La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Sarpsborg FK v Bodø/Glimt
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sarpsborg FK (Local)
Predicción 18.47%5.41momio equitativo
EV +7.13%
Ventaja +1.23%
Kelly +1.49%
Crecimiento +0.106%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.68%18.28%18.49%19.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.304.884.905.8023.26%20.47%20.41%17.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Bodø/Glimt (Visitante)
Predicción 62.05%1.61momio equitativo
EV -3.20%
Ventaja -2.05%
Kelly -5.71%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.56
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.69%62.22%62.03%64.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.381.471.481.5672.46%67.82%67.57%64.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 19.48%5.13momio equitativo
EV -2.62%
Ventaja -0.525%
Kelly -0.656%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.35%19.50%19.48%22.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.604.705.0026.67%21.73%21.28%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (31 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Codere (IT) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.68%EV +7.13%E +1.23%K +1.49%G +0.106% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.97%EV -13.12%E -9.37%K -32.81%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.35%EV -8.47%E -1.80%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-07 02:34 |
| GTbets | 5.33I 18.76%NM 17.72%EV -1.55%E -0.291%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.53%EV -6.30%E -4.17%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 4.78I 20.92%NM 19.75%EV -6.91%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 14:50 |
| FanDuel | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -2.11%E -0.397%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.99%EV -8.16%E -5.51%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.42%EV -6.52%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-12 18:09 |
| Fanatics | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -3.03%E -0.577%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.76%EV -8.16%E -5.51%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -7.49%E -1.58%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-08 07:49 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.62%EV -3.03%E -0.577%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.91%EV -8.78%E -5.97%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -7.49%E -1.58%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-12 05:39 |
| Pinnacle | 5.04I 19.84%NM 18.83%EV -6.91%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.06%E -3.31%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.96I 20.16%NM 19.14%EV -3.40%E -0.686%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-11 21:40 |
| 1xBet | 5.01I 19.96%NM 19.08%EV -7.46%E -1.49%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.29%EV -3.20%E -2.05%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.63%EV -5.16%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-11 22:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -7.65%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.02%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.38%EV -6.52%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 15:46 |
| Betway | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -7.65%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -12.36%E -2.75%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-08 15:39 |
| Tipico (DE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -7.65%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -10.02%E -6.91%K -22.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -2.62%E -0.525%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-08 14:09 |
| Bet Right | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -7.65%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.81%EV -8.16%E -5.51%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.89%EV -10.41%E -2.26%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-12 05:40 |
| SportsBet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -7.65%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.97%EV -8.78%E -5.97%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -10.41%E -2.26%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-12 18:09 |
| Paddy Power | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -7.65%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -10.64%E -7.39%K -24.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -12.36%E -2.75%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-12 16:59 |
| DraftKings | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -9.49%E -1.94%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.31%EV -5.06%E -3.31%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -6.52%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-11 21:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -9.49%E -1.94%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.34%EV -5.68%E -3.74%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -7.49%E -1.58%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-11 22:26 |
| Bovada | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.84%EV -9.49%E -1.94%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.53%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.64%EV -8.47%E -1.80%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-12 18:11 |
| BetUS | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.84%EV -9.49%E -1.94%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.53%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.64%EV -8.47%E -1.80%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-12 18:10 |
| Betsson | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.50%EV -10.42%E -2.15%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.01%EV -3.82%E -2.46%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.50%EV -5.55%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-11 21:40 |
| NordicBet | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.50%EV -10.42%E -2.15%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.01%EV -3.82%E -2.46%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.50%EV -5.55%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-11 21:40 |
| William Hill | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -11.34%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.76%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -12.36%E -2.75%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-11 21:50 |
| Bet Victor | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -11.34%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.76%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -12.36%E -2.75%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-12 22:04 |
| Everygame | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -12.27%E -2.58%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.29%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -7.49%E -1.58%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-13 02:59 |
| Sky Bet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.53%EV -12.27%E -2.58%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.14%EV -10.64%E -7.39%K -24.19%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.33%EV -15.67%E -3.62%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-12 18:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.19%EV -13.19%E -2.81%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 61.94%EV -14.36%E -10.41%K -37.80%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 19.88%EV -16.26%E -3.78%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-03-12 18:09 |
| PlayUp | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -15.04%E -3.27%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.99%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -14.31%E -3.25%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-11 21:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -15.04%E -3.27%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.50%EV -10.64%E -7.39%K -24.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -10.41%E -2.26%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-08 15:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.55I 21.98%NM 18.96%EV -15.96%E -3.51%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 61.20%EV -12.50%E -8.87%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 19.84%EV -15.28%E -3.51%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-03-08 15:45 |
| BoyleSports | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.18%EV -16.88%E -3.75%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.64%EV -13.12%E -9.37%K -32.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.18%EV -12.36%E -2.75%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-03-08 07:43 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.78%EV -16.88%E -3.75%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 58.69%EV -10.64%E -7.39%K -24.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.54%EV -26.97%E -7.19%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 18.3% | 2026-03-12 17:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 19.72%EV -20.58%E -4.79%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 60.56%EV -13.12%E -9.37%K -32.81%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 19.72%EV -16.26%E -3.78%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-03-08 15:45 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 19.36%EV -20.58%E -4.79%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 60.33%EV -14.36%E -10.41%K -37.80%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 20.31%EV -20.15%E -4.92%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 20.1% | 2026-03-08 18:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.68% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.87% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.45% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 13:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.32% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.84% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.84% | 5.0% | 2026-03-13 03:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.32% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.84% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.84% | 5.0% | 2026-03-13 03:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.32% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.84% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.84% | 5.0% | 2026-03-13 03:10 |