La escuela de los momios

Sandefjord v Rosenborg

Inicio: 2026-04-18 14:00 UTC

Final: Sandefjord 0–0 Rosenborg

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Sandefjord (Local)

Predicción 46.49%2.15momio equitativo
EV -3.29%
Ventaja -1.58%
Kelly -3.05%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.08

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.53%46.39%46.42%47.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.831.971.962.0854.64%50.71%51.02%48.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Rosenborg (Visitante)

Predicción 27.79%3.60momio equitativo
EV -0.797%
Ventaja -0.223%
Kelly -0.310%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.57

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.45%27.89%27.86%29.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.293.303.5733.33%30.39%30.30%28.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.72%3.89momio equitativo
EV -3.55%
Ventaja -0.948%
Kelly -1.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.99%25.72%25.72%27.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.573.603.7532.26%28.00%27.78%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.08I 48.08%NM 46.45%EV -3.29%E -1.58%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.37%EV -1.91%E -0.541%K -0.754%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.18%EV -5.10%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-18 13:40
Coolbet2.07I 48.31%NM 46.91%EV -3.76%E -1.82%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.20%EV -0.797%E -0.223%K -0.310%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -3.55%E -0.948%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-18 13:50
GTbets2.07I 48.31%NM 46.30%EV -3.76%E -1.82%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.94%EV -4.69%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.76%EV -4.33%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 19:30
1xBet2.07I 48.31%NM 46.11%EV -3.76%E -1.82%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.59%EV -3.85%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.30%EV -6.64%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 13:49
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.20%EV -4.69%E -2.29%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.95%EV -6.13%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 13:40
BetOnline.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 46.35%EV -5.15%E -2.53%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -2.74%E -0.784%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.63%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 13:35
LowVig.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 46.35%EV -5.15%E -2.53%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -2.74%E -0.784%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.63%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 13:35
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.92%EV -6.08%E -3.01%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -4.13%E -1.20%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 06:30
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.92%EV -6.08%E -3.01%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -4.13%E -1.20%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 06:30
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.15%EV -6.08%E -3.01%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.58%EV -6.08%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 13:50
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -7.01%E -3.51%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 11:45
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.01%E -3.51%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -9.69%E -2.98%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 12:35
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.01%E -3.51%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 12:55
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -7.01%E -3.51%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.69%E -2.98%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 13:40
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.01%E -3.51%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 04:55
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.01%E -3.51%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.08%E -3.46%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 12:35
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.01%E -3.51%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.08%E -3.46%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 12:35
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.01%E -3.51%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.18%EV -13.30%E -4.26%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 13:50
Codere (IT)1.99I 50.25%NM 45.65%EV -7.48%E -3.76%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -11.08%E -3.46%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 13:50
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -7.94%E -4.01%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 13:30
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.06%EV -7.94%E -4.01%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -12.47%E -3.96%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -6.13%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 13:50
Unibet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -8.41%E -4.27%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 13:40
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -8.41%E -4.27%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 13:40
Casumo1.96I 51.02%NM 46.76%EV -8.87%E -4.53%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 13:40
Unibet (NL)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.76%EV -8.87%E -4.53%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 13:40
Unibet (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.76%EV -8.87%E -4.53%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 13:40
Grosvenor1.96I 51.02%NM 46.76%EV -8.87%E -4.53%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 13:39
TABtouch1.96I 51.02%NM 46.76%EV -8.87%E -4.53%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.76%EV -8.87%E -4.53%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 13:40
BetRivers1.96I 51.02%NM 46.76%EV -8.87%E -4.53%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 13:39
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.34%E -4.79%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 11:45
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.34%E -4.79%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 13:40
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -9.34%E -4.79%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 13:49
BetAnything1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -9.34%E -4.79%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 13:50
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -9.34%E -4.79%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -6.91%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -12.56%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-18 13:39
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -9.34%E -4.79%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.69%E -2.98%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 13:01
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -9.34%E -4.79%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.08%E -3.46%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -9.34%E -4.79%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.08%E -3.46%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 13:30
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -9.34%E -4.79%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.08%E -3.46%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 13:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -9.34%E -4.79%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.08%E -3.46%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 13:30
LiveScore Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 47.02%EV -9.80%E -5.05%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 13:40
Virgin Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 47.02%EV -9.80%E -5.05%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 13:40
LeoVegas1.92I 52.08%NM 46.91%EV -10.73%E -5.59%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.69%E -2.98%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.37%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 14:05
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.69%EV -10.73%E -5.59%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.24%EV -16.64%E -5.55%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.07%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-18 13:50
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -11.20%E -5.86%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.69%E -2.98%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-18 12:35
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -11.20%E -5.86%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -13.86%E -4.47%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-18 12:35
Unibet (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 46.35%EV -12.13%E -6.42%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.26%EV -13.86%E -4.47%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.39%EV -11.27%E -3.27%K -4.60%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-18 13:50
PMU (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.69%EV -12.59%E -6.70%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.87%EV -12.47%E -3.96%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.44%EV -11.27%E -3.27%K -4.60%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-18 13:40
Betclic (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 46.93%EV -13.06%E -6.98%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.86%EV -12.47%E -3.96%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.22%EV -10.50%E -3.02%K -4.23%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-18 13:48
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.25%EV -14.92%E -8.15%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.45%EV -11.08%E -3.46%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.30%EV -20.27%E -6.54%K -9.65%G +0.000%18.2%2026-04-18 13:11
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.48%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.50%0.5%2026-04-18 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.33%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%0.9%2026-04-18 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.33%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%0.9%2026-04-18 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.17%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.83%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00%1.2%2026-04-18 13:50
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.79%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.68%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.52%1.8%2026-04-18 13:40