Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sandefjord v HamKam

Kickoff: 2026-07-12 15:00 UTC

Final: Sandefjord 2–2 HamKam

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sandefjord (Local)

Prediction 47.55%2.10fair odd
EV -2.52%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -2.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.01%47.58%47.41%48.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.931.932.0554.64%51.72%51.81%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

HamKam (Visit)

Prediction 26.67%3.75fair odd
EV -1.33%
Edge -0.360%
Kelly -0.494%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.66%26.69%26.78%28.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.453.453.7032.26%28.95%28.99%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.78%3.88fair odd
EV -3.58%
Edge -0.956%
Kelly -1.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.22%25.74%25.82%26.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.573.603.7429.41%28.02%27.78%26.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sandefjord (Local): 47.55%; HamKam (Visit): 26.67%; Draw: 25.78%. For HamKam (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.75. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.70, with an expected value of -1.33%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.33%EV -2.52%E -1.23%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.44%EV -2.13%E -0.581%K -0.799%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.23%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-12 14:39
Pinnacle🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.90%EV -3.95%E -1.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -1.33%E -0.360%K -0.494%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.94%EV -3.83%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-12 14:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.95%EV -3.95%E -1.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -5.33%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 14:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.95%EV -3.95%E -1.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -5.33%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 14:54
BetAnything🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.95%EV -3.95%E -1.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -5.33%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 14:54
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.18%EV -4.90%E -2.45%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -6.67%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -5.90%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 14:34
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -4.90%E -2.45%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.67%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-12 14:43
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -5.85%E -2.95%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.67%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-12 14:34
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -5.85%E -2.95%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -9.33%E -2.74%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-12 14:53
1xBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -6.32%E -3.21%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.28%EV -3.47%E -0.958%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.43%EV -3.58%E -0.956%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 14:54
SportsBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.99%EV -6.80%E -3.47%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.00%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-12 14:44
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -1.33%E -0.360%K -0.494%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 14:55
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -1.33%E -0.360%K -0.494%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 14:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -9.33%E -2.74%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-12 14:35
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.33%E -2.74%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-12 14:49
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.33%E -2.74%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-12 14:49
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -6.67%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-12 14:34
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.00%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-12 14:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -13.33%E -4.10%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-12 14:54
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -13.33%E -4.10%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-12 14:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -13.33%E -4.10%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-12 14:55
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -13.33%E -4.10%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-12 14:54
Unibet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -7.75%E -4.00%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -5.33%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 14:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.32%EV -8.23%E -4.26%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.05%EV -4.53%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.62%EV -6.15%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 14:54
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.08%EV -8.23%E -4.26%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -5.33%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-07 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.08%EV -8.23%E -4.26%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -5.33%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-07 14:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.08%EV -8.23%E -4.26%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -5.33%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-07 14:20
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.08%EV -8.23%E -4.26%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -5.33%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-07 14:19
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.08%EV -8.23%E -4.26%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -5.33%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-07 14:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.08%EV -8.23%E -4.26%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -5.33%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-07 14:20
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.08%EV -8.23%E -4.26%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -5.33%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-07 14:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.08%EV -8.23%E -4.26%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -5.33%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-07 14:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.08%EV -8.23%E -4.26%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -5.33%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-07 14:19
LeoVegas🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.23%E -4.26%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.33%E -2.74%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-12 14:54
Codere (IT)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.19%EV -8.23%E -4.26%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -9.33%E -2.74%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-12 14:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.47%EV -8.70%E -4.53%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -10.67%E -3.18%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-12 14:34
GTbets🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.72%EV -9.18%E -4.80%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.14%EV -5.07%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.15%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-12 14:49
TABtouch🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -9.18%E -4.80%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -6.67%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-07 14:25
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -9.18%E -4.80%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.33%E -2.74%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-12 14:55
Bet Victor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -9.18%E -4.80%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.33%E -2.74%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-12 14:48
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -9.18%E -4.80%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.33%E -2.74%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-12 14:54
betano_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -9.18%E -4.80%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.33%E -2.74%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-12 14:48
Everygame🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.46%EV -9.18%E -4.80%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.27%EV -8.00%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.27%EV -11.05%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-12 14:35
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -9.18%E -4.80%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -9.33%E -2.74%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-12 14:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -9.18%E -4.80%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -9.33%E -2.74%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-12 14:55
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -9.18%E -4.80%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.00%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-12 14:54
Bet Right🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -9.18%E -4.80%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -14.67%E -4.58%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-12 14:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -9.65%E -5.08%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.67%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-12 14:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.07%EV -10.13%E -5.36%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -8.00%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -8.47%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-07 11:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.07%EV -10.13%E -5.36%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -8.00%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -8.47%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-07 11:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.40%EV -11.55%E -6.21%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -8.00%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.50%EV -8.99%E -2.55%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-12 14:32
Unibet (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 47.93%EV -11.55%E -6.21%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -9.33%E -2.74%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.84%EV -11.05%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-12 14:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 47.16%EV -11.55%E -6.21%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.41%EV -14.67%E -4.58%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.43%EV -11.05%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-12 14:34
PlayUp🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -12.03%E -6.50%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -6.67%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-12 14:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.15%EV -12.98%E -7.09%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.30%EV -10.67%E -3.18%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.54%EV -11.05%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-07 14:19
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.65%EV -12.98%E -7.09%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.13%EV -17.33%E -5.59%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.22%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-12 14:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.30%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.18%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51%0.5%2026-07-12 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.13%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.42%0.9%2026-07-12 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.13%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.42%0.9%2026-07-12 14:50
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 48.13%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.42%0.9%2026-07-12 14:50
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 48.38%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.31%1.3%2026-07-12 14:55

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