The School of Odds

Lillestrom v Viking FK

Kickoff: 2026-07-22 17:00 UTC

Final: Lillestrom 1–2 Viking FK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. See how the models score across every settled game →

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Lillestrom (Local)

Prediction 29.43%3.40fair odd
EV +0.069%
Edge +0.020%
Kelly +0.029%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.73%29.43%29.51%31.07%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.803.133.153.4036%32%32%29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Viking FK (Visit)

Prediction 45.61%2.19fair odd
EV -1.03%
Edge -0.474%
Kelly -0.880%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.35%45.59%45.56%47.13%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.912.032.042.1752%49%49%46%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 24.96%4.01fair odd
EV -1.66%
Edge -0.421%
Kelly -0.564%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.94

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.98%24.98%24.93%26.09%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.403.643.603.9429%27%28%25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
BetUS3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV +0.069%E +0.020%K +0.029%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -8.78%E -4.39%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-22 16:29
Pinnacle3.37I 29.67%NM 28.71%EV -0.814%E -0.242%K -0.344%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.74%EV -5.59%E -2.70%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.55%EV -1.66%E -0.421%K -0.564%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-22 16:30
GTbets3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -2.87%E -0.871%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.53%EV -6.05%E -2.94%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-22 16:29
Marathon Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.27%EV -2.87%E -0.871%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.78%E -4.39%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.08%EV -7.15%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-22 16:29
1xBet3.29I 30.40%NM 29.03%EV -3.17%E -0.963%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.91%EV -5.13%E -2.47%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.06%EV -4.90%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 16:29
DraftKings3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -4.35%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.08%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -5.15%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-22 16:29
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -4.35%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -8.78%E -4.39%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -5.15%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-22 16:29
Coolbet3.20I 31.25%NM 30.35%EV -5.82%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.75%EV -1.03%E -0.474%K -0.880%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.90%EV -2.66%E -0.681%K -0.916%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-22 15:59
NordicBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -5.82%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.16%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV -2.66%E -0.681%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-22 16:30
Betsson3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -5.82%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.16%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV -2.66%E -0.681%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-22 16:29
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.82%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.15%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-22 16:29
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -5.82%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.65%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-22 16:29
BetMGM3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -5.82%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-22 16:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -5.82%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -8.78%E -4.39%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 16:30
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -5.82%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.65%EV -11.06%E -5.67%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -8.90%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-22 16:29
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.50%EV -7.29%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -5.13%E -2.47%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-22 16:29
BetRivers3.15I 31.75%NM 29.50%EV -7.29%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -5.13%E -2.47%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-22 16:30
Casumo3.15I 31.75%NM 29.50%EV -7.29%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -5.13%E -2.47%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-22 16:30
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 29.50%EV -7.29%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -5.13%E -2.47%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-22 16:29
LeoVegas (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.50%EV -7.29%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -5.13%E -2.47%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-22 16:29
Unibet (NL)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.50%EV -7.29%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -5.13%E -2.47%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-22 16:29
Unibet (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.50%EV -7.29%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -5.13%E -2.47%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-22 16:29
betPARX3.15I 31.75%NM 29.50%EV -7.29%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -5.13%E -2.47%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-22 16:29
Svenska Spel3.15I 31.75%NM 29.50%EV -7.29%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -5.13%E -2.47%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-22 16:29
ATG (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.50%EV -7.29%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -5.13%E -2.47%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-22 16:29
SportsBet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -7.29%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.72%EV -7.87%E -3.90%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -7.65%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-22 16:29
TABtouch3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -7.29%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.76%EV -6.05%E -2.94%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -11.39%E -3.21%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-22 16:29
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -7.29%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -7.87%E -3.90%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-22 16:29
Bovada3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -7.29%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.81%EV -8.78%E -4.39%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.90%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-22 16:30
Unibet (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -7.29%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.31%EV -10.61%E -5.41%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -8.90%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-22 16:30
Betclic (FR)3.13I 31.95%NM 29.61%EV -7.88%E -2.52%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.21%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.18%EV -8.15%E -2.21%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 16:29
betano_uk3.12I 32.05%NM 29.14%EV -8.17%E -2.62%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.62%EV -11.06%E -5.67%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-22 16:28
Bet Victor3.12I 32.05%NM 29.14%EV -8.17%E -2.62%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.62%EV -11.06%E -5.67%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-22 16:29
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.76%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-22 16:29
Virgin Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -8.76%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.62%EV -6.96%E -3.41%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -12.64%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-22 16:30
LiveScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -8.76%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.62%EV -6.96%E -3.41%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -12.64%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-22 16:29
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.76%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -8.78%E -4.39%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-22 16:29
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.76%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -8.78%E -4.39%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-22 16:29
Winamax (DE)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -10.23%E -3.35%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.78%E -4.39%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.65%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-22 16:29
Codere (IT)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -10.23%E -3.35%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.57%EV -6.96%E -3.41%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -11.39%E -3.21%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-22 16:29
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -11.70%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -4.22%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.15%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 16:30
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -11.70%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-22 16:28
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.70%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -8.78%E -4.39%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -7.65%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-22 16:29
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.70%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -8.78%E -4.39%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.64%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-22 15:59
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -11.70%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -8.78%E -4.39%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -15.14%E -4.45%K -6.31%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-22 16:04
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -11.70%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -8.78%E -4.39%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -15.14%E -4.45%K -6.31%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-22 16:29
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -11.70%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -8.78%E -4.39%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -15.14%E -4.45%K -6.31%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-22 16:29
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -11.70%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -8.78%E -4.39%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -15.14%E -4.45%K -6.31%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-22 16:04
PMU (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.30%EV -11.70%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 44.85%EV -10.61%E -5.41%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -15.14%E -4.45%K -6.31%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-22 16:30
Winamax (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 29.84%EV -13.18%E -4.47%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.37%EV -11.52%E -5.94%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.79%EV -11.39%E -3.21%K -4.47%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-22 16:30
Bet Right2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -14.65%E -5.05%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -8.78%E -4.39%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-22 16:29
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 30.83%EV -17.59%E -6.28%K -9.77%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.19%EV -12.89%E -6.75%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.98%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%15.8%2026-07-22 16:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.63%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-07-22 16:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.63%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-07-22 16:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.63%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-07-22 16:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.63%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-07-22 16:29
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.63%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-07-22 16:30