La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Sarpsborg FK v Molde
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sarpsborg FK (Local)
Predicción 37.00%2.70momio equitativo
EV -2.32%
Ventaja -0.879%
Kelly -1.42%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.64
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.17%37.10%37.03%38.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.492.502.6444.44%40.17%40.00%37.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Molde (Visitante)
Predicción 37.75%2.65momio equitativo
EV -1.10%
Ventaja -0.422%
Kelly -0.682%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.62
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.64%37.59%37.75%39.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.442.452.6244.44%40.96%40.82%38.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.25%3.96momio equitativo
EV -1.51%
Ventaja -0.387%
Kelly -0.520%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.53%25.30%25.22%28.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.603.603.9033.33%27.78%27.78%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.67%EV -2.32%E -0.879%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.12%EV -4.12%E -1.62%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 25.21%EV -3.02%E -0.787%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.19%EV -3.43%E -1.31%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.92%EV -3.37%E -1.32%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.89%EV -1.51%E -0.387%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-25 13:39 |
| 1xBet | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.66%EV -4.17%E -1.61%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.66%EV -2.24%E -0.864%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.67%EV -10.09%E -2.84%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.65%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.78%EV -5.63%E -2.25%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -5.30%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-22 15:10 |
| DraftKings | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.65%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.78%EV -5.63%E -2.25%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -5.30%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-25 14:10 |
| FanDuel | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.63%EV -5.65%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.52%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -6.56%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 14:30 |
| Grosvenor | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.50%EV -5.65%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -7.52%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-25 14:30 |
| Unibet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.50%EV -5.65%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -7.52%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-25 14:30 |
| BetRivers | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.50%EV -5.65%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -7.52%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-25 14:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.50%EV -5.65%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -7.52%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-25 14:30 |
| Casumo | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.50%EV -5.65%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -7.52%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-25 14:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.50%EV -5.65%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -7.52%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-25 14:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.50%EV -5.65%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -7.52%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-25 14:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.50%EV -5.65%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -7.52%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-25 14:30 |
| betPARX | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.50%EV -5.65%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -7.52%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-25 14:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.50%EV -5.65%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -7.52%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-25 14:30 |
| BetMGM | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -5.65%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -7.52%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-22 07:59 |
| GTbets | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.58%EV -7.13%E -2.84%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -4.12%E -1.62%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.29%EV -5.80%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 00:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -7.50%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.16%EV -1.10%E -0.422%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.95%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -7.50%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.16%EV -1.10%E -0.422%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.95%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| Betsson | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.79%EV -7.50%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.33%EV -1.86%E -0.715%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| NordicBet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.79%EV -7.50%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.33%EV -1.86%E -0.715%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -7.50%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.03%EV -4.88%E -1.94%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.64%EV -8.07%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -7.50%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.52%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -5.30%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-25 14:10 |
| betfred_uk | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.92%EV -7.50%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.41%E -3.92%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -5.30%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-25 14:10 |
| TABtouch | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -7.50%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.78%EV -8.28%E -3.41%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-25 14:30 |
| Bovada | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.50%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.45%EV -7.52%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -10.35%E -2.91%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-25 14:47 |
| BetUS | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.50%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.45%EV -7.52%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -10.35%E -2.91%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| BetAnything | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.50%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.45%EV -7.52%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -10.35%E -2.91%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| William Hill | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -7.50%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.52%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -11.61%E -3.32%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-25 14:09 |
| SportsBet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -7.50%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -9.41%E -3.92%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-25 14:30 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -7.50%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -9.41%E -3.92%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-25 14:30 |
| Fanatics | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -7.50%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -9.41%E -3.92%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-20 22:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.03%EV -7.50%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.16%EV -13.18%E -5.73%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 24.81%EV -8.33%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-25 14:38 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.73%EV -8.24%E -3.32%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.96%EV -9.41%E -3.92%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-25 14:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.73%EV -8.24%E -3.32%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.96%EV -9.41%E -3.92%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-25 14:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.47I 40.49%NM 36.89%EV -8.61%E -3.49%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 37.80%EV -9.03%E -3.75%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-20 08:19 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -9.35%E -3.82%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -7.52%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -6.56%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| Bet Victor | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -9.35%E -3.82%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.52%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-25 14:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.27%EV -9.35%E -3.82%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.05%EV -9.41%E -3.92%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -6.56%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-25 07:49 |
| LeoVegas | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -9.35%E -3.82%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.85%EV -10.16%E -4.27%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.38%EV -10.35%E -2.91%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-25 14:30 |
| Sky Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.64%EV -9.35%E -3.82%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.72%EV -10.16%E -4.27%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.61%E -3.32%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-25 14:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -9.35%E -3.82%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.43%EV -10.16%E -4.27%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -14.13%E -4.16%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-25 14:10 |
| Neds | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -9.35%E -3.82%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.43%EV -10.16%E -4.27%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -14.13%E -4.16%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-25 14:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -9.35%E -3.82%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.53%EV -10.54%E -4.45%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -14.13%E -4.16%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-25 14:10 |
| Coral | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -9.35%E -3.82%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.53%EV -10.54%E -4.45%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -14.13%E -4.16%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-25 14:10 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -11.20%E -4.67%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -1.86%E -0.715%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| Everygame | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.79%EV -11.20%E -4.67%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -7.52%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| PlayUp | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -11.20%E -4.67%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -7.52%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -10.35%E -2.91%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| Bet Right | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -11.20%E -4.67%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.86%EV -11.30%E -4.81%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.06%EV -10.35%E -2.91%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-25 14:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.33%EV -11.20%E -4.67%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.75%EV -15.07%E -6.70%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.91%EV -11.61%E -3.32%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-05-25 14:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.17%EV -11.20%E -4.67%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.70%EV -13.18%E -5.73%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.13%EV -24.24%E -8.08%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 18.5% | 2026-05-25 14:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.88%EV -11.94%E -5.02%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 37.67%EV -12.05%E -5.17%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.44%EV -12.87%E -3.73%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-25 14:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.26%EV -13.05%E -5.55%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.07%EV -13.18%E -5.73%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.67%EV -10.35%E -2.91%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-05-25 07:50 |
| BoyleSports | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.15%EV -16.75%E -7.45%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.32%EV -13.18%E -5.73%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.53%EV -11.61%E -3.32%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.65% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.37% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.98% | 1.4% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.65% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.37% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.98% | 1.4% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.65% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.37% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.98% | 1.4% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| Matchbook | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.65% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.37% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.98% | 1.4% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.61% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.07% | 2.3% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |