Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rosenborg v Tromso

Kickoff: 2026-09-12 15:59 UTC

Final: Rosenborg 5–3 Tromso

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rosenborg (Local)

Prediction 57.04%1.75fair odd
EV -4.17%
Edge -2.48%
Kelly -6.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.96%57.02%57.18%58.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.631.621.6864.94%61.21%61.73%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tromso (Visit)

Prediction 19.51%5.13fair odd
EV +3.78%
Edge +0.710%
Kelly +0.874%
Growth +0.033%

assuming max odds 5.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.89%19.55%19.47%21.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.654.605.3223.81%21.53%21.74%18.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.45%4.26fair odd
EV -0.333%
Edge -0.078%
Kelly -0.102%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.06%23.43%23.35%24.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.863.854.2527.78%25.88%25.97%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rosenborg (Local): 57.04%; Tromso (Visit): 19.51%; Draw: 23.45%. For Tromso (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.13. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.32, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.78%.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.02%EV -6.45%E -3.93%K -10.08%G +0.000%5.32I 18.80%NM 17.89%EV +3.78%E +0.710%K +0.874%G +0.033%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.09%EV -7.37%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 15:55
Coolbet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.49%EV -5.31%E -3.20%K -8.05%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.67%EV +1.44%E +0.276%K +0.342%G +0.005%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.84%EV -0.333%E -0.078%K -0.102%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Pinnacle🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.06%EV -5.31%E -3.20%K -8.05%G +0.000%5.18I 19.31%NM 18.61%EV +1.05%E +0.202%K +0.250%G +0.003%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.34%EV -3.15%E -0.762%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-12 15:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -8.16%E -5.07%K -13.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -2.46%E -0.493%K -0.616%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 15:35
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.17%EV -5.88%E -3.56%K -9.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -4.42%E -0.901%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 15:04
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.62%EV -7.59%E -4.69%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -4.42%E -0.901%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 15:50
GTbets🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.34%EV -4.74%E -2.84%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.88I 20.49%NM 19.28%EV -4.81%E -0.985%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.38%EV -9.48%E -2.46%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 14:20
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.09%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.43%EV -5.39%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -9.71%E -2.52%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 15:45
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.09%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.43%EV -5.39%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -9.71%E -2.52%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 15:45
Bovada🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.62%EV -5.31%E -3.20%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -6.37%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -7.37%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 15:55
BetUS🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.92%EV -6.45%E -3.93%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -6.37%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -7.37%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 15:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -10.44%E -6.65%K -18.32%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -6.37%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -3.85%E -0.939%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-12 15:10
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.19%EV -4.74%E -2.84%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -7.34%E -1.55%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -8.54%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 15:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -5.88%E -3.56%K -9.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -7.34%E -1.55%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 15:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -7.59%E -4.69%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -7.34%E -1.55%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-12 14:21
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.13%EV -5.88%E -3.56%K -9.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -7.34%E -1.55%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -10.89%E -2.86%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-12 15:10
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -8.16%E -5.07%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -7.34%E -1.55%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-12 15:30
SportsBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.93%EV -7.59%E -4.69%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.42%EV -7.34%E -1.55%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -8.54%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-12 15:45
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.24%EV -8.73%E -5.46%K -14.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.28%EV -7.34%E -1.55%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -8.54%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-12 15:38
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.24%EV -8.73%E -5.46%K -14.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.28%EV -7.34%E -1.55%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -8.54%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-12 15:39
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.52%EV -8.73%E -5.46%K -14.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -7.34%E -1.55%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -13.23%E -3.58%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-12 15:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.26%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -8.32%E -1.77%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 15:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.26%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -8.32%E -1.77%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 15:36
BetAnything🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.26%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -8.32%E -1.77%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 15:35
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.33%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -10.27%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -10.89%E -2.86%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-12 15:26
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.33%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -10.27%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -10.89%E -2.86%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-12 15:26
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.33%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -10.27%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -10.89%E -2.86%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-12 15:26
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.33%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -10.27%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -10.89%E -2.86%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-12 15:26
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.33%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -10.27%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -10.89%E -2.86%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-12 15:26
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.33%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -10.27%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -10.89%E -2.86%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-12 15:26
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.33%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -10.27%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -10.89%E -2.86%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-12 15:26
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.33%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -10.27%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -10.89%E -2.86%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-12 15:31
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.33%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -10.27%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -10.89%E -2.86%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-12 15:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.33%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -10.27%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -10.89%E -2.86%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-12 15:26
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -7.59%E -4.69%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -10.27%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-12 15:10
William Hill🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -5.88%E -3.56%K -9.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -10.27%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -10.89%E -2.86%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-12 15:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -7.59%E -4.69%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -10.27%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -10.89%E -2.86%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-12 15:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.53%EV -8.73%E -5.46%K -14.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -10.27%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -10.89%E -2.86%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-12 15:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.33%EV -11.01%E -7.06%K -19.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -10.27%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.23%EV -9.71%E -2.52%K -3.41%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-12 15:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.47%EV -12.16%E -7.89%K -22.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.24%EV -10.27%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -10.89%E -2.86%K -3.89%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-12 15:36
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.49%EV -7.59%E -4.69%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34%EV -12.22%E -2.72%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.17%EV -7.37%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-12 15:55
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.29%EV -8.73%E -5.46%K -14.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -12.22%E -2.72%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -10.89%E -2.86%K -3.89%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-12 15:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.70%EV -8.73%E -5.46%K -14.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.62%EV -14.17%E -3.22%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 15:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.37%EV -7.59%E -4.69%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.39%EV -14.17%E -3.22%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -13.23%E -3.58%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-12 15:10
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.37%EV -7.59%E -4.69%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.39%EV -14.17%E -3.22%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -13.23%E -3.58%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-12 15:10
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.52%EV -8.16%E -5.07%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -14.17%E -3.22%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -13.23%E -3.58%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-12 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.52%EV -8.16%E -5.07%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -14.17%E -3.22%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -13.23%E -3.58%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-12 15:10
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -8.73%E -5.46%K -14.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -14.17%E -3.22%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -12.06%E -3.22%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-12 15:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.03%EV -8.16%E -5.07%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.37%EV -15.14%E -3.48%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.61%EV -15.58%E -4.33%K -5.99%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-12 15:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.03%EV -8.16%E -5.07%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.37%EV -15.14%E -3.48%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.61%EV -15.58%E -4.33%K -5.99%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-12 15:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.03%EV -8.16%E -5.07%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.37%EV -15.14%E -3.48%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.61%EV -15.58%E -4.33%K -5.99%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-12 15:30
Sky Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.67%EV -8.73%E -5.46%K -14.56%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.57%EV -15.53%E -3.59%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.75%EV -12.06%E -3.22%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-12 15:10
TABtouch🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.96%EV -7.02%E -4.31%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.83%EV -16.12%E -3.75%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -13.23%E -3.58%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-12 14:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.42%EV -9.87%E -6.25%K -17.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.73%EV -16.12%E -3.75%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.86%EV -8.54%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-12 15:05
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 56.93%EV -11.59%E -7.47%K -21.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -18.07%E -4.30%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.06%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-12 14:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.81%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.65%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54%1.2%2026-09-12 15:46
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.81%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.65%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54%1.2%2026-09-12 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.81%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.65%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54%1.2%2026-09-12 15:50
Matchbook◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.81%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.65%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54%1.2%2026-09-12 15:50
Smarkets◎1.69I 59.17%NM 57.77%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.42%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%2.4%2026-09-12 15:55