The School of Odds
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Lillestrom v SK Brann

Kickoff: 2026-10-25 16:00 UTC

Final: Lillestrom 3–2 SK Brann

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lillestrom (Local)

Prediction 40.09%2.49fair odd
EV -1.78%
Edge -0.725%
Kelly -1.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.79%40.20%40.01%42.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.292.282.4548.78%43.70%43.86%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SK Brann (Visit)

Prediction 35.88%2.79fair odd
EV -0.973%
Edge -0.353%
Kelly -0.553%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.12%35.79%35.98%36.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.592.602.7643.48%38.67%38.46%36.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.03%4.16fair odd
EV -2.20%
Edge -0.541%
Kelly -0.717%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.64%24.01%24.01%24.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.783.754.0728.17%26.46%26.67%24.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lillestrom (Local): 40.09%; SK Brann (Visit): 35.88%; Draw: 24.03%. For SK Brann (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.79. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.76, with an expected value of -0.973%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.17%EV -1.78%E -0.725%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.22%EV -4.92%E -1.86%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.61%EV -6.28%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-25 15:35
1xBet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.93%EV -2.18%E -0.892%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.53%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.54%EV -7.01%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-25 15:56
Coolbet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.94%EV -2.58%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.17%EV -0.973%E -0.353%K -0.553%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.89%EV -6.28%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-25 15:50
Pinnacle🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.98%EV -2.98%E -1.23%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.24%EV -4.20%E -1.57%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.77%EV -2.20%E -0.541%K -0.717%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-25 15:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -2.98%E -1.23%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%EV -6.28%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-25 15:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -2.98%E -1.23%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%EV -6.28%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-25 15:50
BetAnything🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -2.98%E -1.23%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%EV -6.28%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-25 15:50
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.78%E -1.58%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.36%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -6.28%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-25 15:39
NordicBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.27%EV -3.78%E -1.58%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.25%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -7.49%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-25 15:35
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.02%EV -5.79%E -2.46%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -5.08%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-25 15:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.79%E -2.46%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -6.28%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-25 15:35
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.79%E -2.46%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -6.28%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-25 15:34
BetUS🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.79%E -2.46%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -6.28%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-25 15:35
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -5.79%E -2.46%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -10.30%E -4.12%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -9.89%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-25 15:34
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -5.79%E -2.46%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -10.30%E -4.12%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -9.89%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-25 15:56
GTbets🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.62%EV -6.99%E -3.01%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.90%EV -3.13%E -1.16%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -7.49%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-19 00:09
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.79%E -3.39%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.75%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.28%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-25 15:12
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.37%EV -7.79%E -3.39%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -8.51%E -3.34%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -3.88%E -0.970%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-25 15:35
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -7.79%E -3.39%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.35%EV -6.00%E -2.29%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -8.69%E -2.29%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-25 15:30
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -7.79%E -3.39%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -11.09%E -3.00%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-25 15:35
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -7.79%E -3.39%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -10.30%E -4.12%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.69%E -2.29%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-25 15:50
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -7.79%E -3.39%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.20%EV -10.30%E -4.12%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -11.09%E -3.00%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-25 15:41
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -7.79%E -3.39%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.20%EV -10.30%E -4.12%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -11.09%E -3.00%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-25 15:50
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.21%EV -7.79%E -3.39%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.08%EV -10.30%E -4.12%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -12.29%E -3.37%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-25 15:56
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -7.79%E -3.39%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -12.10%E -4.94%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -13.49%E -3.75%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-25 15:56
Codere (IT)🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 39.86%EV -8.19%E -3.58%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.80%EV -8.51%E -3.34%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -9.89%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-25 15:35
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -8.59%E -3.77%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -3.13%E -1.16%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -9.89%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-25 14:26
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -8.59%E -3.77%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -3.13%E -1.16%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -9.89%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-25 14:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -8.59%E -3.77%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -3.13%E -1.16%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -9.89%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-25 14:25
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -8.59%E -3.77%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -3.13%E -1.16%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -9.89%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-25 14:25
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -8.59%E -3.77%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -3.13%E -1.16%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -9.89%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-25 14:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -8.59%E -3.77%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -3.13%E -1.16%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -9.89%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-25 14:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -8.59%E -3.77%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -3.13%E -1.16%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -9.89%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-25 14:25
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -8.59%E -3.77%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -3.13%E -1.16%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -9.89%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-25 14:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -8.59%E -3.77%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -3.13%E -1.16%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -9.89%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-25 14:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -8.59%E -3.77%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -3.13%E -1.16%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -9.89%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-25 14:26
Marathon Bet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 40.96%EV -8.99%E -3.96%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.57%EV -3.48%E -1.30%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -8.69%E -2.29%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-25 12:59
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.66%EV -9.79%E -4.35%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.88%EV -8.51%E -3.34%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.46%EV -6.28%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-25 15:34
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.66%EV -9.79%E -4.35%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.88%EV -8.51%E -3.34%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.46%EV -6.28%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-25 15:36
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.25%EV -9.79%E -4.35%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.23%EV -10.30%E -4.12%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.52%EV -7.49%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-25 15:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -9.79%E -4.35%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -12.10%E -4.94%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -8.69%E -2.29%K -3.10%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-25 15:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -9.79%E -4.35%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -10.30%E -4.12%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -13.49%E -3.75%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-25 15:12
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -9.79%E -4.35%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -10.30%E -4.12%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -13.49%E -3.75%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-25 15:12
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -9.79%E -4.35%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -10.30%E -4.12%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -13.49%E -3.75%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-25 15:12
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -9.79%E -4.35%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -10.30%E -4.12%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -13.49%E -3.75%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-25 15:12
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -11.80%E -5.36%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.43%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -13.49%E -3.75%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-25 14:26
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -11.80%E -5.36%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.68%EV -10.30%E -4.12%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -9.89%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-25 15:35
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -11.80%E -5.36%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.68%EV -10.30%E -4.12%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -9.89%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-25 15:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.93%EV -12.60%E -5.78%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 35.27%EV -9.23%E -3.65%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -9.89%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-25 15:33
PMU (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 40.89%EV -13.00%E -5.99%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.12%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.99%EV -14.70%E -4.14%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-25 14:26
LiveScore Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 40.89%EV -13.00%E -5.99%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.12%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.99%EV -14.70%E -4.14%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-25 14:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 40.89%EV -13.00%E -5.99%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.12%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.99%EV -14.70%E -4.14%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-25 14:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.29%EV -13.80%E -6.42%K -12.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -3.88%E -0.970%K -1.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-25 15:40
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.44%EV -15.81%E -7.53%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.92%EV -17.48%E -7.60%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -9.89%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%17.8%2026-10-25 15:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 41.99%EV -17.81%E -8.69%K -16.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.43%EV -10.30%E -4.12%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.58%EV -12.29%E -3.37%K -4.64%G +0.000%16.2%2026-10-25 15:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.46%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.29%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%0.6%2026-10-25 15:57
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.46%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.29%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%0.6%2026-10-25 15:57
Matchbook◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.46%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.29%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%0.6%2026-10-25 15:57
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.65%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.18%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.18%0.9%2026-10-25 15:50
Smarkets◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.22%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.07%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-10-25 15:57