L’École des cotes

Sarpsborg FK v Bodø/Glimt

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-14 13:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

31 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Sarpsborg FK (Local)

Prévision 18.47%5.41cote équitable
EV +7.13%
Avantage +1.23%
Kelly +1.49%
Croissance +0.106%

avec la cote maximale 5.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.68%18.28%18.49%19.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.304.884.905.8023.26%20.47%20.41%17.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Bodø/Glimt (Visiteur)

Prévision 62.05%1.61cote équitable
EV -3.20%
Avantage -2.05%
Kelly -5.71%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.69%62.22%62.03%64.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.381.471.481.5672.46%67.82%67.57%64.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 19.48%5.13cote équitable
EV -2.62%
Avantage -0.525%
Kelly -0.656%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.35%19.50%19.48%22.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.604.705.0026.67%21.73%21.28%20.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (31 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Codere (IT)5.80I 17.24%NM 15.68%EV +7.13%E +1.23%K +1.49%G +0.106%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.97%EV -13.12%E -9.37%K -32.81%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.35%EV -8.47%E -1.80%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 02:34
GTbets5.33I 18.76%NM 17.72%EV -1.55%E -0.291%K -0.359%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.53%EV -6.30%E -4.17%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 19.75%EV -6.91%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 14:50
FanDuel5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -2.11%E -0.397%K -0.490%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.99%EV -8.16%E -5.51%K -17.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.42%EV -6.52%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-12 18:09
Fanatics5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -3.03%E -0.577%K -0.713%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.76%EV -8.16%E -5.51%K -17.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -7.49%E -1.58%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 07:49
PointsBet (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.62%EV -3.03%E -0.577%K -0.713%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.91%EV -8.78%E -5.97%K -18.68%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -7.49%E -1.58%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-12 05:39
Pinnacle5.04I 19.84%NM 18.83%EV -6.91%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.06%E -3.31%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.96I 20.16%NM 19.14%EV -3.40%E -0.686%K -0.859%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-11 21:40
1xBet5.01I 19.96%NM 19.08%EV -7.46%E -1.49%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.29%EV -3.20%E -2.05%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.63%EV -5.16%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-11 22:34
Unibet (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -7.65%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.02%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.38%EV -6.52%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 15:46
Betway5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -7.65%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -12.36%E -2.75%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 15:39
Tipico (DE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -7.65%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -10.02%E -6.91%K -22.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -2.62%E -0.525%K -0.656%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 14:09
Bet Right5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -7.65%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.81%EV -8.16%E -5.51%K -17.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.89%EV -10.41%E -2.26%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-12 05:40
SportsBet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -7.65%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.97%EV -8.78%E -5.97%K -18.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -10.41%E -2.26%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-12 18:09
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -7.65%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -10.64%E -7.39%K -24.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -12.36%E -2.75%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-12 16:59
DraftKings4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -9.49%E -1.94%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.31%EV -5.06%E -3.31%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -6.52%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-11 21:40
Marathon Bet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -9.49%E -1.94%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.34%EV -5.68%E -3.74%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -7.49%E -1.58%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-11 22:26
Bovada4.90I 20.41%NM 18.84%EV -9.49%E -1.94%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.53%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.64%EV -8.47%E -1.80%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-12 18:11
BetUS4.90I 20.41%NM 18.84%EV -9.49%E -1.94%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.53%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.64%EV -8.47%E -1.80%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-12 18:10
Betsson4.85I 20.62%NM 19.50%EV -10.42%E -2.15%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.01%EV -3.82%E -2.46%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.50%EV -5.55%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-11 21:40
NordicBet4.85I 20.62%NM 19.50%EV -10.42%E -2.15%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.01%EV -3.82%E -2.46%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.50%EV -5.55%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-11 21:40
William Hill4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -11.34%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.76%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -12.36%E -2.75%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-11 21:50
Bet Victor4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -11.34%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.76%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -12.36%E -2.75%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-12 22:04
Everygame4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -12.27%E -2.58%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.29%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -7.49%E -1.58%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 02:59
Sky Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 18.53%EV -12.27%E -2.58%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.14%EV -10.64%E -7.39%K -24.19%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.33%EV -15.67%E -3.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-12 18:10
PMU (FR)4.70I 21.28%NM 18.19%EV -13.19%E -2.81%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 61.94%EV -14.36%E -10.41%K -37.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.88%EV -16.26%E -3.78%K -4.93%G +0.000%17.0%2026-03-12 18:09
PlayUp4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -15.04%E -3.27%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.99%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -14.31%E -3.25%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-11 21:40
Winamax (DE)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -15.04%E -3.27%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.50%EV -10.64%E -7.39%K -24.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -10.41%E -2.26%K -2.89%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-08 15:45
Betclic (FR)4.55I 21.98%NM 18.96%EV -15.96%E -3.51%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 61.20%EV -12.50%E -8.87%K -30.50%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 19.84%EV -15.28%E -3.51%K -4.56%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-08 15:45
BoyleSports4.50I 22.22%NM 19.18%EV -16.88%E -3.75%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 61.64%EV -13.12%E -9.37%K -32.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.18%EV -12.36%E -2.75%K -3.53%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-08 07:43
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 18.78%EV -16.88%E -3.75%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 58.69%EV -10.64%E -7.39%K -24.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.54%EV -26.97%E -7.19%K -9.81%G +0.000%18.3%2026-03-12 17:00
Winamax (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 19.72%EV -20.58%E -4.79%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 60.56%EV -13.12%E -9.37%K -32.81%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.72%EV -16.26%E -3.78%K -4.93%G +0.000%17.9%2026-03-08 15:45
Parions Sport (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 19.36%EV -20.58%E -4.79%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 60.33%EV -14.36%E -10.41%K -37.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.31%EV -20.15%E -4.92%K -6.50%G +0.000%20.1%2026-03-08 18:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets5.10I 19.61%NM 18.68%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.87%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.45%5.0%2026-03-12 13:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.32%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.84%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.84%5.0%2026-03-13 03:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.32%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.84%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.84%5.0%2026-03-13 03:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.32%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.84%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.84%5.0%2026-03-13 03:10