The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Sandefjord v Lillestrom

Kickoff: 2026-10-18 15:00 UTC

Final: Sandefjord 0–2 Lillestrom

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sandefjord (Local)

Prediction 39.55%2.53fair odd
EV -2.71%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -1.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.05%39.63%39.57%41.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.332.302.4647.62%42.99%43.48%40.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lillestrom (Visit)

Prediction 34.78%2.87fair odd
EV +0.176%
Edge +0.061%
Kelly +0.094%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.30%34.77%34.81%37.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.652.652.8840.82%37.72%37.74%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.67%3.90fair odd
EV -1.95%
Edge -0.510%
Kelly -0.690%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.38%25.60%25.62%26.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.573.603.8229.41%28.03%27.78%26.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sandefjord (Local): 39.55%; Lillestrom (Visit): 34.78%; Draw: 25.67%. For Lillestrom (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.87. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.88, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.176%.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.77%EV -5.88%E -2.47%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.69%EV +0.176%E +0.061%K +0.094%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%EV -2.46%E -0.647%K -0.878%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-18 13:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.79%EV -9.04%E -3.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.51%EV -2.61%E -0.931%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -6.31%E -1.73%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-18 14:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.79%EV -9.04%E -3.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.51%EV -2.61%E -0.931%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -6.31%E -1.73%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-18 14:44
BetUS🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.79%EV -9.04%E -3.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.51%EV -2.61%E -0.931%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -6.31%E -1.73%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-18 14:44
BetAnything🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.79%EV -9.04%E -3.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.51%EV -2.61%E -0.931%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -6.31%E -1.73%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-18 14:45
1xBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.43%EV -4.29%E -1.77%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.57%EV -4.00%E -1.45%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.00%EV -5.80%E -1.58%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-18 14:44
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.03%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.77%EV -4.35%E -1.58%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.20%EV -6.31%E -1.73%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-18 14:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -5.88%E -2.47%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -4.35%E -1.58%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-18 13:54
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -7.06%E -3.01%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -4.35%E -1.58%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 14:39
Pinnacle🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.34%EV -2.71%E -1.10%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.32%EV -4.69%E -1.71%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.34%EV -1.95%E -0.510%K -0.690%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-18 14:55
GTbets🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.77%EV -6.67%E -2.82%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.38%EV -5.04%E -1.85%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.85%EV -6.82%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-18 14:00
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -5.08%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -5.03%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-18 14:44
NordicBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -5.08%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-18 14:39
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.77%EV -7.06%E -3.01%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -6.31%E -1.73%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-18 14:49
Marathon Bet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.42%EV -6.67%E -2.82%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.59%EV -6.43%E -2.39%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.99%EV -8.11%E -2.26%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-18 14:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -7.06%E -3.01%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -7.82%E -2.95%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -5.03%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-18 14:54
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.07%EV -5.88%E -2.47%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -7.82%E -2.95%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-18 13:58
BetRivers🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.07%EV -5.88%E -2.47%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -7.82%E -2.95%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-18 14:00
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.07%EV -5.88%E -2.47%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -7.82%E -2.95%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-18 14:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.07%EV -5.88%E -2.47%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -7.82%E -2.95%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-18 14:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.07%EV -5.88%E -2.47%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -7.82%E -2.95%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-18 14:00
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.07%EV -5.88%E -2.47%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -7.82%E -2.95%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-18 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.07%EV -5.88%E -2.47%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -7.82%E -2.95%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-18 14:00
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.07%EV -5.88%E -2.47%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -7.82%E -2.95%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-18 14:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.07%EV -5.88%E -2.47%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -7.82%E -2.95%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-18 14:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.07%EV -5.88%E -2.47%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -7.82%E -2.95%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-18 13:59
BetMGM🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.07%EV -5.88%E -2.47%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -7.82%E -2.95%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-18 14:50
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -7.06%E -3.01%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -7.82%E -2.95%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.16%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-18 14:34
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -7.06%E -3.01%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -7.82%E -2.95%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.16%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-18 14:44
Codere (IT)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -9.04%E -3.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -7.82%E -2.95%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.16%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-18 14:00
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -9.04%E -3.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -7.82%E -2.95%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.16%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-18 14:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.89%EV -13.79%E -6.32%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.64%EV -7.82%E -2.95%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -10.16%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-18 14:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.50%EV -9.04%E -3.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.54%EV -8.52%E -3.24%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -10.16%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-18 14:50
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.26%EV -12.99%E -5.91%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.68%EV -8.52%E -3.24%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -12.73%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-18 13:59
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -9.04%E -3.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.35%EV -8.87%E -3.38%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -2.46%E -0.647%K -0.878%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-18 14:39
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -5.88%E -2.47%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.09%EV -8.87%E -3.38%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -10.16%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-18 14:44
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -9.04%E -3.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.87%E -3.38%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-18 14:54
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -9.04%E -3.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.87%E -3.38%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-18 14:44
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -9.04%E -3.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.87%E -3.38%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-18 14:39
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.04%E -3.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -8.87%E -3.38%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -10.16%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-18 14:39
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -9.04%E -3.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -9.56%E -3.68%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -10.16%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-18 14:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -11.02%E -4.90%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -9.56%E -3.68%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-18 13:54
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -9.04%E -3.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -9.56%E -3.68%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -12.73%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-18 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -9.04%E -3.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -9.56%E -3.68%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -12.73%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-18 14:50
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -9.04%E -3.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -9.56%E -3.68%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -12.73%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-18 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -9.04%E -3.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -9.56%E -3.68%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -12.73%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-18 14:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.23%EV -16.95%E -8.07%K -15.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.30%EV -9.56%E -3.68%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.47%EV -12.73%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000%15.5%2026-10-18 14:35
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.93%EV -9.04%E -3.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.11%EV -11.30%E -4.43%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.95%EV -11.44%E -3.32%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-18 14:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.74%EV -11.02%E -4.90%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.07%EV -11.30%E -4.43%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.19%EV -8.88%E -2.50%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-18 13:54
Bet Right🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.74%EV -11.02%E -4.90%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.07%EV -11.30%E -4.43%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.19%EV -8.88%E -2.50%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-18 14:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.99%EV -9.83%E -4.31%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.86%EV -11.30%E -4.43%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.15%EV -12.73%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-18 14:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.99%EV -9.83%E -4.31%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.86%EV -11.30%E -4.43%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.15%EV -12.73%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-18 14:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.99%EV -9.83%E -4.31%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.86%EV -11.30%E -4.43%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.15%EV -12.73%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-18 14:00
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.42%EV -14.97%E -6.96%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.76%EV -13.04%E -5.22%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.83%EV -10.16%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%15.1%2026-10-18 14:29
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.05%EV -5.08%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.27%EV -14.78%E -6.03%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -5.03%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-18 14:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.63%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.64%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%0.9%2026-10-18 14:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.63%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.64%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%0.9%2026-10-18 14:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.63%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.64%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%0.9%2026-10-18 14:55
Matchbook◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.53%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.80%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67%1.2%2026-10-18 14:55
Smarkets◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.49%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.52%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.98%1.3%2026-10-18 14:55