The School of Odds
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Sandefjord v Lillestrom

2026-10-18 15:00 UTC — Eliteserien - Norway

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sandefjord (Local)

Prediction 34.15%2.93fair odd
EV -2.34%
Edge -0.817%
Kelly -1.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.86

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.21%34.21%34.10%35.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.482.622.632.8640.32%38.15%38.02%34.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lillestrom (Visit)

Prediction 39.80%2.51fair odd
EV -2.89%
Edge -1.18%
Kelly -2.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.14%39.88%39.94%42.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.322.332.4450.00%43.19%43.01%40.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.05%3.84fair odd
EV -1.01%
Edge -0.265%
Kelly -0.359%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.47%25.91%25.96%26.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.533.543.8029.85%28.32%28.25%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Sandefjord (Local): 34.15%; Lillestrom (Visit): 39.80%; Draw: 26.05%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.84. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.80, with an expected value of -1.01%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.37%EV -2.34%E -0.817%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.62%EV -6.47%E -2.75%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.01%EV -4.39%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-11 18:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -4.39%E -1.57%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -12.44%E -5.65%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-11 18:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.44%EV -5.07%E -1.82%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.59%EV -8.86%E -3.87%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.97%EV -6.74%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-11 18:33
Pinnacle🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.56%EV -5.75%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.09%EV -2.89%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.35%EV -5.70%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-11 19:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -6.09%E -2.22%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.46%E -3.68%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-11 18:34
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.80%E -2.89%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -6.47%E -2.75%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-11 19:04
FanDuel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -9.51%E -3.59%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -8.46%E -3.68%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -1.01%E -0.265%K -0.359%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-11 19:09
LeoVegas🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.07%EV -9.51%E -3.59%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.13%EV -10.45%E -4.64%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-11 18:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.21%EV -9.51%E -3.59%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.68%EV -20.40%E -10.20%K -20.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.11%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%17.1%2026-10-11 18:35
BetRivers🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.55%EV -10.19%E -3.87%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -3.28%E -1.35%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-11 18:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.55%EV -10.19%E -3.87%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -3.28%E -1.35%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-11 18:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.55%EV -10.19%E -3.87%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -3.28%E -1.35%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-11 18:35
Casumo🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.55%EV -10.19%E -3.87%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -3.28%E -1.35%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-11 18:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.55%EV -10.19%E -3.87%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -3.28%E -1.35%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-11 18:35
betPARX🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.55%EV -10.19%E -3.87%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -3.28%E -1.35%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-11 18:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.55%EV -10.19%E -3.87%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -3.28%E -1.35%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-11 18:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.55%EV -10.19%E -3.87%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -3.28%E -1.35%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-11 18:34
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -10.53%E -4.02%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -4.48%E -1.87%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-11 18:34
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -10.53%E -4.02%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -8.46%E -3.68%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-11 19:09
Betclic (FR)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.57%EV -10.53%E -4.02%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.34%EV -13.23%E -6.07%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.10%EV -12.21%E -3.62%K -5.15%G +0.000%13.7%2026-10-11 18:34
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -11.22%E -4.31%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -6.47%E -2.75%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-11 18:39
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -11.22%E -4.31%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43%EV -10.45%E -4.64%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -3.61%E -0.976%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-11 19:09
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.43%EV -11.22%E -4.31%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -12.44%E -5.65%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-11 19:09
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -12.92%E -5.07%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -6.47%E -2.75%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-11 18:35
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -12.92%E -5.07%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -6.47%E -2.75%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-11 18:34
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.50%EV -12.92%E -5.07%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.99%EV -12.44%E -5.65%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.50%EV -10.12%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000%13.7%2026-10-11 18:34
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.74%EV -14.63%E -5.85%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.35%EV -7.26%E -3.12%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.90%EV -10.12%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-11 18:34
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.51%EV -14.63%E -5.85%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.12%EV -14.43%E -6.71%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.37%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%15.9%2026-10-11 19:08
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.38%EV -14.63%E -5.85%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.97%EV -14.43%E -6.71%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.65%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%16.4%2026-10-11 18:34
LiveScore Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.73%EV -15.31%E -6.17%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.20%EV -7.66%E -3.30%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.07%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-11 18:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.73%EV -15.31%E -6.17%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.20%EV -7.66%E -3.30%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.07%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-11 18:34
PMU (FR)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.73%EV -15.31%E -6.17%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.20%EV -7.66%E -3.30%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.07%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-11 18:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.54I 39.37%NM 33.81%2.16I 46.30%NM 39.76%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.43%16.4%2026-10-11 18:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-11 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-11 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%183.0%2026-10-11 19:25