L’École des cotes

Sarpsborg FK v Molde

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-25 15:00 UTC

Score final : Sarpsborg FK 2–1 Molde

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Sarpsborg FK (Local)

Prévision 37.00%2.70cote équitable
EV -2.32%
Avantage -0.879%
Kelly -1.42%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.64

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.17%37.10%37.03%38.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.492.502.6444.44%40.17%40.00%37.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Molde (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.75%2.65cote équitable
EV -1.10%
Avantage -0.422%
Kelly -0.682%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.64%37.59%37.75%39.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.442.452.6244.44%40.96%40.82%38.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.25%3.96cote équitable
EV -1.51%
Avantage -0.387%
Kelly -0.520%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.53%25.30%25.22%28.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.603.603.9033.33%27.78%27.78%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.64I 37.88%NM 36.67%EV -2.32%E -0.879%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.12%EV -4.12%E -1.62%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.21%EV -3.02%E -0.787%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-25 14:50
Coolbet2.61I 38.31%NM 37.19%EV -3.43%E -1.31%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.92%EV -3.37%E -1.32%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.89%EV -1.51%E -0.387%K -0.520%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-25 13:39
1xBet2.59I 38.61%NM 36.66%EV -4.17%E -1.61%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.66%EV -2.24%E -0.864%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.67%EV -10.09%E -2.84%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 14:50
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.65%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.78%EV -5.63%E -2.25%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -5.30%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 15:10
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.65%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.78%EV -5.63%E -2.25%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -5.30%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 14:10
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.63%EV -5.65%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.52%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -6.56%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 14:30
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.50%EV -5.65%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -7.52%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-25 14:30
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.50%EV -5.65%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -7.52%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-25 14:30
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 36.50%EV -5.65%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -7.52%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-25 14:30
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.50%EV -5.65%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -7.52%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-25 14:30
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 36.50%EV -5.65%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -7.52%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-25 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.50%EV -5.65%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -7.52%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-25 14:30
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.50%EV -5.65%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -7.52%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-25 14:30
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.50%EV -5.65%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -7.52%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-25 14:30
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 36.50%EV -5.65%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -7.52%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-25 14:30
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.50%EV -5.65%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -7.52%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-25 14:30
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -5.65%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -7.52%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-22 07:59
GTbets2.51I 39.84%NM 37.58%EV -7.13%E -2.84%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -4.12%E -1.62%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.29%EV -5.80%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 00:20
LowVig.ag2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -7.50%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.16%EV -1.10%E -0.422%K -0.682%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.95%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 14:50
BetOnline.ag2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -7.50%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.16%EV -1.10%E -0.422%K -0.682%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.95%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 14:50
Betsson2.50I 40.00%NM 37.79%EV -7.50%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.33%EV -1.86%E -0.715%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 14:50
NordicBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.79%EV -7.50%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.33%EV -1.86%E -0.715%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 14:50
Marathon Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -7.50%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.03%EV -4.88%E -1.94%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.64%EV -8.07%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-25 14:50
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -7.50%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.52%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -5.30%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 14:10
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.92%EV -7.50%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.41%E -3.92%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -5.30%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-25 14:10
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -7.50%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.78%EV -8.28%E -3.41%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-25 14:30
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.50%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.45%EV -7.52%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -10.35%E -2.91%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-25 14:47
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.50%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.45%EV -7.52%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -10.35%E -2.91%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-25 14:50
BetAnything2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.50%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.45%EV -7.52%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -10.35%E -2.91%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-25 14:50
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -7.50%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.52%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -11.61%E -3.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-25 14:09
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -7.50%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -9.41%E -3.92%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-25 14:30
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -7.50%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -9.41%E -3.92%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-25 14:30
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -7.50%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -9.41%E -3.92%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-20 22:10
Betclic (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.03%EV -7.50%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.16%EV -13.18%E -5.73%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.81%EV -8.33%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-25 14:38
LiveScore Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.73%EV -8.24%E -3.32%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.96%EV -9.41%E -3.92%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-25 14:30
Virgin Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.73%EV -8.24%E -3.32%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.96%EV -9.41%E -3.92%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-25 14:30
Codere (IT)2.47I 40.49%NM 36.89%EV -8.61%E -3.49%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 37.80%EV -9.03%E -3.75%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-20 08:19
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -9.35%E -3.82%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -7.52%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -6.56%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-25 14:50
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -9.35%E -3.82%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.52%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-25 14:49
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.27%EV -9.35%E -3.82%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.05%EV -9.41%E -3.92%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -6.56%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-25 07:49
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -9.35%E -3.82%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.85%EV -10.16%E -4.27%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.38%EV -10.35%E -2.91%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-25 14:30
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.64%EV -9.35%E -3.82%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.72%EV -10.16%E -4.27%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.61%E -3.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-25 14:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -9.35%E -3.82%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.43%EV -10.16%E -4.27%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -14.13%E -4.16%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-25 14:10
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -9.35%E -3.82%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.43%EV -10.16%E -4.27%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -14.13%E -4.16%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-25 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -9.35%E -3.82%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.53%EV -10.54%E -4.45%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -14.13%E -4.16%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-25 14:10
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -9.35%E -3.82%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.53%EV -10.54%E -4.45%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -14.13%E -4.16%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-25 14:10
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -11.20%E -4.67%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -1.86%E -0.715%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-25 14:50
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 37.79%EV -11.20%E -4.67%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -7.52%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-25 14:50
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -11.20%E -4.67%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -7.52%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -10.35%E -2.91%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-25 14:50
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -11.20%E -4.67%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.86%EV -11.30%E -4.81%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.06%EV -10.35%E -2.91%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-25 14:10
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.33%EV -11.20%E -4.67%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.75%EV -15.07%E -6.70%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.91%EV -11.61%E -3.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-25 14:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.17%EV -11.20%E -4.67%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.70%EV -13.18%E -5.73%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.13%EV -24.24%E -8.08%K -12.12%G +0.000%18.5%2026-05-25 14:30
PMU (FR)2.38I 42.02%NM 36.88%EV -11.94%E -5.02%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 37.67%EV -12.05%E -5.17%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.44%EV -12.87%E -3.73%K -5.25%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-25 14:30
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.26%EV -13.05%E -5.55%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.07%EV -13.18%E -5.73%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.67%EV -10.35%E -2.91%K -4.06%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-25 07:50
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 38.15%EV -16.75%E -7.45%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.32%EV -13.18%E -5.73%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.53%EV -11.61%E -3.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%16.5%2026-05-25 14:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.65%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.37%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.98%1.4%2026-05-25 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.65%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.37%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.98%1.4%2026-05-25 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.65%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.37%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.98%1.4%2026-05-25 14:50
Matchbook2.62I 38.17%NM 37.65%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.37%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.98%1.4%2026-05-25 14:50
Smarkets2.60I 38.46%NM 37.61%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.07%2.3%2026-05-25 14:50