L’École des cotes

Sarpsborg FK v Bodø/Glimt

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-15 17:00 UTC

Score final : Sarpsborg FK 1–1 Bodø/Glimt

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Sarpsborg FK (Local)

Prévision 16.35%6.12cote équitable
EV +3.01%
Avantage +0.478%
Kelly +0.568%
Croissance +0.017%

avec la cote maximale 6.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.98%16.49%16.24%18.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.755.545.706.3021.05%18.06%17.54%15.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Bodø/Glimt (Visiteur)

Prévision 65.10%1.54cote équitable
EV -3.66%
Avantage -2.47%
Kelly -7.62%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.03%64.97%65.23%66.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.361.421.421.4873.53%70.44%70.42%67.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 18.55%5.39cote équitable
EV +0.919%
Avantage +0.169%
Kelly +0.207%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 5.44

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.73%18.54%18.53%21.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.884.805.4425.00%20.48%20.83%18.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Betsson6.30I 15.87%NM 14.98%EV +3.01%E +0.478%K +0.568%G +0.017%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.55%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.23%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.46%EV -10.03%E -2.07%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 16:30
NordicBet6.30I 15.87%NM 14.98%EV +3.01%E +0.478%K +0.568%G +0.017%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.55%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.23%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.46%EV -10.03%E -2.07%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 16:30
Coolbet6.10I 16.39%NM 15.91%EV -0.258%E -0.042%K -0.051%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.59%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.49%EV -2.61%E -0.496%K -0.613%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-15 16:30
1xBet6.03I 16.58%NM 15.80%EV -1.40%E -0.233%K -0.279%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.73%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.46%G +0.000%5.16I 19.38%NM 18.47%EV -4.28%E -0.829%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 16:30
FanDuel6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -1.89%E -0.316%K -0.379%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -8.86%E -6.33%K -22.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-15 16:29
Pinnacle5.95I 16.81%NM 16.21%EV -2.71%E -0.456%K -0.548%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.06%EV -4.96%E -3.40%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.44I 18.38%NM 17.73%EV +0.919%E +0.169%K +0.207%G +0.002%3.7%2026-04-15 16:30
Marathon Bet5.90I 16.95%NM 15.81%EV -3.53%E -0.598%K -0.720%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.71%EV -7.56%E -5.32%K -18.00%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.48%EV -6.32%E -1.25%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 16:30
GTbets5.79I 17.27%NM 16.12%EV -5.33%E -0.920%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.28%EV -6.91%E -4.83%K -16.07%G +0.000%5.02I 19.92%NM 18.60%EV -6.87%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 16:30
DraftKings5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -5.98%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.23%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -2.61%E -0.496%K -0.613%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 16:30
Unibet (UK)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -5.98%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.90%EV -7.56%E -5.32%K -18.00%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -2.61%E -0.496%K -0.613%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 14:40
PointsBet (AU)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -5.98%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.32%EV -7.56%E -5.32%K -18.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-15 16:30
Grosvenor5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -5.98%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -7.56%E -5.32%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-15 16:30
Casumo5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -5.98%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -7.56%E -5.32%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-15 16:30
Unibet (NL)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -5.98%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -7.56%E -5.32%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-15 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -5.98%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -7.56%E -5.32%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-15 16:30
Unibet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -5.98%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -7.56%E -5.32%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-15 16:30
Unibet (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -5.98%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -7.56%E -5.32%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-15 16:30
BetRivers5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -5.98%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -7.56%E -5.32%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-15 16:30
TABtouch5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -5.98%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -7.56%E -5.32%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-15 16:30
ATG (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -5.98%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -7.56%E -5.32%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-15 16:30
Svenska Spel5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -5.98%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -7.56%E -5.32%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-15 16:30
betPARX5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -5.98%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -7.56%E -5.32%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-15 16:30
Bet Right5.75I 17.39%NM 16.00%EV -5.98%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.23%EV -8.21%E -5.82%K -20.03%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -9.10%E -1.86%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-15 16:30
Bet Victor5.75I 17.39%NM 15.86%EV -5.98%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.14%EV -8.86%E -6.33%K -22.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-15 16:30
LowVig.ag5.70I 17.54%NM 16.52%EV -6.80%E -1.19%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.38%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.10%EV -3.53%E -0.680%K -0.841%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 16:30
BetOnline.ag5.70I 17.54%NM 16.52%EV -6.80%E -1.19%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.38%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.10%EV -3.53%E -0.680%K -0.841%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 16:30
BetAnything5.70I 17.54%NM 16.52%EV -6.80%E -1.19%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.38%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.10%EV -3.53%E -0.680%K -0.841%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 16:30
Tipico (DE)5.70I 17.54%NM 16.12%EV -6.80%E -1.19%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.73%EV -7.56%E -5.32%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.15%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-15 16:30
Virgin Bet5.60I 17.86%NM 16.26%EV -8.43%E -1.51%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.57%EV -8.21%E -5.82%K -20.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -11.88%E -2.50%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-15 04:24
LiveScore Bet5.60I 17.86%NM 16.26%EV -8.43%E -1.51%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.57%EV -8.21%E -5.82%K -20.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -11.88%E -2.50%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-15 04:25
LeoVegas5.60I 17.86%NM 16.15%EV -8.43%E -1.51%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.60%EV -8.86%E -6.33%K -22.16%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.24%EV -12.81%E -2.73%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-15 04:25
Fanatics5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -10.07%E -1.83%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.52%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 16:30
William Hill5.50I 18.18%NM 16.59%EV -10.07%E -1.83%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -8.86%E -6.33%K -22.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-15 04:40
betfred_uk5.50I 18.18%NM 16.59%EV -10.07%E -1.83%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -8.86%E -6.33%K -22.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-15 14:01
PlayUp5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -10.07%E -1.83%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.82%EV -7.56%E -5.32%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.70%EV -14.66%E -3.19%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-15 16:30
SportsBet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -10.07%E -1.83%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -8.86%E -6.33%K -22.16%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -11.88%E -2.50%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-15 16:30
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -10.07%E -1.83%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -8.86%E -6.33%K -22.16%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -11.88%E -2.50%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-15 16:30
BetUS5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -11.70%E -2.17%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.48%EV -6.91%E -4.83%K -16.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-15 16:30
Bovada5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -11.70%E -2.17%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.64%EV -7.56%E -5.32%K -18.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-15 16:00
PMU (FR)5.40I 18.52%NM 16.27%EV -11.70%E -2.17%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 64.62%EV -11.47%E -8.43%K -31.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.11%EV -14.66%E -3.19%K -4.07%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-15 04:25
BetMGM5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -14.16%E -2.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.42%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.46%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -2.61%E -0.496%K -0.613%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 16:30
Betway5.25I 19.05%NM 17.63%EV -14.16%E -2.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.85%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-15 15:59
Everygame5.25I 19.05%NM 17.24%EV -14.16%E -2.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.66%EV -8.86%E -6.33%K -22.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-15 16:30
Betclic (FR)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.03%EV -14.16%E -2.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 64.34%EV -9.51%E -6.84%K -24.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-15 16:25
Sky Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 16.90%EV -14.16%E -2.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -8.86%E -6.33%K -22.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -16.52%E -3.67%K -4.72%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-15 16:30
Codere (IT)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.48%EV -14.97%E -2.88%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.58%EV -6.91%E -4.83%K -16.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-15 16:30
Unibet (FR)5.10I 19.61%NM 17.38%EV -16.61%E -3.26%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 63.76%EV -9.51%E -6.84%K -24.40%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.86%EV -12.81%E -2.73%K -3.46%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-15 16:29
Winamax (DE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -18.24%E -3.65%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.61%EV -6.91%E -4.83%K -16.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-15 16:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 16.87%EV -18.24%E -3.65%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 62.03%EV -11.47%E -8.43%K -31.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.09%EV -25.80%E -6.45%K -8.60%G +0.000%18.5%2026-04-15 16:30
Coral4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -21.51%E -4.48%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-15 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -21.51%E -4.48%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-15 16:30
Ladbrokes (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -21.51%E -4.48%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-15 16:30
Neds4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -21.51%E -4.48%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-15 16:30
Winamax (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.35%EV -21.51%E -4.48%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.91%EV -8.86%E -6.33%K -22.16%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.74%EV -12.81%E -2.73%K -3.46%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-15 16:30
BoyleSports4.75I 21.05%NM 18.21%EV -22.33%E -4.70%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 63.59%EV -11.47%E -8.43%K -31.85%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.21%EV -11.88%E -2.50%K -3.17%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-15 16:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.60I 15.15%NM 15.03%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.59%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37%0.8%2026-04-15 16:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.60I 15.15%NM 15.03%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.59%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37%0.8%2026-04-15 16:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.60I 15.15%NM 15.03%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.59%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37%0.8%2026-04-15 16:30
Matchbook6.60I 15.15%NM 14.97%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.74%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.29%1.2%2026-04-15 16:30
Smarkets6.40I 15.63%NM 15.29%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.58%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.13%2.2%2026-04-15 16:30