Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rosenborg v HamKam

Kickoff: 2026-09-05 14:00 UTC

Final: Rosenborg 4–0 HamKam

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rosenborg (Local)

Prediction 69.52%1.44fair odd
EV -1.28%
Edge -0.899%
Kelly -3.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.33%69.47%69.47%71.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.341.351.4276.92%74.48%74.07%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

HamKam (Visit)

Prediction 12.39%8.07fair odd
EV +11.47%
Edge +1.27%
Kelly +1.43%
Growth +0.164%

assuming max odds 9.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.67%12.33%12.53%14.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.257.277.259.0016.00%13.75%13.79%11.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 18.09%5.53fair odd
EV -0.317%
Edge -0.058%
Kelly -0.070%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.44%18.20%18.00%20.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.955.005.5122.22%20.22%20.00%18.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rosenborg (Local): 69.52%; HamKam (Visit): 12.39%; Draw: 18.09%. For HamKam (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.07. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.47%.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.70%EV -6.84%E -5.10%K -20.11%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.67%EV +11.47%E +1.27%K +1.43%G +0.164%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.63%EV -1.40%E -0.257%K -0.315%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 08:19
Betsson🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.23%EV -5.45%E -4.01%K -15.13%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.95%EV +6.52%E +0.758%K +0.857%G +0.056%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -14.07%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 09:45
NordicBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.23%EV -5.45%E -4.01%K -15.13%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.95%EV +6.52%E +0.758%K +0.857%G +0.056%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -14.07%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 09:44
1xBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -6.14%E -4.55%K -17.55%G +0.000%8.35I 11.98%NM 11.42%EV +3.42%E +0.409%K +0.465%G +0.016%5.32I 18.80%NM 17.93%EV -3.75%E -0.706%K -0.869%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 13:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.68%EV -8.23%E -6.23%K -25.72%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.38%EV +1.56%E +0.190%K +0.217%G +0.003%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.94%EV -5.93%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 13:05
Pinnacle🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.64%EV -5.45%E -4.01%K -15.13%G +0.000%8.06I 12.41%NM 11.92%EV -0.173%E -0.021%K -0.025%G +0.000%5.51I 18.15%NM 17.44%EV -0.317%E -0.058%K -0.070%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 14:20
FanDuel🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.88%EV -8.92%E -6.81%K -28.79%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -0.916%E -0.115%K -0.131%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV -4.12%E -0.777%K -0.957%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-03 14:04
betano_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -9.62%E -7.40%K -32.07%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -0.916%E -0.115%K -0.131%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -9.54%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 05:09
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -9.62%E -7.40%K -32.07%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -0.916%E -0.115%K -0.131%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -9.54%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 05:05
GTbets🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%EV -1.28%E -0.899%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.33%EV -2.15%E -0.273%K -0.312%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.09%EV -7.73%E -1.52%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-04 05:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.59%EV -9.62%E -7.40%K -32.07%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV -3.39%E -0.435%K -0.499%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV -5.93%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-04 07:49
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -7.53%E -5.66%K -22.83%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.70%EV -4.01%E -0.518%K -0.594%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -18.59%E -4.13%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-04 14:25
DraftKings🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -5.45%E -4.01%K -15.13%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -7.11%E -0.948%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -5.02%E -0.956%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 05:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.58%EV -6.14%E -4.55%K -17.55%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -7.11%E -0.948%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -5.02%E -0.956%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 09:10
Betway🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.58%EV -6.14%E -4.55%K -17.55%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -7.11%E -0.948%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -5.02%E -0.956%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 10:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.14%E -4.55%K -17.55%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -7.11%E -0.948%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -9.54%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 06:10
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -5.45%E -4.01%K -15.13%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -7.11%E -0.948%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -13.16%E -2.74%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-04 09:10
Bovada🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -6.84%E -5.10%K -20.11%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -7.11%E -0.948%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -9.54%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 09:07
BetUS🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -6.84%E -5.10%K -20.11%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -7.11%E -0.948%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -9.54%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 09:10
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.53%E -5.66%K -22.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -7.11%E -0.948%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -9.54%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-01 23:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.53%E -5.66%K -22.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -7.11%E -0.948%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -9.54%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-04 14:04
SportsBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 69.86%EV -8.92%E -6.81%K -28.79%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -7.11%E -0.948%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -7.73%E -1.52%K -1.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-04 06:10
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -7.53%E -5.66%K -22.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -7.11%E -0.948%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -13.16%E -2.74%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 05:55
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -9.62%E -7.40%K -32.07%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -7.11%E -0.948%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -9.54%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-01 23:03
BetOnline.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.58%EV -6.14%E -4.55%K -17.55%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.69%EV -8.35%E -1.13%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.72%EV -4.12%E -0.777%K -0.957%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 14:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.58%EV -6.14%E -4.55%K -17.55%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.69%EV -8.35%E -1.13%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.72%EV -4.12%E -0.777%K -0.957%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 14:04
BetAnything🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.58%EV -6.14%E -4.55%K -17.55%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.69%EV -8.35%E -1.13%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.72%EV -4.12%E -0.777%K -0.957%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 14:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.30%EV -9.62%E -7.40%K -32.07%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 12.69%EV -12.06%E -1.70%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -9.54%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-04 14:05
Casumo🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -4.06%E -2.94%K -10.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -13.30%E -1.90%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -11.35%E -2.32%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 21:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -4.06%E -2.94%K -10.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -13.30%E -1.90%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -11.35%E -2.32%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 21:20
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -4.06%E -2.94%K -10.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -13.30%E -1.90%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -11.35%E -2.32%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 21:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -4.06%E -2.94%K -10.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -13.30%E -1.90%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -11.35%E -2.32%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 21:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -4.06%E -2.94%K -10.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -13.30%E -1.90%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -11.35%E -2.32%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 21:20
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -4.06%E -2.94%K -10.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -13.30%E -1.90%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -11.35%E -2.32%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 21:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -4.06%E -2.94%K -10.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -13.30%E -1.90%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -11.35%E -2.32%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 21:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -4.06%E -2.94%K -10.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -13.30%E -1.90%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -11.35%E -2.32%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 21:20
Fanatics🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -6.14%E -4.55%K -17.55%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -13.30%E -1.90%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -9.54%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-04 06:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.43%EV -7.53%E -5.66%K -22.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.00%EV -13.30%E -1.90%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -11.35%E -2.32%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-04 09:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -9.62%E -7.40%K -32.07%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -13.30%E -1.90%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -9.54%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-04 09:25
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -9.62%E -7.40%K -32.07%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -13.30%E -1.90%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -9.54%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-04 05:09
Sky Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.52%EV -9.62%E -7.40%K -32.07%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -13.30%E -1.90%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.75%EV -14.07%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-02 14:05
LeoVegas🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.03%EV -6.14%E -4.55%K -17.55%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.61%EV -16.40%E -2.43%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -9.54%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 04:20
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -5.45%E -4.01%K -15.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.96%EV -19.49%E -3.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -14.97%E -3.19%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 21:20
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -5.45%E -4.01%K -15.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.96%EV -19.49%E -3.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -14.97%E -3.19%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 21:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.40%EV -8.23%E -6.23%K -25.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.89%EV -19.49%E -3.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.70%EV -7.73%E -1.52%K -1.89%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-04 09:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.33%EV -6.14%E -4.55%K -17.55%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -19.49%E -3.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -18.59%E -4.13%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-04 09:09
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.33%EV -6.14%E -4.55%K -17.55%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -19.49%E -3.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -18.59%E -4.13%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-04 09:10
Neds🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.33%EV -6.14%E -4.55%K -17.55%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -19.49%E -3.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -18.59%E -4.13%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-04 09:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.33%EV -6.14%E -4.55%K -17.55%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -19.49%E -3.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -18.59%E -4.13%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-04 09:10
TABtouch🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 66.64%EV -6.84%E -5.10%K -20.11%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.95%EV -20.73%E -3.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -16.78%E -3.65%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-01 21:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.80%EV -7.53%E -5.66%K -22.83%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.88%EV -20.73%E -3.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.31%EV -16.78%E -3.65%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-01 21:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.80%EV -7.53%E -5.66%K -22.83%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.88%EV -20.73%E -3.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.31%EV -16.78%E -3.65%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-01 21:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.80%EV -7.53%E -5.66%K -22.83%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.88%EV -20.73%E -3.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.31%EV -16.78%E -3.65%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-01 21:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 67.71%EV -8.92%E -6.81%K -28.79%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.19%EV -22.59%E -3.61%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.10%EV -11.35%E -2.32%K -2.91%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-04 09:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.38I 72.46%NM 71.04%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.14%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.82%2.0%2026-09-04 14:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.38I 72.46%NM 71.04%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.14%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.82%2.0%2026-09-04 14:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 71.04%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.14%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.82%2.0%2026-09-04 14:15
Smarkets1.34I 74.63%NM 71.86%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.94%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.20%3.8%2026-09-04 14:15