Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sandefjord v Rosenborg

Kickoff: 2026-04-18 14:00 UTC

Final: Sandefjord 0–0 Rosenborg

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sandefjord (Local)

Prediction 46.49%2.15fair odd
EV -3.29%
Edge -1.58%
Kelly -3.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.53%46.39%46.42%47.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.971.962.0854.64%50.71%51.02%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rosenborg (Visit)

Prediction 27.79%3.60fair odd
EV -0.797%
Edge -0.223%
Kelly -0.310%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.45%27.89%27.86%29.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.293.303.5733.33%30.39%30.30%28.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.72%3.89fair odd
EV -3.55%
Edge -0.948%
Kelly -1.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.99%25.72%25.72%27.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.573.603.7532.26%28.00%27.78%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sandefjord (Local): 46.49%; Rosenborg (Visit): 27.79%; Draw: 25.72%. For Rosenborg (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.60. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.57, with an expected value of -0.797%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.45%EV -3.29%E -1.58%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.37%EV -1.91%E -0.541%K -0.754%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.18%EV -5.10%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-18 13:40
Coolbet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.91%EV -3.76%E -1.82%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.20%EV -0.797%E -0.223%K -0.310%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -3.55%E -0.948%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-18 13:50
GTbets🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.30%EV -3.76%E -1.82%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.94%EV -4.69%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.76%EV -4.33%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 19:30
1xBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.11%EV -3.76%E -1.82%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.59%EV -3.85%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.30%EV -6.64%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 13:49
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.20%EV -4.69%E -2.29%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.95%EV -6.13%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 13:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.35%EV -5.15%E -2.53%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -2.74%E -0.784%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.63%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 13:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.35%EV -5.15%E -2.53%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -2.74%E -0.784%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.63%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 13:35
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.92%EV -6.08%E -3.01%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -4.13%E -1.20%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 06:30
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.92%EV -6.08%E -3.01%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -4.13%E -1.20%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 06:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.15%EV -6.08%E -3.01%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.58%EV -6.08%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 13:50
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -7.01%E -3.51%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 11:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.01%E -3.51%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -9.69%E -2.98%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 12:35
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.01%E -3.51%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 12:55
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -7.01%E -3.51%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.69%E -2.98%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 13:40
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.01%E -3.51%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 04:55
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.01%E -3.51%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.08%E -3.46%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 12:35
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.01%E -3.51%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.08%E -3.46%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 12:35
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.01%E -3.51%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.18%EV -13.30%E -4.26%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 13:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 45.65%EV -7.48%E -3.76%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -11.08%E -3.46%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 13:50
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -7.94%E -4.01%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 13:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.06%EV -7.94%E -4.01%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -12.47%E -3.96%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -6.13%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 13:50
Unibet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -8.41%E -4.27%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 13:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -8.41%E -4.27%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 13:40
Casumo🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.76%EV -8.87%E -4.53%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 13:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.76%EV -8.87%E -4.53%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 13:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.76%EV -8.87%E -4.53%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 13:40
Grosvenor🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.76%EV -8.87%E -4.53%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 13:39
TABtouch🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.76%EV -8.87%E -4.53%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.76%EV -8.87%E -4.53%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 13:40
BetRivers🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.76%EV -8.87%E -4.53%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 13:39
SportsBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.34%E -4.79%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 11:45
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.34%E -4.79%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 13:40
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -9.34%E -4.79%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 13:49
BetAnything🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -9.34%E -4.79%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 13:50
Everygame🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -9.34%E -4.79%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -6.91%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -12.56%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-18 13:39
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -9.34%E -4.79%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.69%E -2.98%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 13:01
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -9.34%E -4.79%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.08%E -3.46%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -9.34%E -4.79%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.08%E -3.46%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 13:30
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -9.34%E -4.79%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.08%E -3.46%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 13:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -9.34%E -4.79%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.08%E -3.46%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 13:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.02%EV -9.80%E -5.05%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 13:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.02%EV -9.80%E -5.05%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 13:40
LeoVegas🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.91%EV -10.73%E -5.59%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.69%E -2.98%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.37%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 14:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 45.69%EV -10.73%E -5.59%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.24%EV -16.64%E -5.55%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.07%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-18 13:50
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -11.20%E -5.86%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.69%E -2.98%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-18 12:35
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -11.20%E -5.86%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -13.86%E -4.47%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-18 12:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 46.35%EV -12.13%E -6.42%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.26%EV -13.86%E -4.47%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.39%EV -11.27%E -3.27%K -4.60%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-18 13:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 46.69%EV -12.59%E -6.70%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.87%EV -12.47%E -3.96%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.44%EV -11.27%E -3.27%K -4.60%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-18 13:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 46.93%EV -13.06%E -6.98%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.86%EV -12.47%E -3.96%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.22%EV -10.50%E -3.02%K -4.23%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-18 13:48
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 46.25%EV -14.92%E -8.15%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.45%EV -11.08%E -3.46%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.30%EV -20.27%E -6.54%K -9.65%G +0.000%18.2%2026-04-18 13:11
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.48%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.50%0.5%2026-04-18 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.33%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%0.9%2026-04-18 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.33%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%0.9%2026-04-18 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.17%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.83%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00%1.2%2026-04-18 13:50
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.79%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.68%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.52%1.8%2026-04-18 13:40