L’École des cotes

Sandefjord v Fredrikstad FK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-25 17:15 UTC

Score final : Sandefjord 1–1 Fredrikstad FK

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Sandefjord (Local)

Prévision 44.39%2.25cote équitable
EV -2.35%
Avantage -1.07%
Kelly -1.96%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.35%44.39%44.19%46.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.882.052.052.2053.19%48.81%48.78%45.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Fredrikstad FK (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.45%3.40cote équitable
EV -1.34%
Avantage -0.399%
Kelly -0.569%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.38%29.41%29.64%30.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.173.203.3534.72%31.50%31.25%29.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.16%3.82cote équitable
EV -3.21%
Avantage -0.866%
Kelly -1.19%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.22%26.20%26.17%28.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.503.503.7033.33%28.55%28.57%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 44.10%EV -2.35%E -1.07%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.67%EV -3.69%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%EV -3.21%E -0.866%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-25 16:40
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -2.35%E -1.07%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -5.75%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 17:00
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -2.35%E -1.07%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -5.75%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 17:00
Pinnacle2.17I 46.08%NM 44.60%EV -3.68%E -1.70%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.24%EV -2.52%E -0.760%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.16%EV -3.21%E -0.866%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-25 17:00
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.57%E -2.12%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -7.23%E -2.29%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 17:00
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -4.57%E -2.12%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-25 17:09
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -4.57%E -2.12%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-25 16:49
1xBet2.13I 46.95%NM 44.62%EV -5.45%E -2.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.34%EV -4.58%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.04%EV -4.51%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 17:09
Betsson2.10I 47.62%NM 45.01%EV -6.79%E -3.23%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -4.28%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%EV -4.51%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 17:10
NordicBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.01%EV -6.79%E -3.23%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -4.28%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%EV -4.51%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 17:10
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.79%E -3.23%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.81%E -0.851%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-25 17:09
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.79%E -3.23%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -5.75%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-25 16:20
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.79%E -3.23%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 16:19
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.79%E -3.23%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 17:10
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.79%E -3.23%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 16:20
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.79%E -3.23%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 17:10
BetAnything2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.79%E -3.23%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 17:10
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.79%E -3.23%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-25 16:39
Marathon Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.04%EV -8.12%E -3.92%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.77%EV -4.58%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.19%EV -6.87%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-25 17:10
Codere (IT)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.00%EV -8.56%E -4.16%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -10.17%E -3.34%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.27%EV -9.75%E -2.82%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-25 16:20
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -9.01%E -4.39%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.75%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-25 16:20
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -9.01%E -4.39%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.75%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-25 17:09
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -9.01%E -4.39%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-25 16:18
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -9.01%E -4.39%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -5.75%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-25 17:10
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.01%E -4.39%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-25 16:20
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.01%E -4.39%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-25 17:10
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.01%E -4.39%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-25 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.01%E -4.39%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.67%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-25 17:10
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.01%E -4.39%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.67%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-25 17:10
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.01%E -4.39%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.67%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-25 17:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.01%E -4.39%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.67%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-25 17:10
GTbets2.04I 49.02%NM 45.95%EV -9.45%E -4.63%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.58%EV -3.40%E -1.04%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.47%EV -3.73%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 16:20
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -11.22%E -5.61%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -1.34%E -0.399%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-25 16:20
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -11.22%E -5.61%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -1.34%E -0.399%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-25 16:20
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -11.22%E -5.61%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -1.34%E -0.399%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-25 16:19
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -11.22%E -5.61%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -1.34%E -0.399%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-25 16:20
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -11.22%E -5.61%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -1.34%E -0.399%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-25 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -11.22%E -5.61%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -1.34%E -0.399%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-25 16:20
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -11.22%E -5.61%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -1.34%E -0.399%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-25 16:20
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -11.22%E -5.61%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -1.34%E -0.399%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-25 16:20
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -11.22%E -5.61%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -1.34%E -0.399%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-25 16:20
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -11.22%E -5.61%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -1.34%E -0.399%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-25 16:19
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -11.22%E -5.61%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -5.75%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-25 17:10
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 44.52%EV -11.22%E -5.61%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -9.75%E -2.82%K -3.98%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-25 16:20
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -11.22%E -5.61%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.67%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-25 17:09
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 44.13%EV -11.22%E -5.61%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.65%EV -15.18%E -5.27%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.22%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.38%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-25 16:30
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.07%EV -11.22%E -5.61%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.39%EV -14.59%E -5.03%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%EV -9.75%E -2.82%K -3.98%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-25 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -11.22%E -5.61%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -15.18%E -5.27%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -21.52%E -7.17%K -10.76%G +0.000%18.1%2026-05-25 17:00
Betclic (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.36%EV -12.11%E -6.12%K -12.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-25 16:46
TABtouch1.96I 51.02%NM 46.79%EV -13.00%E -6.63%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -1.34%E -0.399%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -7.13%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-25 16:19
Unibet (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 44.85%EV -13.00%E -6.63%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.30%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-25 16:49
Virgin Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -13.44%E -6.89%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -2.81%E -0.851%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-25 16:19
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -13.44%E -6.89%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -2.81%E -0.851%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-25 16:20
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 46.44%EV -14.33%E -7.43%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -4.28%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.98%EV -9.75%E -2.82%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-25 16:20
PMU (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.72%EV -16.55%E -8.80%K -18.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.45%EV -5.75%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-25 16:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.37%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%0.7%2026-05-25 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.73%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%0.7%2026-05-25 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.73%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%0.7%2026-05-25 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-05-25 17:10
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 45.18%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.55%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.27%1.5%2026-05-25 17:10