L’École des cotes

SK Brann v Fredrikstad FK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-02 16:00 UTC

Score final : SK Brann 3–1 Fredrikstad FK

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

SK Brann (Local)

Prévision 64.57%1.55cote équitable
EV -2.50%
Avantage -1.66%
Kelly -4.90%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.51

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.40%64.58%64.55%68.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.361.441.441.5173.53%69.31%69.44%66.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Fredrikstad FK (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.22%6.57cote équitable
EV +18.71%
Avantage +2.40%
Kelly +2.75%
Croissance +0.515%

avec la cote maximale 7.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.11%15.19%15.27%17.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.875.757.8020.00%17.03%17.39%12.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 20.21%4.95cote équitable
EV -1.77%
Avantage -0.365%
Kelly -0.459%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.86

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.42%20.24%20.18%22.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.444.404.8626.67%22.54%22.73%20.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Betsson1.38I 72.46%NM 68.42%EV -10.89%E -7.89%K -28.67%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.11%EV +18.71%E +2.40%K +2.75%G +0.515%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.47%EV -1.97%E -0.407%K -0.513%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 15:45
NordicBet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.42%EV -10.89%E -7.89%K -28.67%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.11%EV +18.71%E +2.40%K +2.75%G +0.515%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.47%EV -1.97%E -0.407%K -0.513%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 15:50
Pinnacle1.47I 68.03%NM 65.59%EV -5.08%E -3.46%K -10.81%G +0.000%6.62I 15.11%NM 14.57%EV +0.750%E +0.113%K +0.133%G +0.001%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.84%EV -1.77%E -0.365%K -0.459%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-02 15:50
1xBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.47%EV -6.37%E -4.40%K -14.17%G +0.000%6.51I 15.36%NM 14.58%EV -0.925%E -0.142%K -0.168%G +0.000%4.76I 21.01%NM 19.94%EV -3.79%E -0.797%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 15:55
DraftKings1.45I 68.97%NM 65.29%EV -6.37%E -4.40%K -14.17%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.57%EV -1.08%E -0.166%K -0.196%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.14%EV -5.01%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 15:45
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -8.31%E -5.85%K -19.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -1.08%E -0.166%K -0.196%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -9.05%E -2.01%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 15:50
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -9.60%E -6.86%K -24.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -1.08%E -0.166%K -0.196%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.05%E -2.01%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 15:35
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.72%EV -3.15%E -2.10%K -6.29%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 15.05%EV -1.84%E -0.285%K -0.337%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.23%EV -2.98%E -0.622%K -0.785%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-02 13:35
Marathon Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -7.02%E -4.87%K -15.95%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.69%EV -3.36%E -0.529%K -0.628%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.51%EV -8.04%E -1.77%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 15:50
LowVig.ag1.46I 68.49%NM 64.40%EV -5.73%E -3.92%K -12.45%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.16%EV -5.64%E -0.910%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -7.03%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 12:50
BetOnline.ag1.46I 68.49%NM 64.40%EV -5.73%E -3.92%K -12.45%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.16%EV -5.64%E -0.910%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -7.03%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 12:50
GTbets1.50I 66.67%NM 63.80%EV -3.15%E -2.10%K -6.29%G +0.000%6.11I 16.37%NM 15.66%EV -7.01%E -1.15%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.66I 21.46%NM 20.54%EV -5.81%E -1.25%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 15:50
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -6.37%E -4.40%K -14.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -8.69%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -4.00%E -0.841%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 14:45
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 64.23%EV -6.37%E -4.40%K -14.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -8.69%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -7.03%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 15:45
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -7.02%E -4.87%K -15.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -8.69%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -9.05%E -2.01%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 15:50
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -7.02%E -4.87%K -15.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -8.69%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -9.05%E -2.01%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 15:45
BetUS1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -7.67%E -5.36%K -17.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -8.69%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -9.05%E -2.01%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 15:45
Bovada1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -7.67%E -5.36%K -17.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -8.69%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -9.05%E -2.01%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 15:51
BetAnything1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -7.67%E -5.36%K -17.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -8.69%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -9.05%E -2.01%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 15:45
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.71%EV -8.31%E -5.85%K -19.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -8.69%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -7.03%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 14:35
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -7.02%E -4.87%K -15.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -8.69%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -11.07%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 14:39
FanDuel1.40I 71.43%NM 65.31%EV -9.60%E -6.86%K -24.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -8.69%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.45%EV -5.01%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 12:59
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -9.60%E -6.86%K -24.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -8.69%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -9.05%E -2.01%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 13:01
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -9.60%E -6.86%K -24.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -8.69%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -9.05%E -2.01%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 13:01
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -9.60%E -6.86%K -24.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -8.69%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -11.07%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-02 14:44
Codere (IT)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.09%EV -8.31%E -5.85%K -19.79%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.69%EV -11.73%E -2.02%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -9.05%E -2.01%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 14:50
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -5.08%E -3.46%K -10.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -12.49%E -2.17%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -12.08%E -2.78%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 15:55
Casumo1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -5.08%E -3.46%K -10.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -12.49%E -2.17%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -12.08%E -2.78%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 15:55
Unibet (NL)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -5.08%E -3.46%K -10.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -12.49%E -2.17%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -12.08%E -2.78%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 15:55
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -5.08%E -3.46%K -10.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -12.49%E -2.17%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -12.08%E -2.78%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 15:55
Unibet (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -5.08%E -3.46%K -10.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -12.49%E -2.17%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -12.08%E -2.78%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 15:55
betPARX1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -5.08%E -3.46%K -10.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -12.49%E -2.17%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -12.08%E -2.78%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 15:55
Svenska Spel1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -5.08%E -3.46%K -10.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -12.49%E -2.17%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -12.08%E -2.78%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 15:55
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -7.02%E -4.87%K -15.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -12.49%E -2.17%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.05%E -2.01%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:05
Betclic (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 64.70%EV -12.19%E -8.96%K -33.85%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.30%EV -12.49%E -2.17%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.00%EV -11.07%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-02 15:30
Winamax (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.28%EV -8.31%E -5.85%K -19.79%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -14.77%E -2.64%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.42%EV -5.01%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 14:45
Unibet (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 63.97%EV -11.54%E -8.42%K -31.19%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.65%EV -14.77%E -2.64%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.38%EV -13.09%E -3.04%K -3.97%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-02 15:35
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -7.02%E -4.87%K -15.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -16.30%E -2.96%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -12.48%E -2.88%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-02 15:45
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -7.02%E -4.87%K -15.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -16.30%E -2.96%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -12.48%E -2.88%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-02 15:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -7.02%E -4.87%K -15.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -16.30%E -2.96%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -12.48%E -2.88%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-02 15:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -7.02%E -4.87%K -15.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -16.30%E -2.96%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -12.48%E -2.88%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-02 15:45
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -9.60%E -6.86%K -24.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -16.30%E -2.96%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -12.48%E -2.88%K -3.75%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-02 12:55
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -9.60%E -6.86%K -24.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -16.30%E -2.96%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -15.11%E -3.60%K -4.72%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-02 13:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 61.43%EV -9.60%E -6.86%K -24.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.64%EV -16.30%E -2.96%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.93%EV -24.21%E -6.46%K -8.80%G +0.000%16.3%2026-05-02 12:15
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 60.81%EV -2.50%E -1.66%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -19.34%E -3.65%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%EV -15.11%E -3.60%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 15:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.81%EV -2.50%E -1.66%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -19.34%E -3.65%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%EV -15.11%E -3.60%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 15:25
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 60.81%EV -2.50%E -1.66%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -19.34%E -3.65%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%EV -15.11%E -3.60%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 15:25
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.81%EV -2.50%E -1.66%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -19.34%E -3.65%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%EV -15.11%E -3.60%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 15:26
Winamax (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 63.36%EV -10.25%E -7.37%K -26.28%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.62%EV -19.34%E -3.65%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.02%EV -11.07%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-02 14:45
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 62.28%EV -6.37%E -4.40%K -14.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -20.10%E -3.83%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -11.07%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-02 14:45
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.45%EV -3.15%E -2.10%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.44%EV -20.86%E -4.01%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -17.13%E -4.18%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 15:25
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.45%EV -3.15%E -2.10%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.44%EV -20.86%E -4.01%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -17.13%E -4.18%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 15:25
LeoVegas1.49I 67.11%NM 60.40%EV -3.79%E -2.54%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.65%EV -22.38%E -4.39%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.95%EV -17.13%E -4.18%K -5.53%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-02 12:25
PMU (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -7.02%E -4.87%K -15.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -23.91%E -4.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -19.15%E -4.79%K -6.38%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-02 15:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.74%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.27%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.98%0.1%2026-05-02 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.74%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.27%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.98%0.1%2026-05-02 15:55
Matchbook1.52I 65.79%NM 65.74%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.27%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.98%0.1%2026-05-02 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.89%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.21%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.90%0.5%2026-05-02 15:50
Smarkets1.51I 66.23%NM 65.35%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.51%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.14%1.3%2026-05-02 15:55