Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Rosenborg v HamKam

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-05 14:00 UTC

Score final : Rosenborg 4–0 HamKam

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Rosenborg (Local)

Prévision 69.52%1.44cote équitable
EV -1.28%
Avantage -0.899%
Kelly -3.04%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.42

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
66.33%69.47%69.47%71.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.301.341.351.4276.92%74.48%74.07%70.42%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

HamKam (Visiteur)

Prévision 12.39%8.07cote équitable
EV +11.47%
Avantage +1.27%
Kelly +1.43%
Croissance +0.164%

avec la cote maximale 9.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.67%12.33%12.53%14.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
6.257.277.259.0016.00%13.75%13.79%11.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 18.09%5.53cote équitable
EV -0.317%
Avantage -0.058%
Kelly -0.070%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.51

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.44%18.20%18.00%20.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.504.955.005.5122.22%20.22%20.00%18.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Rosenborg (Local) : 69.52% ; HamKam (Visiteur) : 12.39% ; Match nul : 18.09%. Pour HamKam (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 8.07. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 9.00, soit une espérance positive de +11.47%.

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.70%EV -6.84%E -5.10%K -20.11%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.67%EV +11.47%E +1.27%K +1.43%G +0.164%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.63%EV -1.40%E -0.257%K -0.315%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 08:19
Betsson🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.23%EV -5.45%E -4.01%K -15.13%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.95%EV +6.52%E +0.758%K +0.857%G +0.056%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -14.07%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 09:45
NordicBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.23%EV -5.45%E -4.01%K -15.13%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.95%EV +6.52%E +0.758%K +0.857%G +0.056%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -14.07%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 09:44
1xBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -6.14%E -4.55%K -17.55%G +0.000%8.35I 11.98%NM 11.42%EV +3.42%E +0.409%K +0.465%G +0.016%5.32I 18.80%NM 17.93%EV -3.75%E -0.706%K -0.869%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 13:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.68%EV -8.23%E -6.23%K -25.72%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.38%EV +1.56%E +0.190%K +0.217%G +0.003%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.94%EV -5.93%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 13:05
Pinnacle🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.64%EV -5.45%E -4.01%K -15.13%G +0.000%8.06I 12.41%NM 11.92%EV -0.173%E -0.021%K -0.025%G +0.000%5.51I 18.15%NM 17.44%EV -0.317%E -0.058%K -0.070%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 14:20
FanDuel🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.88%EV -8.92%E -6.81%K -28.79%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -0.916%E -0.115%K -0.131%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV -4.12%E -0.777%K -0.957%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-03 14:04
betano_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -9.62%E -7.40%K -32.07%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -0.916%E -0.115%K -0.131%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -9.54%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 05:09
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -9.62%E -7.40%K -32.07%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -0.916%E -0.115%K -0.131%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -9.54%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 05:05
GTbets🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%EV -1.28%E -0.899%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.33%EV -2.15%E -0.273%K -0.312%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.09%EV -7.73%E -1.52%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-04 05:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.59%EV -9.62%E -7.40%K -32.07%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV -3.39%E -0.435%K -0.499%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV -5.93%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-04 07:49
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -7.53%E -5.66%K -22.83%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.70%EV -4.01%E -0.518%K -0.594%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -18.59%E -4.13%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-04 14:25
DraftKings🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -5.45%E -4.01%K -15.13%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -7.11%E -0.948%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -5.02%E -0.956%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 05:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.58%EV -6.14%E -4.55%K -17.55%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -7.11%E -0.948%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -5.02%E -0.956%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 09:10
Betway🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.58%EV -6.14%E -4.55%K -17.55%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -7.11%E -0.948%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -5.02%E -0.956%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 10:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.14%E -4.55%K -17.55%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -7.11%E -0.948%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -9.54%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 06:10
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -5.45%E -4.01%K -15.13%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -7.11%E -0.948%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -13.16%E -2.74%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-04 09:10
Bovada🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -6.84%E -5.10%K -20.11%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -7.11%E -0.948%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -9.54%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 09:07
BetUS🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -6.84%E -5.10%K -20.11%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -7.11%E -0.948%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -9.54%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 09:10
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.53%E -5.66%K -22.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -7.11%E -0.948%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -9.54%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-01 23:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.53%E -5.66%K -22.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -7.11%E -0.948%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -9.54%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-04 14:04
SportsBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 69.86%EV -8.92%E -6.81%K -28.79%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -7.11%E -0.948%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -7.73%E -1.52%K -1.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-04 06:10
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -7.53%E -5.66%K -22.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -7.11%E -0.948%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -13.16%E -2.74%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 05:55
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -9.62%E -7.40%K -32.07%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -7.11%E -0.948%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -9.54%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-01 23:03
BetOnline.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.58%EV -6.14%E -4.55%K -17.55%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.69%EV -8.35%E -1.13%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.72%EV -4.12%E -0.777%K -0.957%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 14:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.58%EV -6.14%E -4.55%K -17.55%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.69%EV -8.35%E -1.13%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.72%EV -4.12%E -0.777%K -0.957%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 14:04
BetAnything🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.58%EV -6.14%E -4.55%K -17.55%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.69%EV -8.35%E -1.13%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.72%EV -4.12%E -0.777%K -0.957%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 14:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.30%EV -9.62%E -7.40%K -32.07%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 12.69%EV -12.06%E -1.70%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -9.54%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-04 14:05
Casumo🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -4.06%E -2.94%K -10.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -13.30%E -1.90%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -11.35%E -2.32%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 21:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -4.06%E -2.94%K -10.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -13.30%E -1.90%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -11.35%E -2.32%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 21:20
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -4.06%E -2.94%K -10.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -13.30%E -1.90%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -11.35%E -2.32%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 21:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -4.06%E -2.94%K -10.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -13.30%E -1.90%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -11.35%E -2.32%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 21:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -4.06%E -2.94%K -10.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -13.30%E -1.90%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -11.35%E -2.32%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 21:20
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -4.06%E -2.94%K -10.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -13.30%E -1.90%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -11.35%E -2.32%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 21:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -4.06%E -2.94%K -10.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -13.30%E -1.90%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -11.35%E -2.32%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 21:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -4.06%E -2.94%K -10.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -13.30%E -1.90%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -11.35%E -2.32%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 21:20
Fanatics🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -6.14%E -4.55%K -17.55%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -13.30%E -1.90%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -9.54%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-04 06:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.43%EV -7.53%E -5.66%K -22.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.00%EV -13.30%E -1.90%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -11.35%E -2.32%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-04 09:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -9.62%E -7.40%K -32.07%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -13.30%E -1.90%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -9.54%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-04 09:25
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -9.62%E -7.40%K -32.07%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -13.30%E -1.90%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -9.54%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-04 05:09
Sky Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.52%EV -9.62%E -7.40%K -32.07%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -13.30%E -1.90%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.75%EV -14.07%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-02 14:05
LeoVegas🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.03%EV -6.14%E -4.55%K -17.55%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.61%EV -16.40%E -2.43%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -9.54%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 04:20
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -5.45%E -4.01%K -15.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.96%EV -19.49%E -3.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -14.97%E -3.19%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 21:20
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -5.45%E -4.01%K -15.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.96%EV -19.49%E -3.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -14.97%E -3.19%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 21:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.40%EV -8.23%E -6.23%K -25.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.89%EV -19.49%E -3.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.70%EV -7.73%E -1.52%K -1.89%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-04 09:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.33%EV -6.14%E -4.55%K -17.55%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -19.49%E -3.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -18.59%E -4.13%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-04 09:09
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.33%EV -6.14%E -4.55%K -17.55%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -19.49%E -3.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -18.59%E -4.13%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-04 09:10
Neds🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.33%EV -6.14%E -4.55%K -17.55%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -19.49%E -3.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -18.59%E -4.13%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-04 09:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.33%EV -6.14%E -4.55%K -17.55%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -19.49%E -3.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -18.59%E -4.13%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-04 09:10
TABtouch🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 66.64%EV -6.84%E -5.10%K -20.11%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.95%EV -20.73%E -3.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -16.78%E -3.65%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-01 21:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.80%EV -7.53%E -5.66%K -22.83%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.88%EV -20.73%E -3.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.31%EV -16.78%E -3.65%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-01 21:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.80%EV -7.53%E -5.66%K -22.83%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.88%EV -20.73%E -3.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.31%EV -16.78%E -3.65%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-01 21:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.80%EV -7.53%E -5.66%K -22.83%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.88%EV -20.73%E -3.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.31%EV -16.78%E -3.65%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-01 21:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 67.71%EV -8.92%E -6.81%K -28.79%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.19%EV -22.59%E -3.61%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.10%EV -11.35%E -2.32%K -2.91%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-04 09:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.04%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.14%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.82%2.0%2026-09-04 14:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.04%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.14%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.82%2.0%2026-09-04 14:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.04%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.14%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.82%2.0%2026-09-04 14:15
Smarkets◎1.34I 74.63%NM 71.86%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.94%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.20%3.8%2026-09-04 14:15