La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Sarpsborg FK v Bodø/Glimt
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sarpsborg FK (Local)
Predicción 16.35%6.12momio equitativo
EV +3.01%
Ventaja +0.478%
Kelly +0.568%
Crecimiento +0.017%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.98%16.49%16.24%18.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.755.545.706.3021.05%18.06%17.54%15.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Bodø/Glimt (Visitante)
Predicción 65.10%1.54momio equitativo
EV -3.66%
Ventaja -2.47%
Kelly -7.62%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.48
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.03%64.97%65.23%66.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.361.421.421.4873.53%70.44%70.42%67.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 18.55%5.39momio equitativo
EV +0.919%
Ventaja +0.169%
Kelly +0.207%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.44
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.73%18.54%18.53%21.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.884.805.4425.00%20.48%20.83%18.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.98%EV +3.01%E +0.478%K +0.568%G +0.017% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.55%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.46%EV -10.03%E -2.07%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| NordicBet | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.98%EV +3.01%E +0.478%K +0.568%G +0.017% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.55%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.46%EV -10.03%E -2.07%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| Coolbet | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.91%EV -0.258%E -0.042%K -0.051%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.59%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.49%EV -2.61%E -0.496%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| 1xBet | 6.03I 16.58%NM 15.80%EV -1.40%E -0.233%K -0.279%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.73%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 5.16I 19.38%NM 18.47%EV -4.28%E -0.829%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| FanDuel | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -1.89%E -0.316%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -8.86%E -6.33%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-15 16:29 |
| Pinnacle | 5.95I 16.81%NM 16.21%EV -2.71%E -0.456%K -0.548%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.06%EV -4.96%E -3.40%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 5.44I 18.38%NM 17.73%EV +0.919%E +0.169%K +0.207%G +0.002% | 3.7% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.81%EV -3.53%E -0.598%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.71%EV -7.56%E -5.32%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.48%EV -6.32%E -1.25%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| GTbets | 5.79I 17.27%NM 16.12%EV -5.33%E -0.920%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.28%EV -6.91%E -4.83%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 5.02I 19.92%NM 18.60%EV -6.87%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| DraftKings | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -5.98%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -2.61%E -0.496%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -5.98%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.90%EV -7.56%E -5.32%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -2.61%E -0.496%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-15 14:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -5.98%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.32%EV -7.56%E -5.32%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| Grosvenor | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -5.98%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -7.56%E -5.32%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| Casumo | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -5.98%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -7.56%E -5.32%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -5.98%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -7.56%E -5.32%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -5.98%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -7.56%E -5.32%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| Unibet | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -5.98%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -7.56%E -5.32%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -5.98%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -7.56%E -5.32%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| BetRivers | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -5.98%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -7.56%E -5.32%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| TABtouch | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -5.98%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -7.56%E -5.32%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -5.98%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -7.56%E -5.32%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -5.98%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -7.56%E -5.32%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| betPARX | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -5.98%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -7.56%E -5.32%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| Bet Right | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.00%EV -5.98%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.23%EV -8.21%E -5.82%K -20.03%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -9.10%E -1.86%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| Bet Victor | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.86%EV -5.98%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.14%EV -8.86%E -6.33%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.52%EV -6.80%E -1.19%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.38%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.10%EV -3.53%E -0.680%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.52%EV -6.80%E -1.19%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.38%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.10%EV -3.53%E -0.680%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| BetAnything | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.52%EV -6.80%E -1.19%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.38%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.10%EV -3.53%E -0.680%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.12%EV -6.80%E -1.19%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.73%EV -7.56%E -5.32%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.15%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.26%EV -8.43%E -1.51%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.57%EV -8.21%E -5.82%K -20.03%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -11.88%E -2.50%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-15 04:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.26%EV -8.43%E -1.51%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.57%EV -8.21%E -5.82%K -20.03%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -11.88%E -2.50%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-15 04:25 |
| LeoVegas | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.15%EV -8.43%E -1.51%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.60%EV -8.86%E -6.33%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.24%EV -12.81%E -2.73%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-15 04:25 |
| Fanatics | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -10.07%E -1.83%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.52%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| William Hill | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.59%EV -10.07%E -1.83%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -8.86%E -6.33%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-15 04:40 |
| betfred_uk | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.59%EV -10.07%E -1.83%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -8.86%E -6.33%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-15 14:01 |
| PlayUp | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -10.07%E -1.83%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.82%EV -7.56%E -5.32%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.70%EV -14.66%E -3.19%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| SportsBet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -10.07%E -1.83%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -8.86%E -6.33%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -11.88%E -2.50%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| Paddy Power | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -10.07%E -1.83%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -8.86%E -6.33%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -11.88%E -2.50%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| BetUS | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -11.70%E -2.17%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.48%EV -6.91%E -4.83%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| Bovada | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -11.70%E -2.17%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.64%EV -7.56%E -5.32%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-15 16:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.27%EV -11.70%E -2.17%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.62%EV -11.47%E -8.43%K -31.85%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.11%EV -14.66%E -3.19%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-15 04:25 |
| BetMGM | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -14.16%E -2.70%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.42%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -2.61%E -0.496%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| Betway | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.63%EV -14.16%E -2.70%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.85%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-15 15:59 |
| Everygame | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.24%EV -14.16%E -2.70%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.66%EV -8.86%E -6.33%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.03%EV -14.16%E -2.70%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 64.34%EV -9.51%E -6.84%K -24.40%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-15 16:25 |
| Sky Bet | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.90%EV -14.16%E -2.70%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -8.86%E -6.33%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -16.52%E -3.67%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.48%EV -14.97%E -2.88%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.58%EV -6.91%E -4.83%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.38%EV -16.61%E -3.26%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 63.76%EV -9.51%E -6.84%K -24.40%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.86%EV -12.81%E -2.73%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-15 16:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -18.24%E -3.65%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.61%EV -6.91%E -4.83%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 16.87%EV -18.24%E -3.65%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 62.03%EV -11.47%E -8.43%K -31.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.09%EV -25.80%E -6.45%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 18.5% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| Coral | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -21.51%E -4.48%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -21.51%E -4.48%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -21.51%E -4.48%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| Neds | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -21.51%E -4.48%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.35%EV -21.51%E -4.48%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.91%EV -8.86%E -6.33%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.74%EV -12.81%E -2.73%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| BoyleSports | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.21%EV -22.33%E -4.70%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 63.59%EV -11.47%E -8.43%K -31.85%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.21%EV -11.88%E -2.50%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.03% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.59% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37% | 0.8% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.03% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.59% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37% | 0.8% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.03% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.59% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37% | 0.8% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| Matchbook | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.97% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.74% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.29% | 1.2% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| Smarkets | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.29% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.58% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.13% | 2.2% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |