La scuola delle quote

Sarpsborg FK v Bodø/Glimt

Inizio: 2026-04-15 17:00 UTC

Finale: Sarpsborg FK 1–1 Bodø/Glimt

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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55 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Sarpsborg FK (Casa)

Previsione 16.35%6.12quota equa
EV +3.01%
Vantaggio +0.478%
Kelly +0.568%
Crescita +0.017%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
14.98%16.49%16.24%18.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.755.545.706.3021.05%18.06%17.54%15.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Bodø/Glimt (Trasferta)

Previsione 65.10%1.54quota equa
EV -3.66%
Vantaggio -2.47%
Kelly -7.62%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.48

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
62.03%64.97%65.23%66.08%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.361.421.421.4873.53%70.44%70.42%67.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 18.55%5.39quota equa
EV +0.919%
Vantaggio +0.169%
Kelly +0.207%
Crescita +0.002%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.44

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.73%18.54%18.53%21.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.884.805.4425.00%20.48%20.83%18.38%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (55 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Betsson6.30I 15.87%NM 14.98%EV +3.01%E +0.478%K +0.568%G +0.017%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.55%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.23%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.46%EV -10.03%E -2.07%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 16:30
NordicBet6.30I 15.87%NM 14.98%EV +3.01%E +0.478%K +0.568%G +0.017%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.55%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.23%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.46%EV -10.03%E -2.07%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 16:30
Coolbet6.10I 16.39%NM 15.91%EV -0.258%E -0.042%K -0.051%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.59%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.49%EV -2.61%E -0.496%K -0.613%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-15 16:30
1xBet6.03I 16.58%NM 15.80%EV -1.40%E -0.233%K -0.279%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.73%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.46%G +0.000%5.16I 19.38%NM 18.47%EV -4.28%E -0.829%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 16:30
FanDuel6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -1.89%E -0.316%K -0.379%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -8.86%E -6.33%K -22.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-15 16:29
Pinnacle5.95I 16.81%NM 16.21%EV -2.71%E -0.456%K -0.548%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.06%EV -4.96%E -3.40%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.44I 18.38%NM 17.73%EV +0.919%E +0.169%K +0.207%G +0.002%3.7%2026-04-15 16:30
Marathon Bet5.90I 16.95%NM 15.81%EV -3.53%E -0.598%K -0.720%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.71%EV -7.56%E -5.32%K -18.00%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.48%EV -6.32%E -1.25%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 16:30
GTbets5.79I 17.27%NM 16.12%EV -5.33%E -0.920%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.28%EV -6.91%E -4.83%K -16.07%G +0.000%5.02I 19.92%NM 18.60%EV -6.87%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 16:30
DraftKings5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -5.98%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.23%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -2.61%E -0.496%K -0.613%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 16:30
Unibet (UK)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -5.98%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.90%EV -7.56%E -5.32%K -18.00%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -2.61%E -0.496%K -0.613%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 14:40
PointsBet (AU)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -5.98%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.32%EV -7.56%E -5.32%K -18.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-15 16:30
Grosvenor5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -5.98%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -7.56%E -5.32%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-15 16:30
Casumo5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -5.98%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -7.56%E -5.32%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-15 16:30
Unibet (NL)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -5.98%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -7.56%E -5.32%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-15 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -5.98%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -7.56%E -5.32%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-15 16:30
Unibet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -5.98%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -7.56%E -5.32%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-15 16:30
Unibet (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -5.98%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -7.56%E -5.32%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-15 16:30
BetRivers5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -5.98%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -7.56%E -5.32%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-15 16:30
TABtouch5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -5.98%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -7.56%E -5.32%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-15 16:30
ATG (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -5.98%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -7.56%E -5.32%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-15 16:30
Svenska Spel5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -5.98%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -7.56%E -5.32%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-15 16:30
betPARX5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -5.98%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -7.56%E -5.32%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-15 16:30
Bet Right5.75I 17.39%NM 16.00%EV -5.98%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.23%EV -8.21%E -5.82%K -20.03%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -9.10%E -1.86%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-15 16:30
Bet Victor5.75I 17.39%NM 15.86%EV -5.98%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.14%EV -8.86%E -6.33%K -22.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-15 16:30
LowVig.ag5.70I 17.54%NM 16.52%EV -6.80%E -1.19%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.38%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.10%EV -3.53%E -0.680%K -0.841%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 16:30
BetOnline.ag5.70I 17.54%NM 16.52%EV -6.80%E -1.19%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.38%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.10%EV -3.53%E -0.680%K -0.841%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 16:30
BetAnything5.70I 17.54%NM 16.52%EV -6.80%E -1.19%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.38%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.10%EV -3.53%E -0.680%K -0.841%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 16:30
Tipico (DE)5.70I 17.54%NM 16.12%EV -6.80%E -1.19%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.73%EV -7.56%E -5.32%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.15%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-15 16:30
Virgin Bet5.60I 17.86%NM 16.26%EV -8.43%E -1.51%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.57%EV -8.21%E -5.82%K -20.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -11.88%E -2.50%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-15 04:24
LiveScore Bet5.60I 17.86%NM 16.26%EV -8.43%E -1.51%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.57%EV -8.21%E -5.82%K -20.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -11.88%E -2.50%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-15 04:25
LeoVegas5.60I 17.86%NM 16.15%EV -8.43%E -1.51%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.60%EV -8.86%E -6.33%K -22.16%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.24%EV -12.81%E -2.73%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-15 04:25
Fanatics5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -10.07%E -1.83%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.52%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 16:30
William Hill5.50I 18.18%NM 16.59%EV -10.07%E -1.83%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -8.86%E -6.33%K -22.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-15 04:40
betfred_uk5.50I 18.18%NM 16.59%EV -10.07%E -1.83%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -8.86%E -6.33%K -22.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-15 14:01
PlayUp5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -10.07%E -1.83%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.82%EV -7.56%E -5.32%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.70%EV -14.66%E -3.19%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-15 16:30
SportsBet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -10.07%E -1.83%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -8.86%E -6.33%K -22.16%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -11.88%E -2.50%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-15 16:30
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -10.07%E -1.83%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -8.86%E -6.33%K -22.16%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -11.88%E -2.50%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-15 16:30
BetUS5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -11.70%E -2.17%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.48%EV -6.91%E -4.83%K -16.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-15 16:30
Bovada5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -11.70%E -2.17%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.64%EV -7.56%E -5.32%K -18.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-15 16:00
PMU (FR)5.40I 18.52%NM 16.27%EV -11.70%E -2.17%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 64.62%EV -11.47%E -8.43%K -31.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.11%EV -14.66%E -3.19%K -4.07%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-15 04:25
BetMGM5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -14.16%E -2.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.42%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.46%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -2.61%E -0.496%K -0.613%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 16:30
Betway5.25I 19.05%NM 17.63%EV -14.16%E -2.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.85%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-15 15:59
Everygame5.25I 19.05%NM 17.24%EV -14.16%E -2.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.66%EV -8.86%E -6.33%K -22.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-15 16:30
Betclic (FR)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.03%EV -14.16%E -2.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 64.34%EV -9.51%E -6.84%K -24.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-15 16:25
Sky Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 16.90%EV -14.16%E -2.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -8.86%E -6.33%K -22.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -16.52%E -3.67%K -4.72%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-15 16:30
Codere (IT)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.48%EV -14.97%E -2.88%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.58%EV -6.91%E -4.83%K -16.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-15 16:30
Unibet (FR)5.10I 19.61%NM 17.38%EV -16.61%E -3.26%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 63.76%EV -9.51%E -6.84%K -24.40%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.86%EV -12.81%E -2.73%K -3.46%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-15 16:29
Winamax (DE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -18.24%E -3.65%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.61%EV -6.91%E -4.83%K -16.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-15 16:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 16.87%EV -18.24%E -3.65%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 62.03%EV -11.47%E -8.43%K -31.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.09%EV -25.80%E -6.45%K -8.60%G +0.000%18.5%2026-04-15 16:30
Coral4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -21.51%E -4.48%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-15 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -21.51%E -4.48%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-15 16:30
Ladbrokes (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -21.51%E -4.48%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-15 16:30
Neds4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -21.51%E -4.48%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-15 16:30
Winamax (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.35%EV -21.51%E -4.48%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.91%EV -8.86%E -6.33%K -22.16%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.74%EV -12.81%E -2.73%K -3.46%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-15 16:30
BoyleSports4.75I 21.05%NM 18.21%EV -22.33%E -4.70%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 63.59%EV -11.47%E -8.43%K -31.85%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.21%EV -11.88%E -2.50%K -3.17%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-15 16:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.60I 15.15%NM 15.03%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.59%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37%0.8%2026-04-15 16:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.60I 15.15%NM 15.03%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.59%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37%0.8%2026-04-15 16:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.60I 15.15%NM 15.03%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.59%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37%0.8%2026-04-15 16:30
Matchbook6.60I 15.15%NM 14.97%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.74%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.29%1.2%2026-04-15 16:30
Smarkets6.40I 15.63%NM 15.29%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.58%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.13%2.2%2026-04-15 16:30