Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Lillestrom v SK Brann

2026-10-25 16:00 UTC — Eliteserien - Norway

Résultat du match

34 opérateurs (9 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Lillestrom (Local)

Prévision 40.41%2.47cote équitable
EV -3.84%
Avantage -1.61%
Kelly -2.78%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.87%40.49%40.42%42.42%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.272.302.3850.00%43.97%43.48%42.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

SK Brann (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.78%2.88cote équitable
EV -4.37%
Avantage -1.59%
Kelly -2.50%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.63%34.71%34.72%36.20%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.402.592.602.7541.67%38.68%38.46%36.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.82%4.03cote équitable
EV -3.20%
Avantage -0.822%
Kelly -1.11%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.93%24.81%24.86%25.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.683.703.9029.41%27.18%27.03%25.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Lillestrom (Local) : 40.41% ; SK Brann (Visiteur) : 34.78% ; Match nul : 24.82%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 4.03. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 3.90, pour une espérance de -3.20% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (34 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
BetRivers🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -3.84%E -1.61%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.90%EV -9.58%E -3.69%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.89%EV -6.93%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-18 16:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -3.84%E -1.61%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.90%EV -9.58%E -3.69%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.89%EV -6.93%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-18 16:04
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -3.84%E -1.61%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.90%EV -9.58%E -3.69%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.89%EV -6.93%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-18 16:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -3.84%E -1.61%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.90%EV -9.58%E -3.69%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.89%EV -6.93%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-18 16:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -3.84%E -1.61%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.90%EV -9.58%E -3.69%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.89%EV -6.93%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-18 16:04
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -3.84%E -1.61%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.90%EV -9.58%E -3.69%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.89%EV -6.93%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-18 16:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -3.84%E -1.61%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.90%EV -9.58%E -3.69%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.89%EV -6.93%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-18 16:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -3.84%E -1.61%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.90%EV -9.58%E -3.69%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.89%EV -6.93%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-18 16:05
Pinnacle🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.24%EV -4.24%E -1.79%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.80%EV -4.72%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.96%EV -5.19%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-18 17:25
1xBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.59%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.94%EV -5.06%E -1.85%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.46%EV -3.20%E -0.822%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-18 17:14
Unibet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.01%EV -6.26%E -2.70%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.20%EV -13.06%E -5.22%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -9.41%E -2.58%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-18 16:05
Grosvenor🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.01%EV -6.26%E -2.70%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.20%EV -13.06%E -5.22%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -9.41%E -2.58%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-18 16:04
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.69%EV -7.07%E -3.07%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.31%EV -7.84%E -2.96%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -3.20%E -0.822%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 16:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -7.07%E -3.07%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.49%EV -8.54%E -3.25%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -3.20%E -0.822%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-18 16:39
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.17%EV -7.07%E -3.07%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.86%EV -7.84%E -2.96%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -8.17%E -2.21%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-18 16:34
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.89%EV -7.07%E -3.07%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -7.84%E -2.96%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.65%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-18 16:35
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -7.07%E -3.07%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.89%E -3.39%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -10.65%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-18 17:40
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.97%EV -7.07%E -3.07%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.14%EV -13.76%E -5.55%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -10.65%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-18 16:04
Marathon Bet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.59%EV -7.47%E -3.26%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.95%EV -7.50%E -2.82%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -5.69%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-18 16:49
PMU (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.87%EV -7.88%E -3.45%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.17%EV -14.80%E -6.04%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.96%EV -11.89%E -3.35%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-18 16:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.87%EV -7.88%E -3.45%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.17%EV -14.80%E -6.04%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.96%EV -11.89%E -3.35%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-18 16:04
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.87%EV -7.88%E -3.45%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.17%EV -14.80%E -6.04%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.96%EV -11.89%E -3.35%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-18 16:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.22%EV -9.09%E -4.04%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -4.37%E -1.59%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -8.17%E -2.21%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-18 16:19
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -9.09%E -4.04%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -9.58%E -3.69%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -5.69%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-18 16:19
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.67%EV -9.09%E -4.04%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.93%EV -8.89%E -3.39%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -6.93%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-18 17:40
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -9.09%E -4.04%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -13.06%E -5.22%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -10.65%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-18 16:19
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.24%EV -11.11%E -5.05%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -7.84%E -2.96%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -8.17%E -2.21%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-18 17:40
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -11.11%E -5.05%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78%EV -9.58%E -3.69%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -6.93%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-18 16:24
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.42%EV -13.13%E -6.11%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.76%EV -13.06%E -5.22%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.83%EV -13.13%E -3.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%15.1%2026-10-18 16:55
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 39.84%EV -13.13%E -6.11%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.69%EV -16.54%E -6.89%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.47%EV -13.13%E -3.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%16.7%2026-10-18 16:59
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.69%EV -15.15%E -7.21%K -13.77%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.29%EV -8.54%E -3.25%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.02%EV -13.13%E -3.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-18 16:17
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.55%EV -15.15%E -7.21%K -13.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.22%EV -11.32%E -4.44%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -10.65%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%14.6%2026-10-18 16:29
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.26%EV -15.15%E -7.21%K -13.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.98%EV -11.32%E -4.44%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.76%EV -13.13%E -3.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%15.4%2026-10-18 16:29
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.42%EV -19.19%E -9.59%K -19.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.63%EV -9.58%E -3.69%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.95%EV -15.61%E -4.59%K -6.51%G +0.000%17.9%2026-10-18 16:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎2.10I 47.62%NM 40.86%2.56I 39.06%NM 33.52%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.62%16.5%2026-10-18 16:25