Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Rosenborg v Tromso

Início: 2026-09-12 15:59 UTC

Final: Rosenborg 5–3 Tromso

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Rosenborg (Local)

Previsão 57.04%1.75odd justa
EV -4.17%
Vantagem -2.48%
Kelly -6.13%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.68

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.96%57.02%57.18%58.49%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.541.631.621.6864.94%61.21%61.73%59.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Tromso (Visitante)

Previsão 19.51%5.13odd justa
EV +3.78%
Vantagem +0.710%
Kelly +0.874%
Crescimento +0.033%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.32

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.89%19.55%19.47%21.01%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.204.654.605.3223.81%21.53%21.74%18.80%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 23.45%4.26odd justa
EV -0.333%
Vantagem -0.078%
Kelly -0.102%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.06%23.43%23.35%24.61%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.603.863.854.2527.78%25.88%25.97%23.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Rosenborg (Local): 57.04%; Tromso (Visitante): 19.51%; Empate: 23.45%. Para Tromso (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.13. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.32, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.78%.

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.02%EV -6.45%E -3.93%K -10.08%G +0.000%5.32I 18.80%NM 17.89%EV +3.78%E +0.710%K +0.874%G +0.033%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.09%EV -7.37%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 15:55
Coolbet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.49%EV -5.31%E -3.20%K -8.05%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.67%EV +1.44%E +0.276%K +0.342%G +0.005%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.84%EV -0.333%E -0.078%K -0.102%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Pinnacle🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.06%EV -5.31%E -3.20%K -8.05%G +0.000%5.18I 19.31%NM 18.61%EV +1.05%E +0.202%K +0.250%G +0.003%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.34%EV -3.15%E -0.762%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-12 15:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -8.16%E -5.07%K -13.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -2.46%E -0.493%K -0.616%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 15:35
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.17%EV -5.88%E -3.56%K -9.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -4.42%E -0.901%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 15:04
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.62%EV -7.59%E -4.69%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -4.42%E -0.901%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 15:50
GTbets🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.34%EV -4.74%E -2.84%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.88I 20.49%NM 19.28%EV -4.81%E -0.985%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.38%EV -9.48%E -2.46%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 14:20
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.09%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.43%EV -5.39%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -9.71%E -2.52%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 15:45
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.09%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.43%EV -5.39%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -9.71%E -2.52%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 15:45
Bovada🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.62%EV -5.31%E -3.20%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -6.37%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -7.37%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 15:55
BetUS🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.92%EV -6.45%E -3.93%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -6.37%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -7.37%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 15:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -10.44%E -6.65%K -18.32%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -6.37%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -3.85%E -0.939%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-12 15:10
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.19%EV -4.74%E -2.84%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -7.34%E -1.55%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -8.54%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 15:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -5.88%E -3.56%K -9.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -7.34%E -1.55%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 15:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -7.59%E -4.69%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -7.34%E -1.55%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-12 14:21
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.13%EV -5.88%E -3.56%K -9.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -7.34%E -1.55%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -10.89%E -2.86%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-12 15:10
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -8.16%E -5.07%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -7.34%E -1.55%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-12 15:30
SportsBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.93%EV -7.59%E -4.69%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.42%EV -7.34%E -1.55%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -8.54%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-12 15:45
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.24%EV -8.73%E -5.46%K -14.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.28%EV -7.34%E -1.55%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -8.54%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-12 15:38
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.24%EV -8.73%E -5.46%K -14.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.28%EV -7.34%E -1.55%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -8.54%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-12 15:39
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.52%EV -8.73%E -5.46%K -14.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -7.34%E -1.55%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -13.23%E -3.58%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-12 15:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.26%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -8.32%E -1.77%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 15:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.26%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -8.32%E -1.77%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 15:36
BetAnything🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.26%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -8.32%E -1.77%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 15:35
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.33%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -10.27%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -10.89%E -2.86%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-12 15:26
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.33%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -10.27%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -10.89%E -2.86%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-12 15:26
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.33%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -10.27%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -10.89%E -2.86%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-12 15:26
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.33%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -10.27%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -10.89%E -2.86%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-12 15:26
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.33%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -10.27%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -10.89%E -2.86%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-12 15:26
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.33%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -10.27%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -10.89%E -2.86%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-12 15:26
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.33%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -10.27%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -10.89%E -2.86%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-12 15:26
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.33%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -10.27%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -10.89%E -2.86%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-12 15:31
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.33%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -10.27%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -10.89%E -2.86%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-12 15:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.33%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -10.27%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -10.89%E -2.86%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-12 15:26
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -7.59%E -4.69%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -10.27%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-12 15:10
William Hill🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -5.88%E -3.56%K -9.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -10.27%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -10.89%E -2.86%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-12 15:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -7.59%E -4.69%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -10.27%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -10.89%E -2.86%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-12 15:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.53%EV -8.73%E -5.46%K -14.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -10.27%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -10.89%E -2.86%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-12 15:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.33%EV -11.01%E -7.06%K -19.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -10.27%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.23%EV -9.71%E -2.52%K -3.41%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-12 15:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.47%EV -12.16%E -7.89%K -22.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.24%EV -10.27%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -10.89%E -2.86%K -3.89%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-12 15:36
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.49%EV -7.59%E -4.69%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34%EV -12.22%E -2.72%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.17%EV -7.37%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-12 15:55
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.29%EV -8.73%E -5.46%K -14.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -12.22%E -2.72%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -10.89%E -2.86%K -3.89%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-12 15:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.70%EV -8.73%E -5.46%K -14.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.62%EV -14.17%E -3.22%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 15:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.37%EV -7.59%E -4.69%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.39%EV -14.17%E -3.22%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -13.23%E -3.58%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-12 15:10
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.37%EV -7.59%E -4.69%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.39%EV -14.17%E -3.22%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -13.23%E -3.58%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-12 15:10
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.52%EV -8.16%E -5.07%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -14.17%E -3.22%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -13.23%E -3.58%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-12 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.52%EV -8.16%E -5.07%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -14.17%E -3.22%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -13.23%E -3.58%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-12 15:10
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -8.73%E -5.46%K -14.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -14.17%E -3.22%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -12.06%E -3.22%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-12 15:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.03%EV -8.16%E -5.07%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.37%EV -15.14%E -3.48%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.61%EV -15.58%E -4.33%K -5.99%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-12 15:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.03%EV -8.16%E -5.07%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.37%EV -15.14%E -3.48%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.61%EV -15.58%E -4.33%K -5.99%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-12 15:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.03%EV -8.16%E -5.07%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.37%EV -15.14%E -3.48%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.61%EV -15.58%E -4.33%K -5.99%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-12 15:30
Sky Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.67%EV -8.73%E -5.46%K -14.56%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.57%EV -15.53%E -3.59%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.75%EV -12.06%E -3.22%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-12 15:10
TABtouch🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.96%EV -7.02%E -4.31%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.83%EV -16.12%E -3.75%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -13.23%E -3.58%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-12 14:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.42%EV -9.87%E -6.25%K -17.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.73%EV -16.12%E -3.75%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.86%EV -8.54%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-12 15:05
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 56.93%EV -11.59%E -7.47%K -21.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -18.07%E -4.30%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.06%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-12 14:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.81%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.65%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54%1.2%2026-09-12 15:46
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.81%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.65%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54%1.2%2026-09-12 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.81%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.65%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54%1.2%2026-09-12 15:50
Matchbook◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.81%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.65%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54%1.2%2026-09-12 15:50
Smarkets◎1.69I 59.17%NM 57.77%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.42%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%2.4%2026-09-12 15:55