The School of Odds

Kristiansund BK v Sarpsborg FK

2026-07-18 14:00 UTC — Eliteserien - Norway

Head to Head

27 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Kristiansund BK (Local)

Prediction 31.32%3.19fair odd
EV -4.47%
Edge -1.47%
Kelly -2.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.56%31.31%31.41%32.78%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.702.912.903.0537%34%34%33%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sarpsborg FK (Visit)

Prediction 42.63%2.35fair odd
EV -3.66%
Edge -1.62%
Kelly -2.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.42%42.67%42.52%43.67%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.982.152.152.2651%46%47%44%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 26.05%3.84fair odd
EV -3.08%
Edge -0.829%
Kelly -1.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.00%26.01%26.07%27.78%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.303.543.553.7230%28%28%27%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -4.47%E -1.47%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.40%EV -7.07%E -3.24%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -3.60%E -0.974%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-13 10:14
NordicBet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -4.47%E -1.47%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.40%EV -7.07%E -3.24%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -3.60%E -0.974%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-13 10:15
Pinnacle3.04I 32.89%NM 31.38%EV -4.79%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -3.66%E -1.62%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.42%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-13 12:00
1xBet3.04I 32.89%NM 31.36%EV -4.79%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.37%EV -4.09%E -1.82%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.26%EV -5.43%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-13 11:59
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.04%E -2.01%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -8.35%E -3.88%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.21%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-13 10:15
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.04%E -2.01%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -14.02%E -4.25%K -6.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-13 11:59
GTbets2.98I 33.56%NM 31.63%EV -6.67%E -2.24%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.04%EV -6.65%E -3.04%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.34%EV -3.08%E -0.829%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-13 10:14
BetOnline.ag2.98I 33.56%NM 31.43%EV -6.67%E -2.24%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.81%EV -4.52%E -2.02%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-13 11:59
LowVig.ag2.98I 33.56%NM 31.43%EV -6.67%E -2.24%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.81%EV -4.52%E -2.02%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-13 11:59
Marathon Bet2.97I 33.67%NM 31.38%EV -6.98%E -2.35%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.36%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.25%EV -7.51%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-13 11:59
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -7.61%E -2.58%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -8.35%E -3.88%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-13 10:15
Codere (IT)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.86%EV -7.61%E -2.58%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.14%EV -10.06%E -4.77%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-13 10:14
FanDuel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.17%E -3.16%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -3.60%E -0.974%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-13 10:13
Betway2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.17%E -3.16%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.35%E -3.88%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-13 11:59
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.17%E -3.16%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.35%E -3.88%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-13 10:15
LeoVegas2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -9.17%E -3.16%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.95%EV -9.63%E -4.54%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -7.51%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-13 11:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -9.80%E -3.40%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -3.60%E -0.974%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-13 12:00
betano_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -9.80%E -3.40%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -8.35%E -3.88%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-13 11:58
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -9.80%E -3.40%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -8.35%E -3.88%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-13 11:59
SportsBet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -10.74%E -3.77%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%EV -7.07%E -3.24%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.21%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-13 10:15
Betclic (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.82%EV -10.74%E -3.77%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.49%EV -13.89%E -6.88%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 25.69%EV -10.90%E -3.19%K -4.50%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-13 10:14
Unibet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.64%EV -10.74%E -3.77%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.67%EV -14.75%E -7.37%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.69%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-13 10:14
betfred_uk2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -12.30%E -4.39%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -6.21%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-13 10:14
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -12.30%E -4.39%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.35%E -3.88%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -6.21%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-13 10:13
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.70%EV -12.30%E -4.39%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.30%EV -12.61%E -6.15%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.00%EV -7.51%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-13 10:15
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 32.22%EV -15.44%E -5.72%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.42%EV -10.48%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.36%EV -14.02%E -4.25%K -6.10%G +0.000%15.0%2026-07-13 10:14
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 31.55%EV -15.44%E -5.72%K -9.08%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 43.02%EV -15.60%E -7.88%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.43%EV -12.72%E -3.80%K -5.41%G +0.000%17.4%2026-07-13 10:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.84I 35.21%NM 30.99%2.06I 48.54%NM 42.73%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.28%13.6%2026-07-13 10:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.92I 34.25%NM 19.37%2.20I 45.45%NM 25.71%1.03I 97.09%NM 54.92%76.8%2026-07-13 12:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.92I 34.25%NM 19.37%2.20I 45.45%NM 25.71%1.03I 97.09%NM 54.92%76.8%2026-07-13 12:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 39.96%2.20I 45.45%NM 18.89%1.01I 99.01%NM 41.15%140.6%2026-07-13 12:00