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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Sandefjord v Lillestrom

2026-10-18 15:00 UTC — Eliteserien - Norway

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Sandefjord (主队)

预测 34.15%2.93公平赔率
EV -2.34%
优势 -0.817%
Kelly -1.26%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.86

博彩公司预测分布
32.21%34.21%34.10%35.74%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.482.622.632.8640.32%38.14%38.02%34.97%最小值均值中位数最大值

Lillestrom (客队)

预测 39.80%2.51公平赔率
EV -2.89%
优势 -1.18%
Kelly -2.00%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.44

博彩公司预测分布
38.14%39.88%39.94%42.68%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.002.312.322.4450.00%43.20%43.10%40.98%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 26.05%3.84公平赔率
EV -1.01%
优势 -0.265%
Kelly -0.359%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.80

博彩公司预测分布
24.41%25.91%25.96%26.92%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.353.543.583.8029.85%28.26%27.93%26.32%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Sandefjord (主队)：34.15%；Lillestrom (客队)：39.80%；平局：26.05%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.84。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率：当前最佳赔率为3.80，期望值为-1.01%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.37%EV -2.34%E -0.817%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.62%EV -6.47%E -2.75%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.01%EV -4.39%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-11 18:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -4.39%E -1.57%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -12.44%E -5.65%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-11 18:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.44%EV -5.07%E -1.82%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.59%EV -8.86%E -3.87%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.97%EV -6.74%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-11 18:33
Pinnacle🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.56%EV -5.75%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.09%EV -2.89%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.35%EV -5.70%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-11 19:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -6.09%E -2.22%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.46%E -3.68%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-11 18:34
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.80%E -2.89%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -6.47%E -2.75%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-11 19:04
FanDuel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -9.51%E -3.59%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -8.46%E -3.68%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -1.01%E -0.265%K -0.359%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-11 19:09
LeoVegas🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.07%EV -9.51%E -3.59%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.13%EV -10.45%E -4.64%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-11 18:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.21%EV -9.51%E -3.59%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.68%EV -20.40%E -10.20%K -20.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.11%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%17.1%2026-10-11 18:35
BetRivers🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.55%EV -10.19%E -3.87%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -3.28%E -1.35%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-11 18:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.55%EV -10.19%E -3.87%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -3.28%E -1.35%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-11 18:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.55%EV -10.19%E -3.87%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -3.28%E -1.35%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-11 18:35
Casumo🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.55%EV -10.19%E -3.87%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -3.28%E -1.35%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-11 18:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.55%EV -10.19%E -3.87%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -3.28%E -1.35%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-11 18:35
betPARX🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.55%EV -10.19%E -3.87%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -3.28%E -1.35%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-11 18:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.55%EV -10.19%E -3.87%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -3.28%E -1.35%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-11 18:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.55%EV -10.19%E -3.87%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -3.28%E -1.35%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-11 18:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -10.19%E -3.87%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -8.46%E -3.68%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -1.01%E -0.265%K -0.359%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-11 18:53
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -10.53%E -4.02%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -4.48%E -1.87%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-11 18:34
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -10.53%E -4.02%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -8.46%E -3.68%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-11 19:09
Betclic (FR)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.57%EV -10.53%E -4.02%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.34%EV -13.23%E -6.07%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.10%EV -12.21%E -3.62%K -5.15%G +0.000%13.7%2026-10-11 18:34
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -11.22%E -4.31%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -6.47%E -2.75%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-11 18:39
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -11.22%E -4.31%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43%EV -10.45%E -4.64%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -3.61%E -0.976%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-11 19:09
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.43%EV -11.22%E -4.31%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -12.44%E -5.65%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-11 19:09
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -12.92%E -5.07%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -6.47%E -2.75%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-11 18:35
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -12.92%E -5.07%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -6.47%E -2.75%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-11 18:34
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.50%EV -12.92%E -5.07%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.99%EV -12.44%E -5.65%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.50%EV -10.12%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000%13.7%2026-10-11 18:34
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.74%EV -14.63%E -5.85%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.35%EV -7.26%E -3.12%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.90%EV -10.12%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-11 18:34
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.51%EV -14.63%E -5.85%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.12%EV -14.43%E -6.71%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.37%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%15.9%2026-10-11 19:08
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.38%EV -14.63%E -5.85%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.97%EV -14.43%E -6.71%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.65%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%16.4%2026-10-11 18:34
LiveScore Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.73%EV -15.31%E -6.17%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.20%EV -7.66%E -3.30%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.07%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-11 18:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.73%EV -15.31%E -6.17%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.20%EV -7.66%E -3.30%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.07%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-11 18:34
PMU (FR)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.73%EV -15.31%E -6.17%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.20%EV -7.66%E -3.30%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.07%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-11 18:35
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets◎2.54I 39.37%NM 33.81%2.16I 46.30%NM 39.76%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.43%16.4%2026-10-11 18:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-11 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-11 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%183.0%2026-10-11 19:25