Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.02
assuming max odds 3.67
assuming max odds 4.15
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Molde (Local): 49.23%; Tromso (Visit): 26.82%; Draw: 23.96%. For Molde (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.03. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.02, with an expected value of -0.564%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.06%EV -0.564%E -0.279%K -0.553%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.98%EV -6.94%E -2.00%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.97%EV -2.98%E -0.735%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-16 13:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.68%EV -2.53%E -1.28%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -11.50%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -12.56%E -3.44%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-16 14:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV -3.03%E -1.54%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -11.50%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -12.56%E -3.44%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-16 14:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV -3.03%E -1.54%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -11.50%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -12.56%E -3.44%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-16 14:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV -3.03%E -1.54%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -11.50%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -12.56%E -3.44%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-16 14:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV -3.03%E -1.54%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -11.50%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -12.56%E -3.44%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-16 14:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV -3.03%E -1.54%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -11.50%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -12.56%E -3.44%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-16 14:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV -3.03%E -1.54%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -11.50%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -12.56%E -3.44%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-16 14:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV -3.03%E -1.54%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -11.50%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -12.56%E -3.44%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-16 14:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV -3.03%E -1.54%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -11.50%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -12.56%E -3.44%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-16 14:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV -3.03%E -1.54%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -11.50%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -12.56%E -3.44%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-16 14:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV -3.03%E -1.54%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -11.50%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -12.56%E -3.44%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-16 14:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -4.01%E -2.06%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -11.50%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-16 14:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.28%EV -4.99%E -2.59%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.64%EV -4.26%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.08%EV -5.37%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.87%EV -4.99%E -2.59%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.95%EV -6.13%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -6.57%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 14:43 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.45%EV -4.99%E -2.59%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.87%EV -6.67%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 24.67%EV -9.21%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 14:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.36%EV -5.49%E -2.86%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.34%EV -1.58%E -0.429%K -0.590%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.30%EV -0.583%E -0.141%K -0.185%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.48%EV -5.49%E -2.86%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.76%EV -4.79%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%EV -4.18%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.48%EV -5.49%E -2.86%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.76%EV -4.79%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%EV -4.18%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -5.49%E -2.86%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.68%EV -4.79%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.98%EV -5.37%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 14:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -5.49%E -2.86%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.68%EV -4.79%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.98%EV -5.37%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 14:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.94%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -7.48%E -2.17%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -6.57%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 14:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -6.57%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 14:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-16 14:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -11.50%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -10.17%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-16 14:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -14.18%E -4.43%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -13.76%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-16 14:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -14.18%E -4.43%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -13.76%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-16 14:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -14.18%E -4.43%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -13.76%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-16 14:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -14.18%E -4.43%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -13.76%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-16 14:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.47%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.18%EV -15.52%E -4.93%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.36%EV -16.15%E -4.62%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-16 14:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.47%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.18%EV -15.52%E -4.93%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.36%EV -16.15%E -4.62%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-16 14:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.47%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.18%EV -15.52%E -4.93%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.36%EV -16.15%E -4.62%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-16 14:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.02%EV -6.47%E -3.41%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -11.50%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -10.17%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-16 14:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.33%EV -6.96%E -3.68%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -6.13%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.03%EV -7.05%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 14:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.92%EV -7.46%E -3.97%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -2.11%E -0.579%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -7.77%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.92%EV -7.46%E -3.97%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -2.11%E -0.579%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -7.77%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -7.46%E -3.97%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.13%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.18%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 14:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.33%EV -7.46%E -3.97%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -10.16%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.55%EV -11.36%E -3.07%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-16 14:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.14%EV -7.95%E -4.25%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -4.79%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -4.18%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-16 14:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.86%EV -8.44%E -4.54%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -11.50%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -7.77%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-16 14:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.99%EV -8.44%E -4.54%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -14.18%E -4.43%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.12%EV -11.36%E -3.07%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-16 14:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -8.93%E -4.83%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -11.36%E -3.07%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.69%EV -8.93%E -4.83%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -11.50%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -10.17%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.75%EV -9.43%E -5.12%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -6.13%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-16 14:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.77%EV -9.43%E -5.12%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -12.84%E -3.95%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.62%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-16 14:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.57%EV -9.92%E -5.42%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -3.45%E -0.959%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -6.57%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-16 14:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -9.92%E -5.42%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.13%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -6.57%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-16 14:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -9.92%E -5.42%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.13%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -9.92%E -5.42%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.13%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.17%EV -9.92%E -5.42%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 26.70%EV -9.62%E -2.85%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 24.13%EV -10.64%E -2.85%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-16 14:58 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.49%EV -10.41%E -5.72%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -10.17%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-16 14:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -11.39%E -6.33%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -6.13%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-16 14:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -11.39%E -6.33%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -6.13%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-16 14:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -11.39%E -6.33%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -13.76%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-16 14:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.66%EV -13.86%E -7.92%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.16%EV -14.18%E -4.43%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.18%EV -10.17%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-08-16 14:47 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.01% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.41% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58% | 1.0% | 2026-08-16 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.01% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.41% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58% | 1.0% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.01% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.41% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58% | 1.0% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.74% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.56% | 1.1% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.84% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.67% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49% | 1.3% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |