Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sandefjord v Fredrikstad FK

Kickoff: 2026-05-25 17:15 UTC

Final: Sandefjord 1–1 Fredrikstad FK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sandefjord (Local)

Prediction 44.39%2.25fair odd
EV -2.35%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -1.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.35%44.39%44.19%46.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.882.052.052.2053.19%48.81%48.78%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Fredrikstad FK (Visit)

Prediction 29.45%3.40fair odd
EV -1.34%
Edge -0.399%
Kelly -0.569%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.38%29.41%29.64%30.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.173.203.3534.72%31.50%31.25%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.16%3.82fair odd
EV -3.21%
Edge -0.866%
Kelly -1.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.22%26.20%26.17%28.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.503.503.7033.33%28.55%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sandefjord (Local): 44.39%; Fredrikstad FK (Visit): 29.45%; Draw: 26.16%. For Fredrikstad FK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.40. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.35, with an expected value of -1.34%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.10%EV -2.35%E -1.07%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.67%EV -3.69%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%EV -3.21%E -0.866%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-25 16:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -2.35%E -1.07%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -5.75%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 17:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -2.35%E -1.07%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -5.75%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 17:00
Pinnacle🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.60%EV -3.68%E -1.70%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.24%EV -2.52%E -0.760%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.16%EV -3.21%E -0.866%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-25 17:00
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.57%E -2.12%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -7.23%E -2.29%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 17:00
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -4.57%E -2.12%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-25 17:09
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -4.57%E -2.12%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-25 16:49
1xBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.62%EV -5.45%E -2.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.34%EV -4.58%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.04%EV -4.51%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 17:09
Betsson🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.01%EV -6.79%E -3.23%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -4.28%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%EV -4.51%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 17:10
NordicBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.01%EV -6.79%E -3.23%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -4.28%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%EV -4.51%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 17:10
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.79%E -3.23%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.81%E -0.851%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-25 17:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.79%E -3.23%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -5.75%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-25 16:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.79%E -3.23%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 16:19
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.79%E -3.23%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 17:10
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.79%E -3.23%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 16:20
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.79%E -3.23%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 17:10
BetAnything🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.79%E -3.23%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 17:10
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.79%E -3.23%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-25 16:39
Marathon Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.04%EV -8.12%E -3.92%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.77%EV -4.58%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.19%EV -6.87%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-25 17:10
Codere (IT)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.00%EV -8.56%E -4.16%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -10.17%E -3.34%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.27%EV -9.75%E -2.82%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-25 16:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -9.01%E -4.39%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.75%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-25 16:20
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -9.01%E -4.39%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.75%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-25 17:09
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -9.01%E -4.39%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-25 16:18
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -9.01%E -4.39%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -5.75%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-25 17:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.01%E -4.39%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-25 16:20
Everygame🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.01%E -4.39%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-25 17:10
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.01%E -4.39%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-25 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.01%E -4.39%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.67%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-25 17:10
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.01%E -4.39%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.67%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-25 17:10
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.01%E -4.39%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.67%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-25 17:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.01%E -4.39%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.67%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-25 17:10
GTbets🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.95%EV -9.45%E -4.63%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.58%EV -3.40%E -1.04%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.47%EV -3.73%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 16:20
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -11.22%E -5.61%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -1.34%E -0.399%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-25 16:20
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -11.22%E -5.61%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -1.34%E -0.399%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-25 16:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -11.22%E -5.61%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -1.34%E -0.399%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-25 16:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -11.22%E -5.61%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -1.34%E -0.399%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-25 16:20
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -11.22%E -5.61%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -1.34%E -0.399%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-25 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -11.22%E -5.61%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -1.34%E -0.399%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-25 16:20
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -11.22%E -5.61%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -1.34%E -0.399%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-25 16:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -11.22%E -5.61%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -1.34%E -0.399%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-25 16:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -11.22%E -5.61%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -1.34%E -0.399%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-25 16:20
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -11.22%E -5.61%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -1.34%E -0.399%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-25 16:19
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -11.22%E -5.61%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -5.75%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-25 17:10
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.52%EV -11.22%E -5.61%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -9.75%E -2.82%K -3.98%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-25 16:20
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -11.22%E -5.61%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.67%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-25 17:09
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.13%EV -11.22%E -5.61%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.65%EV -15.18%E -5.27%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.22%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.38%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-25 16:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.07%EV -11.22%E -5.61%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.39%EV -14.59%E -5.03%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%EV -9.75%E -2.82%K -3.98%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-25 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -11.22%E -5.61%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -15.18%E -5.27%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -21.52%E -7.17%K -10.76%G +0.000%18.1%2026-05-25 17:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.36%EV -12.11%E -6.12%K -12.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-25 16:46
TABtouch🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.79%EV -13.00%E -6.63%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -1.34%E -0.399%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -7.13%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-25 16:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 44.85%EV -13.00%E -6.63%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.30%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-25 16:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -13.44%E -6.89%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -2.81%E -0.851%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-25 16:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -13.44%E -6.89%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -2.81%E -0.851%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-25 16:20
LeoVegas🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.44%EV -14.33%E -7.43%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -4.28%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.98%EV -9.75%E -2.82%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-25 16:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 46.72%EV -16.55%E -8.80%K -18.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.45%EV -5.75%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-25 16:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.37%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%0.7%2026-05-25 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.73%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%0.7%2026-05-25 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.73%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%0.7%2026-05-25 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-05-25 17:10
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 45.18%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.55%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.27%1.5%2026-05-25 17:10