La escuela de los momios

Sandefjord v HamKam

Inicio: 2026-07-12 15:00 UTC

Final: Sandefjord 2–2 HamKam

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Sandefjord (Local)

Predicción 47.55%2.10momio equitativo
EV -2.52%
Ventaja -1.23%
Kelly -2.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.01%47.58%47.41%48.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.831.931.932.0554.64%51.72%51.81%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

HamKam (Visitante)

Predicción 26.67%3.75momio equitativo
EV -1.33%
Ventaja -0.360%
Kelly -0.494%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.66%26.69%26.78%28.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.453.453.7032.26%28.95%28.99%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.78%3.88momio equitativo
EV -3.58%
Ventaja -0.956%
Kelly -1.31%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.74

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.22%25.74%25.82%26.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.573.603.7429.41%28.02%27.78%26.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 47.33%EV -2.52%E -1.23%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.44%EV -2.13%E -0.581%K -0.799%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.23%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-12 14:39
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 47.90%EV -3.95%E -1.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -1.33%E -0.360%K -0.494%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.94%EV -3.83%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-12 14:50
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 46.95%EV -3.95%E -1.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -5.33%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 14:54
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 46.95%EV -3.95%E -1.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -5.33%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 14:54
BetAnything2.02I 49.50%NM 46.95%EV -3.95%E -1.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -5.33%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 14:54
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.18%EV -4.90%E -2.45%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -6.67%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -5.90%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 14:34
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -4.90%E -2.45%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.67%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-12 14:43
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -5.85%E -2.95%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.67%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-12 14:34
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -5.85%E -2.95%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -9.33%E -2.74%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-12 14:53
1xBet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -6.32%E -3.21%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.28%EV -3.47%E -0.958%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.43%EV -3.58%E -0.956%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 14:54
SportsBet1.96I 51.02%NM 46.99%EV -6.80%E -3.47%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.00%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-12 14:44
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -1.33%E -0.360%K -0.494%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 14:55
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -1.33%E -0.360%K -0.494%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 14:55
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -9.33%E -2.74%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-12 14:35
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.33%E -2.74%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-12 14:49
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.33%E -2.74%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-12 14:49
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -6.67%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-12 14:34
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.00%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-12 14:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -13.33%E -4.10%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-12 14:54
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -13.33%E -4.10%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-12 14:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -13.33%E -4.10%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-12 14:55
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -13.33%E -4.10%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-12 14:54
Unibet1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -7.75%E -4.00%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -5.33%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 14:30
Marathon Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.32%EV -8.23%E -4.26%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.05%EV -4.53%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.62%EV -6.15%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 14:54
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 48.08%EV -8.23%E -4.26%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -5.33%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-07 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.08%EV -8.23%E -4.26%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -5.33%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-07 14:20
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.08%EV -8.23%E -4.26%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -5.33%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-07 14:20
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.08%EV -8.23%E -4.26%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -5.33%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-07 14:19
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 48.08%EV -8.23%E -4.26%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -5.33%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-07 14:19
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.08%EV -8.23%E -4.26%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -5.33%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-07 14:20
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 48.08%EV -8.23%E -4.26%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -5.33%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-07 14:19
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 48.08%EV -8.23%E -4.26%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -5.33%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-07 14:20
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.08%EV -8.23%E -4.26%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -5.33%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-07 14:19
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.23%E -4.26%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.33%E -2.74%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-12 14:54
Codere (IT)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.19%EV -8.23%E -4.26%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -9.33%E -2.74%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-12 14:34
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.47%EV -8.70%E -4.53%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -10.67%E -3.18%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-12 14:34
GTbets1.91I 52.36%NM 48.72%EV -9.18%E -4.80%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.14%EV -5.07%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.15%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-12 14:49
TABtouch1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -9.18%E -4.80%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -6.67%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-07 14:25
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -9.18%E -4.80%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.33%E -2.74%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-12 14:55
Bet Victor1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -9.18%E -4.80%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.33%E -2.74%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-12 14:48
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -9.18%E -4.80%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.33%E -2.74%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-12 14:54
betano_uk1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -9.18%E -4.80%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.33%E -2.74%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-12 14:48
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 47.46%EV -9.18%E -4.80%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.27%EV -8.00%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.27%EV -11.05%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-12 14:35
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -9.18%E -4.80%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -9.33%E -2.74%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-12 14:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -9.18%E -4.80%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -9.33%E -2.74%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-12 14:55
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -9.18%E -4.80%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.00%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-12 14:54
Bet Right1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -9.18%E -4.80%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -14.67%E -4.58%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-12 14:35
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -9.65%E -5.08%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.67%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-12 14:24
Virgin Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 48.07%EV -10.13%E -5.36%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -8.00%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -8.47%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-07 11:15
LiveScore Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 48.07%EV -10.13%E -5.36%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -8.00%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -8.47%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-07 11:15
Betclic (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 48.40%EV -11.55%E -6.21%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -8.00%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.50%EV -8.99%E -2.55%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-12 14:32
Unibet (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 47.93%EV -11.55%E -6.21%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -9.33%E -2.74%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.84%EV -11.05%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-12 14:34
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 47.16%EV -11.55%E -6.21%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.41%EV -14.67%E -4.58%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.43%EV -11.05%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-12 14:34
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -12.03%E -6.50%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -6.67%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-12 14:54
PMU (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.15%EV -12.98%E -7.09%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.30%EV -10.67%E -3.18%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.54%EV -11.05%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-07 14:19
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 47.65%EV -12.98%E -7.09%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.13%EV -17.33%E -5.59%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.22%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-12 14:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.30%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.18%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51%0.5%2026-07-12 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.13%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.42%0.9%2026-07-12 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.13%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.42%0.9%2026-07-12 14:50
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 48.13%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.42%0.9%2026-07-12 14:50
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 48.38%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.31%1.3%2026-07-12 14:55