La scuola delle quote

Sarpsborg FK v Molde

Inizio: 2026-05-25 15:00 UTC

Finale: Sarpsborg FK 2–1 Molde

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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55 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Sarpsborg FK (Casa)

Previsione 37.00%2.70quota equa
EV -2.32%
Vantaggio -0.879%
Kelly -1.42%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.64

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.17%37.10%37.03%38.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.252.492.502.6444.44%40.17%40.00%37.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Molde (Trasferta)

Previsione 37.75%2.65quota equa
EV -1.10%
Vantaggio -0.422%
Kelly -0.682%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.62

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.64%37.59%37.75%39.16%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.252.442.452.6244.44%40.96%40.82%38.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 25.25%3.96quota equa
EV -1.51%
Vantaggio -0.387%
Kelly -0.520%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.53%25.30%25.22%28.13%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.603.603.9033.33%27.78%27.78%25.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (55 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.64I 37.88%NM 36.67%EV -2.32%E -0.879%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.12%EV -4.12%E -1.62%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.21%EV -3.02%E -0.787%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-25 14:50
Coolbet2.61I 38.31%NM 37.19%EV -3.43%E -1.31%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.92%EV -3.37%E -1.32%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.89%EV -1.51%E -0.387%K -0.520%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-25 13:39
1xBet2.59I 38.61%NM 36.66%EV -4.17%E -1.61%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.66%EV -2.24%E -0.864%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.67%EV -10.09%E -2.84%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 14:50
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.65%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.78%EV -5.63%E -2.25%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -5.30%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 15:10
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.65%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.78%EV -5.63%E -2.25%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -5.30%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 14:10
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.63%EV -5.65%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.52%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -6.56%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 14:30
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.50%EV -5.65%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -7.52%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-25 14:30
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.50%EV -5.65%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -7.52%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-25 14:30
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 36.50%EV -5.65%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -7.52%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-25 14:30
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.50%EV -5.65%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -7.52%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-25 14:30
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 36.50%EV -5.65%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -7.52%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-25 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.50%EV -5.65%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -7.52%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-25 14:30
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.50%EV -5.65%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -7.52%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-25 14:30
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.50%EV -5.65%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -7.52%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-25 14:30
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 36.50%EV -5.65%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -7.52%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-25 14:30
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.50%EV -5.65%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -7.52%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-25 14:30
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -5.65%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -7.52%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-22 07:59
GTbets2.51I 39.84%NM 37.58%EV -7.13%E -2.84%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -4.12%E -1.62%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.29%EV -5.80%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 00:20
LowVig.ag2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -7.50%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.16%EV -1.10%E -0.422%K -0.682%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.95%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 14:50
BetOnline.ag2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -7.50%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.16%EV -1.10%E -0.422%K -0.682%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.95%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 14:50
Betsson2.50I 40.00%NM 37.79%EV -7.50%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.33%EV -1.86%E -0.715%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 14:50
NordicBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.79%EV -7.50%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.33%EV -1.86%E -0.715%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 14:50
Marathon Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -7.50%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.03%EV -4.88%E -1.94%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.64%EV -8.07%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-25 14:50
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -7.50%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.52%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -5.30%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 14:10
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.92%EV -7.50%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.41%E -3.92%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -5.30%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-25 14:10
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -7.50%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.78%EV -8.28%E -3.41%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-25 14:30
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.50%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.45%EV -7.52%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -10.35%E -2.91%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-25 14:47
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.50%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.45%EV -7.52%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -10.35%E -2.91%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-25 14:50
BetAnything2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.50%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.45%EV -7.52%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -10.35%E -2.91%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-25 14:50
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -7.50%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.52%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -11.61%E -3.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-25 14:09
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -7.50%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -9.41%E -3.92%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-25 14:30
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -7.50%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -9.41%E -3.92%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-25 14:30
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -7.50%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -9.41%E -3.92%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-20 22:10
Betclic (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.03%EV -7.50%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.16%EV -13.18%E -5.73%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.81%EV -8.33%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-25 14:38
LiveScore Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.73%EV -8.24%E -3.32%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.96%EV -9.41%E -3.92%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-25 14:30
Virgin Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.73%EV -8.24%E -3.32%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.96%EV -9.41%E -3.92%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-25 14:30
Codere (IT)2.47I 40.49%NM 36.89%EV -8.61%E -3.49%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 37.80%EV -9.03%E -3.75%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-20 08:19
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -9.35%E -3.82%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -7.52%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -6.56%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-25 14:50
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -9.35%E -3.82%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.52%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-25 14:49
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.27%EV -9.35%E -3.82%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.05%EV -9.41%E -3.92%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -6.56%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-25 07:49
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -9.35%E -3.82%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.85%EV -10.16%E -4.27%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.38%EV -10.35%E -2.91%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-25 14:30
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.64%EV -9.35%E -3.82%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.72%EV -10.16%E -4.27%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.61%E -3.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-25 14:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -9.35%E -3.82%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.43%EV -10.16%E -4.27%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -14.13%E -4.16%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-25 14:10
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -9.35%E -3.82%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.43%EV -10.16%E -4.27%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -14.13%E -4.16%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-25 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -9.35%E -3.82%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.53%EV -10.54%E -4.45%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -14.13%E -4.16%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-25 14:10
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -9.35%E -3.82%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.53%EV -10.54%E -4.45%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -14.13%E -4.16%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-25 14:10
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -11.20%E -4.67%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -1.86%E -0.715%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-25 14:50
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 37.79%EV -11.20%E -4.67%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -7.52%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-25 14:50
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -11.20%E -4.67%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -7.52%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -10.35%E -2.91%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-25 14:50
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -11.20%E -4.67%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.86%EV -11.30%E -4.81%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.06%EV -10.35%E -2.91%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-25 14:10
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.33%EV -11.20%E -4.67%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.75%EV -15.07%E -6.70%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.91%EV -11.61%E -3.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-25 14:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.17%EV -11.20%E -4.67%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.70%EV -13.18%E -5.73%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.13%EV -24.24%E -8.08%K -12.12%G +0.000%18.5%2026-05-25 14:30
PMU (FR)2.38I 42.02%NM 36.88%EV -11.94%E -5.02%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 37.67%EV -12.05%E -5.17%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.44%EV -12.87%E -3.73%K -5.25%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-25 14:30
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.26%EV -13.05%E -5.55%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.07%EV -13.18%E -5.73%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.67%EV -10.35%E -2.91%K -4.06%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-25 07:50
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 38.15%EV -16.75%E -7.45%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.32%EV -13.18%E -5.73%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.53%EV -11.61%E -3.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%16.5%2026-05-25 14:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.65%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.37%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.98%1.4%2026-05-25 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.65%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.37%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.98%1.4%2026-05-25 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.65%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.37%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.98%1.4%2026-05-25 14:50
Matchbook2.62I 38.17%NM 37.65%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.37%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.98%1.4%2026-05-25 14:50
Smarkets2.60I 38.46%NM 37.61%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.07%2.3%2026-05-25 14:50