La escuela de los momiosLillestrom v Viking FK
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Lillestrom (Local)
Predicción 29.43%3.40momio equitativo
EV +0.069%
Ventaja +0.020%
Kelly +0.029%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.73%29.43%29.51%31.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.133.153.4035.71%31.97%31.75%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Viking FK (Visitante)
Predicción 45.61%2.19momio equitativo
EV -1.03%
Ventaja -0.474%
Kelly -0.880%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.17
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.35%45.59%45.56%47.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.032.042.1752.36%49.26%49.02%46.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.96%4.01momio equitativo
EV -1.66%
Ventaja -0.421%
Kelly -0.564%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.94
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.98%24.98%24.93%26.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.643.603.9429.41%27.44%27.78%25.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV +0.069%E +0.020%K +0.029%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -8.78%E -4.39%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-22 16:29 |
| Pinnacle | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.71%EV -0.814%E -0.242%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.74%EV -5.59%E -2.70%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.55%EV -1.66%E -0.421%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-22 16:30 |
| GTbets | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -2.87%E -0.871%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.53%EV -6.05%E -2.94%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-22 16:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.27%EV -2.87%E -0.871%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.78%E -4.39%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.08%EV -7.15%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-22 16:29 |
| 1xBet | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.03%EV -3.17%E -0.963%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.91%EV -5.13%E -2.47%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.06%EV -4.90%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-22 16:29 |
| DraftKings | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -4.35%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.08%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -5.15%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-22 16:29 |
| Betway | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -4.35%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -8.78%E -4.39%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -5.15%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-22 16:29 |
| Coolbet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.35%EV -5.82%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.75%EV -1.03%E -0.474%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.90%EV -2.66%E -0.681%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-22 15:59 |
| NordicBet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -5.82%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.16%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV -2.66%E -0.681%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-22 16:30 |
| Betsson | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -5.82%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.16%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV -2.66%E -0.681%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-22 16:29 |
| FanDuel | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.82%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.15%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-22 16:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -5.82%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.65%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-22 16:29 |
| BetMGM | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -5.82%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-22 16:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -5.82%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -8.78%E -4.39%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-22 16:30 |
| Everygame | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -5.82%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.65%EV -11.06%E -5.67%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -8.90%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-22 16:29 |
| Unibet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.50%EV -7.29%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -5.13%E -2.47%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-22 16:29 |
| BetRivers | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.50%EV -7.29%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -5.13%E -2.47%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-22 16:30 |
| Casumo | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.50%EV -7.29%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -5.13%E -2.47%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-22 16:30 |
| Grosvenor | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.50%EV -7.29%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -5.13%E -2.47%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-22 16:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.50%EV -7.29%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -5.13%E -2.47%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-22 16:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.50%EV -7.29%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -5.13%E -2.47%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-22 16:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.50%EV -7.29%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -5.13%E -2.47%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-22 16:29 |
| betPARX | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.50%EV -7.29%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -5.13%E -2.47%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-22 16:29 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.50%EV -7.29%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -5.13%E -2.47%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-22 16:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.50%EV -7.29%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -5.13%E -2.47%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-22 16:29 |
| SportsBet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -7.29%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.72%EV -7.87%E -3.90%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -7.65%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-22 16:29 |
| TABtouch | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -7.29%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.76%EV -6.05%E -2.94%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -11.39%E -3.21%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-22 16:29 |
| LeoVegas | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -7.29%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -7.87%E -3.90%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-22 16:29 |
| Bovada | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -7.29%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.81%EV -8.78%E -4.39%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.90%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-22 16:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -7.29%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.31%EV -10.61%E -5.41%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -8.90%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-22 16:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.61%EV -7.88%E -2.52%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.21%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.18%EV -8.15%E -2.21%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-22 16:29 |
| betano_uk | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.14%EV -8.17%E -2.62%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.62%EV -11.06%E -5.67%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-22 16:28 |
| Bet Victor | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.14%EV -8.17%E -2.62%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.62%EV -11.06%E -5.67%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-22 16:29 |
| Fanatics | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.76%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-22 16:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -8.76%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.62%EV -6.96%E -3.41%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -12.64%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-22 16:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -8.76%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.62%EV -6.96%E -3.41%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -12.64%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-22 16:29 |
| Paddy Power | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.76%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -8.78%E -4.39%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-22 16:29 |
| William Hill | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.76%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -8.78%E -4.39%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-22 16:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -10.23%E -3.35%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.78%E -4.39%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.65%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-22 16:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -10.23%E -3.35%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.57%EV -6.96%E -3.41%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -11.39%E -3.21%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-22 16:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -11.70%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -4.22%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.15%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-22 16:30 |
| betfred_uk | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -11.70%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-22 16:28 |
| PlayUp | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.70%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -8.78%E -4.39%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -7.65%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-22 16:29 |
| Sky Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.70%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -8.78%E -4.39%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.64%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-22 15:59 |
| Neds | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -11.70%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -8.78%E -4.39%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -15.14%E -4.45%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-22 16:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -11.70%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -8.78%E -4.39%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -15.14%E -4.45%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-22 16:29 |
| Coral | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -11.70%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -8.78%E -4.39%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -15.14%E -4.45%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-22 16:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -11.70%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -8.78%E -4.39%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -15.14%E -4.45%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-22 16:04 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.30%EV -11.70%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.85%EV -10.61%E -5.41%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -15.14%E -4.45%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-07-22 16:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.84%EV -13.18%E -4.47%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.37%EV -11.52%E -5.94%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.79%EV -11.39%E -3.21%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-07-22 16:30 |
| Bet Right | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -14.65%E -5.05%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -8.78%E -4.39%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-22 16:29 |
| BoyleSports | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.83%EV -17.59%E -6.28%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.19%EV -12.89%E -6.75%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.98%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-07-22 16:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.63% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 1.2% | 2026-07-22 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.63% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 1.2% | 2026-07-22 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.63% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 1.2% | 2026-07-22 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.63% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 1.2% | 2026-07-22 16:29 |
| Matchbook | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.63% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 1.2% | 2026-07-22 16:30 |