Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

SK Brann v Fredrikstad FK

Kickoff: 2026-05-02 16:00 UTC

Final: SK Brann 3–1 Fredrikstad FK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SK Brann (Local)

Prediction 64.57%1.55fair odd
EV -2.50%
Edge -1.66%
Kelly -4.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.40%64.58%64.55%68.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.441.441.5173.53%69.31%69.44%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Fredrikstad FK (Visit)

Prediction 15.22%6.57fair odd
EV +18.71%
Edge +2.40%
Kelly +2.75%
Growth +0.515%

assuming max odds 7.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.11%15.19%15.27%17.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.875.757.8020.00%17.03%17.39%12.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.21%4.95fair odd
EV -1.77%
Edge -0.365%
Kelly -0.459%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.86

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.42%20.24%20.18%22.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.444.404.8626.67%22.54%22.73%20.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SK Brann (Local): 64.57%; Fredrikstad FK (Visit): 15.22%; Draw: 20.21%. For Fredrikstad FK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.57. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +18.71%.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Betsson🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.42%EV -10.89%E -7.89%K -28.67%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.11%EV +18.71%E +2.40%K +2.75%G +0.515%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.47%EV -1.97%E -0.407%K -0.513%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 15:45
NordicBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.42%EV -10.89%E -7.89%K -28.67%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.11%EV +18.71%E +2.40%K +2.75%G +0.515%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.47%EV -1.97%E -0.407%K -0.513%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 15:50
Pinnacle🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.59%EV -5.08%E -3.46%K -10.81%G +0.000%6.62I 15.11%NM 14.57%EV +0.750%E +0.113%K +0.133%G +0.001%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.84%EV -1.77%E -0.365%K -0.459%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-02 15:50
1xBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.47%EV -6.37%E -4.40%K -14.17%G +0.000%6.51I 15.36%NM 14.58%EV -0.925%E -0.142%K -0.168%G +0.000%4.76I 21.01%NM 19.94%EV -3.79%E -0.797%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 15:55
DraftKings🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.29%EV -6.37%E -4.40%K -14.17%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.57%EV -1.08%E -0.166%K -0.196%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.14%EV -5.01%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 15:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -8.31%E -5.85%K -19.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -1.08%E -0.166%K -0.196%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -9.05%E -2.01%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 15:50
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -9.60%E -6.86%K -24.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -1.08%E -0.166%K -0.196%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.05%E -2.01%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 15:35
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.72%EV -3.15%E -2.10%K -6.29%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 15.05%EV -1.84%E -0.285%K -0.337%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.23%EV -2.98%E -0.622%K -0.785%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-02 13:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -7.02%E -4.87%K -15.95%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.69%EV -3.36%E -0.529%K -0.628%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.51%EV -8.04%E -1.77%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 15:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.40%EV -5.73%E -3.92%K -12.45%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.16%EV -5.64%E -0.910%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -7.03%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 12:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.40%EV -5.73%E -3.92%K -12.45%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.16%EV -5.64%E -0.910%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -7.03%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 12:50
GTbets🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.80%EV -3.15%E -2.10%K -6.29%G +0.000%6.11I 16.37%NM 15.66%EV -7.01%E -1.15%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.66I 21.46%NM 20.54%EV -5.81%E -1.25%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 15:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -6.37%E -4.40%K -14.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -8.69%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -4.00%E -0.841%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 14:45
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.23%EV -6.37%E -4.40%K -14.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -8.69%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -7.03%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 15:45
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -7.02%E -4.87%K -15.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -8.69%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -9.05%E -2.01%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 15:50
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -7.02%E -4.87%K -15.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -8.69%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -9.05%E -2.01%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 15:45
BetUS🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -7.67%E -5.36%K -17.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -8.69%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -9.05%E -2.01%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 15:45
Bovada🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -7.67%E -5.36%K -17.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -8.69%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -9.05%E -2.01%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 15:51
BetAnything🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -7.67%E -5.36%K -17.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -8.69%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -9.05%E -2.01%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 15:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.71%EV -8.31%E -5.85%K -19.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -8.69%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -7.03%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 14:35
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -7.02%E -4.87%K -15.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -8.69%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -11.07%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 14:39
FanDuel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.31%EV -9.60%E -6.86%K -24.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -8.69%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.45%EV -5.01%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 12:59
SportsBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -9.60%E -6.86%K -24.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -8.69%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -9.05%E -2.01%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 13:01
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -9.60%E -6.86%K -24.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -8.69%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -9.05%E -2.01%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 13:01
Everygame🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -9.60%E -6.86%K -24.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -8.69%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -11.07%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-02 14:44
Codere (IT)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.09%EV -8.31%E -5.85%K -19.79%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.69%EV -11.73%E -2.02%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -9.05%E -2.01%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 14:50
Unibet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -5.08%E -3.46%K -10.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -12.49%E -2.17%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -12.08%E -2.78%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 15:55
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -5.08%E -3.46%K -10.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -12.49%E -2.17%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -12.08%E -2.78%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 15:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -5.08%E -3.46%K -10.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -12.49%E -2.17%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -12.08%E -2.78%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 15:55
TABtouch🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -5.08%E -3.46%K -10.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -12.49%E -2.17%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -12.08%E -2.78%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 15:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -5.08%E -3.46%K -10.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -12.49%E -2.17%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -12.08%E -2.78%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 15:55
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -5.08%E -3.46%K -10.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -12.49%E -2.17%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -12.08%E -2.78%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 15:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -5.08%E -3.46%K -10.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -12.49%E -2.17%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -12.08%E -2.78%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 15:55
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -7.02%E -4.87%K -15.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -12.49%E -2.17%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.05%E -2.01%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.70%EV -12.19%E -8.96%K -33.85%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.30%EV -12.49%E -2.17%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.00%EV -11.07%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-02 15:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.28%EV -8.31%E -5.85%K -19.79%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -14.77%E -2.64%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.42%EV -5.01%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 14:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 63.97%EV -11.54%E -8.42%K -31.19%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.65%EV -14.77%E -2.64%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.38%EV -13.09%E -3.04%K -3.97%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-02 15:35
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -7.02%E -4.87%K -15.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -16.30%E -2.96%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -12.48%E -2.88%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-02 15:45
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -7.02%E -4.87%K -15.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -16.30%E -2.96%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -12.48%E -2.88%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-02 15:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -7.02%E -4.87%K -15.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -16.30%E -2.96%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -12.48%E -2.88%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-02 15:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -7.02%E -4.87%K -15.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -16.30%E -2.96%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -12.48%E -2.88%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-02 15:45
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -9.60%E -6.86%K -24.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -16.30%E -2.96%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -12.48%E -2.88%K -3.75%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-02 12:55
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -9.60%E -6.86%K -24.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -16.30%E -2.96%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -15.11%E -3.60%K -4.72%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-02 13:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.43%EV -9.60%E -6.86%K -24.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.64%EV -16.30%E -2.96%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.93%EV -24.21%E -6.46%K -8.80%G +0.000%16.3%2026-05-02 12:15
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.81%EV -2.50%E -1.66%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -19.34%E -3.65%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%EV -15.11%E -3.60%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 15:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.81%EV -2.50%E -1.66%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -19.34%E -3.65%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%EV -15.11%E -3.60%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 15:25
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.81%EV -2.50%E -1.66%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -19.34%E -3.65%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%EV -15.11%E -3.60%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 15:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.81%EV -2.50%E -1.66%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -19.34%E -3.65%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%EV -15.11%E -3.60%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 15:26
Winamax (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 63.36%EV -10.25%E -7.37%K -26.28%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.62%EV -19.34%E -3.65%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.02%EV -11.07%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-02 14:45
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.28%EV -6.37%E -4.40%K -14.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -20.10%E -3.83%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -11.07%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-02 14:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.45%EV -3.15%E -2.10%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.44%EV -20.86%E -4.01%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -17.13%E -4.18%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 15:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.45%EV -3.15%E -2.10%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.44%EV -20.86%E -4.01%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -17.13%E -4.18%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 15:25
LeoVegas🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.40%EV -3.79%E -2.54%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.65%EV -22.38%E -4.39%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.95%EV -17.13%E -4.18%K -5.53%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-02 12:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -7.02%E -4.87%K -15.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -23.91%E -4.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -19.15%E -4.79%K -6.38%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-02 15:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.74%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.27%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.98%0.1%2026-05-02 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.74%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.27%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.98%0.1%2026-05-02 15:55
Matchbook1.52I 65.79%NM 65.74%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.27%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.98%0.1%2026-05-02 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.89%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.21%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.90%0.5%2026-05-02 15:50
Smarkets1.51I 66.23%NM 65.35%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.51%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.14%1.3%2026-05-02 15:55