Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Molde v Tromso

Inizio: 2026-08-16 15:00 UTC

Finale: Molde 3–2 Tromso

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

55 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Molde (Casa)

Previsione 49.23%2.03quota equa
EV -0.564%
Vantaggio -0.279%
Kelly -0.553%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.02

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.47%49.13%49.25%50.57%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.751.901.912.0257.14%52.66%52.36%49.50%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Tromso (Trasferta)

Previsione 26.82%3.73quota equa
EV -1.58%
Vantaggio -0.429%
Kelly -0.590%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.67

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.71%26.87%26.76%28.18%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.153.393.373.6731.75%29.54%29.67%27.25%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 23.96%4.17quota equa
EV -0.583%
Vantaggio -0.141%
Kelly -0.185%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.15

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.18%24.00%23.99%25.36%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.773.754.1528.57%26.52%26.67%24.10%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Molde (Casa): 49.23%; Tromso (Trasferta): 26.82%; Pareggio: 23.96%. Per Molde (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.03. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 2.02, con un valore atteso del -0.564%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (55 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.06%EV -0.564%E -0.279%K -0.553%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.98%EV -6.94%E -2.00%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.97%EV -2.98%E -0.735%K -0.977%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-16 13:19
Unibet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.68%EV -2.53%E -1.28%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -11.50%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -12.56%E -3.44%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-16 14:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV -3.03%E -1.54%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -11.50%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -12.56%E -3.44%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 14:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV -3.03%E -1.54%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -11.50%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -12.56%E -3.44%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 14:45
BetRivers🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV -3.03%E -1.54%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -11.50%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -12.56%E -3.44%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 14:45
Casumo🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV -3.03%E -1.54%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -11.50%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -12.56%E -3.44%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 14:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV -3.03%E -1.54%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -11.50%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -12.56%E -3.44%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 14:45
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV -3.03%E -1.54%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -11.50%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -12.56%E -3.44%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 14:45
TABtouch🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV -3.03%E -1.54%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -11.50%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -12.56%E -3.44%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 14:44
betPARX🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV -3.03%E -1.54%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -11.50%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -12.56%E -3.44%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 14:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV -3.03%E -1.54%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -11.50%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -12.56%E -3.44%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 14:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV -3.03%E -1.54%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -11.50%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -12.56%E -3.44%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 14:45
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -4.01%E -2.06%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -11.50%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-16 14:44
1xBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.28%EV -4.99%E -2.59%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.64%EV -4.26%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.08%EV -5.37%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 14:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.87%EV -4.99%E -2.59%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.95%EV -6.13%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -6.57%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 14:43
GTbets🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.45%EV -4.99%E -2.59%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.87%EV -6.67%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 24.67%EV -9.21%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 14:44
Pinnacle🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.36%EV -5.49%E -2.86%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.34%EV -1.58%E -0.429%K -0.590%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.30%EV -0.583%E -0.141%K -0.185%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-16 14:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.48%EV -5.49%E -2.86%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.76%EV -4.79%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%EV -4.18%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 14:59
BetAnything🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.48%EV -5.49%E -2.86%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.76%EV -4.79%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%EV -4.18%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 14:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -5.49%E -2.86%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.68%EV -4.79%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.98%EV -5.37%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 14:50
BetUS🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -5.49%E -2.86%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.68%EV -4.79%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.98%EV -5.37%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 14:54
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.94%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -7.48%E -2.17%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -6.57%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 14:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -6.57%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 14:50
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-16 14:45
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -11.50%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -10.17%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 14:44
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -14.18%E -4.43%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -13.76%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-16 14:44
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -14.18%E -4.43%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -13.76%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-16 14:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -14.18%E -4.43%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -13.76%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-16 14:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -14.18%E -4.43%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -13.76%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-16 14:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.47%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.18%EV -15.52%E -4.93%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.36%EV -16.15%E -4.62%K -6.46%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-16 14:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.47%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.18%EV -15.52%E -4.93%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.36%EV -16.15%E -4.62%K -6.46%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-16 14:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.47%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.18%EV -15.52%E -4.93%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.36%EV -16.15%E -4.62%K -6.46%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-16 14:45
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.02%EV -6.47%E -3.41%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -11.50%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -10.17%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-16 14:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.33%EV -6.96%E -3.68%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -6.13%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.03%EV -7.05%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 14:50
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.92%EV -7.46%E -3.97%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -2.11%E -0.579%K -0.797%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -7.77%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-16 14:59
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.92%EV -7.46%E -3.97%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -2.11%E -0.579%K -0.797%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -7.77%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-16 14:59
Betway🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -7.46%E -3.97%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.13%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.18%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 14:49
Codere (IT)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.33%EV -7.46%E -3.97%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -10.16%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.55%EV -11.36%E -3.07%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-16 14:44
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.14%EV -7.95%E -4.25%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -4.79%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -4.18%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-16 14:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.86%EV -8.44%E -4.54%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -11.50%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -7.77%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-16 14:44
Bet Right🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 47.99%EV -8.44%E -4.54%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -14.18%E -4.43%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.12%EV -11.36%E -3.07%K -4.21%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-16 14:49
PlayUp🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -8.93%E -4.83%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -11.36%E -3.07%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-16 15:00
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.69%EV -8.93%E -4.83%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -11.50%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -10.17%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-16 14:55
SportsBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.75%EV -9.43%E -5.12%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -6.13%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 14:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.77%EV -9.43%E -5.12%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -12.84%E -3.95%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.62%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-16 14:44
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.57%EV -9.92%E -5.42%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -3.45%E -0.959%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -6.57%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-16 14:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -9.92%E -5.42%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.13%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -6.57%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 14:45
betano_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -9.92%E -5.42%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.13%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-16 14:59
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -9.92%E -5.42%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.13%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-16 14:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.17%EV -9.92%E -5.42%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.70%EV -9.62%E -2.85%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 24.13%EV -10.64%E -2.85%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-16 14:58
Unibet (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.49%EV -10.41%E -5.72%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -10.17%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-16 14:45
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -11.39%E -6.33%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -6.13%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-16 14:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -11.39%E -6.33%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -6.13%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-16 14:50
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -11.39%E -6.33%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -13.76%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-16 14:50
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 49.66%EV -13.86%E -7.92%K -18.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.16%EV -14.18%E -4.43%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.18%EV -10.17%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000%15.1%2026-08-16 14:47
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.98I 50.51%NM 50.01%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.41%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58%1.0%2026-08-16 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.98I 50.51%NM 50.01%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.41%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58%1.0%2026-08-16 14:55
Matchbook◎1.98I 50.51%NM 50.01%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.41%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58%1.0%2026-08-16 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.74%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.56%1.1%2026-08-16 14:59
Smarkets◎1.98I 50.51%NM 49.84%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.67%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49%1.3%2026-08-16 14:55