -6.24%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.25%EV -10.31%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -13.87%E -3.56%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-29 16:49
Unibet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 54.45%EV -10.66%E -6.62%K -17.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.07%EV -14.79%E -3.89%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.48%EV -13.87%E -3.56%K -4.78%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-29 16:39
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 56.00%EV -13.43%E -8.61%K -23.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.31%EV -8.06%E -1.97%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.69%EV -14.97%E -3.89%K -5.25%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-29 14:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 54.32%EV -12.88%E -8.20%K -22.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.32%EV -10.31%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.36%EV -22.70%E -6.49%K -9.08%G +0.000%17.3%2026-05-29 16:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 57.19%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%0.5%2026-05-29 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%0.9%2026-05-29 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%0.9%2026-05-29 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%0.9%2026-05-29 16:40
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.80%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.36%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.84%1.8%2026-05-29 16:50