La escuela de los momios

Kristiansund BK v Sarpsborg FK

Inicio: 2026-07-18 14:00 UTC

Final: Kristiansund BK 0–0 Sarpsborg FK

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Kristiansund BK (Local)

Predicción 32.06%3.12momio equitativo
EV -0.611%
Ventaja -0.197%
Kelly -0.291%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.73%31.92%32.09%33.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.622.912.903.1038.17%34.31%34.48%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Sarpsborg FK (Visitante)

Predicción 42.23%2.37momio equitativo
EV -2.88%
Ventaja -1.25%
Kelly -2.21%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.42%42.38%42.19%44.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.162.152.3050.00%46.35%46.51%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.71%3.89momio equitativo
EV -2.29%
Ventaja -0.603%
Kelly -0.818%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.96%25.70%25.71%26.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.573.603.8029.41%28.05%27.78%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -0.611%E -0.197%K -0.291%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -11.32%E -5.39%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.43%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-18 13:20
Casumo3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -0.611%E -0.197%K -0.291%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -11.32%E -5.39%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.43%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-18 13:20
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -0.611%E -0.197%K -0.291%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -11.32%E -5.39%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.43%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-18 13:24
BetRivers3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -0.611%E -0.197%K -0.291%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -11.32%E -5.39%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.43%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-18 13:20
Unibet (NL)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -0.611%E -0.197%K -0.291%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -11.32%E -5.39%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.43%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-18 13:20
Grosvenor3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -0.611%E -0.197%K -0.291%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -11.32%E -5.39%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.43%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-18 13:20
Unibet (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -0.611%E -0.197%K -0.291%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -11.32%E -5.39%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.43%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-18 13:20
ATG (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -0.611%E -0.197%K -0.291%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -11.32%E -5.39%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.43%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-18 13:20
Svenska Spel3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -0.611%E -0.197%K -0.291%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -11.32%E -5.39%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.43%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-18 13:20
betPARX3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -0.611%E -0.197%K -0.291%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -11.32%E -5.39%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.43%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-18 13:20
TABtouch3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -0.611%E -0.197%K -0.291%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.31%EV -12.17%E -5.85%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -8.72%E -2.46%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-18 13:20
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.83%EV -2.21%E -0.726%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.17%EV -13.01%E -6.32%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -10.01%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-18 13:20
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.83%EV -2.21%E -0.726%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.17%EV -13.01%E -6.32%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -10.01%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-18 13:20
Coolbet3.01I 33.22%NM 32.25%EV -3.50%E -1.16%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -2.88%E -1.25%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55%EV -2.29%E -0.603%K -0.818%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-18 13:40
1xBet3.01I 33.22%NM 31.59%EV -3.50%E -1.16%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.07%EV -4.57%E -2.02%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.34%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 13:50
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -3.82%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.43%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-18 13:35
Pinnacle2.99I 33.44%NM 32.35%EV -4.14%E -1.38%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.06%EV -2.88%E -1.25%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.59%EV -2.81%E -0.742%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-18 13:40
GTbets2.97I 33.67%NM 31.23%EV -4.78%E -1.61%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.35%EV -7.52%E -3.44%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.42%EV -9.75%E -2.78%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-18 13:40
BetOnline.ag2.96I 33.78%NM 32.04%EV -5.10%E -1.72%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.97%EV -4.57%E -2.02%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.99%EV -6.15%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 13:55
LowVig.ag2.96I 33.78%NM 32.04%EV -5.10%E -1.72%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.97%EV -4.57%E -2.02%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.99%EV -6.15%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 13:55
BetAnything2.96I 33.78%NM 32.04%EV -5.10%E -1.72%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.97%EV -4.57%E -2.02%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.99%EV -6.15%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 13:55
FanDuel2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -5.42%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.18%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.65%EV -4.86%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 13:45
DraftKings2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -5.42%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.18%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.65%EV -4.86%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 13:35
PMU (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 29.92%EV -5.42%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.13%EV -15.55%E -7.77%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.96%EV -12.58%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-18 13:20
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 32.28%EV -6.38%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.89%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -6.15%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 13:45
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 32.28%EV -6.38%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.89%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -6.15%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 13:45
Marathon Bet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.92%EV -6.38%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.18%EV -6.68%E -3.02%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -7.43%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 13:40
Betway2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.43%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-18 13:35
Tipico (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -9.21%E -4.29%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -7.43%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-18 13:45
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -12.58%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-18 13:35
Betclic (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.08%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.54%EV -12.59%E -6.08%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -8.72%E -2.46%K -3.42%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-18 13:34
BetMGM2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.43%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-18 13:55
PointsBet (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -8.63%E -3.03%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -4.86%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-18 13:35
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -8.63%E -3.03%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -8.72%E -2.46%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-18 13:44
BetUS2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -8.63%E -3.03%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -8.72%E -2.46%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-18 13:45
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -8.63%E -3.03%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%EV -7.95%E -3.65%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.43%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-18 13:55
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -8.63%E -3.03%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -10.01%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-18 13:40
SportsBet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.03%EV -8.63%E -3.03%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.88%EV -7.95%E -3.65%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.01%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-18 13:45
Codere (IT)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -8.63%E -3.03%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.22%EV -9.21%E -4.29%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -10.01%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-18 13:35
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.76%EV -8.63%E -3.03%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.10%EV -11.32%E -5.39%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -7.43%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-18 13:35
Unibet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.21%EV -8.63%E -3.03%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.38%EV -13.44%E -6.55%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -10.01%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-18 13:34
betfred_uk2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -10.23%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -7.43%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-18 13:35
betano_uk2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -10.23%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.21%E -4.29%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -7.43%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-18 13:40
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -10.23%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.21%E -4.29%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -7.43%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-18 13:39
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -10.23%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -9.21%E -4.29%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -10.01%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-18 13:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -10.23%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -9.21%E -4.29%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -10.01%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-18 13:45
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -10.23%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -9.21%E -4.29%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -10.01%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-18 13:45
Everygame2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -10.23%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -9.21%E -4.29%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -10.01%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-18 13:40
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -9.21%E -4.29%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.58%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-18 13:45
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -9.21%E -4.29%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.58%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-18 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -9.21%E -4.29%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.58%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-18 13:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -9.21%E -4.29%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.58%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-18 13:35
Neds2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -9.21%E -4.29%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.58%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-18 13:35
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.74%EV -13.44%E -6.55%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.40%EV -11.29%E -3.27%K -4.61%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-18 13:35
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 33.15%EV -13.44%E -4.98%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.63%EV -9.21%E -4.29%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.21%EV -8.72%E -2.46%K -3.42%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-18 13:35
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 32.92%EV -16.00%E -6.11%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.12%EV -15.55%E -7.77%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.96%EV -7.43%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%15.9%2026-07-18 13:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.05%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.47%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48%0.6%2026-07-18 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.05%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.47%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48%0.6%2026-07-18 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.05%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.47%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48%0.6%2026-07-18 13:55
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 32.05%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.47%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48%0.6%2026-07-18 13:55
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.83%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.54%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.63%1.3%2026-07-18 13:55