The School of Odds

KFUM v Molde

2026-07-26 15:00 UTC — Eliteserien - Norway

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

KFUM (Local)

Prediction 30.72%3.26fair odd
EV -1.69%
Edge -0.529%
Kelly -0.769%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.68%30.88%30.69%33.58%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.632.872.883.2038%35%35%31%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Molde (Visit)

Prediction 43.21%2.31fair odd
EV +0.237%
Edge +0.102%
Kelly +0.179%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.74%43.06%43.26%43.91%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.962.182.162.3251%46%46%43%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 26.07%3.84fair odd
EV -1.44%
Edge -0.382%
Kelly -0.519%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.22%26.06%26.04%26.75%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.253.473.453.7831%29%29%26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -15.52%E -5.64%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV +0.237%E +0.102%K +0.179%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -10.05%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-19 15:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -15.52%E -5.64%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV +0.237%E +0.102%K +0.179%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -10.05%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-19 15:20
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -15.52%E -5.64%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV +0.237%E +0.102%K +0.179%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -10.05%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-19 15:20
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -15.52%E -5.64%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV +0.237%E +0.102%K +0.179%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -10.05%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-19 15:25
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -15.52%E -5.64%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV +0.237%E +0.102%K +0.179%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -10.05%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-19 15:25
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -15.52%E -5.64%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV +0.237%E +0.102%K +0.179%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -10.05%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-19 15:25
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -15.52%E -5.64%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV +0.237%E +0.102%K +0.179%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -10.05%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-19 15:25
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -15.52%E -5.64%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV +0.237%E +0.102%K +0.179%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -10.05%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-19 15:25
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -15.52%E -5.64%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV +0.237%E +0.102%K +0.179%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -10.05%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-19 15:24
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -15.52%E -5.64%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV +0.237%E +0.102%K +0.179%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -10.05%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-19 15:25
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -15.52%E -5.64%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV +0.237%E +0.102%K +0.179%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -10.05%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-19 15:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -17.05%E -6.32%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -0.627%E -0.273%K -0.483%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -6.14%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-19 08:25
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -17.05%E -6.32%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.76%EV -1.49%E -0.654%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -11.35%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-19 15:25
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -17.05%E -6.32%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.76%EV -1.49%E -0.654%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -11.35%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-19 15:25
GTbets2.97I 33.67%NM 31.75%EV -8.76%E -2.95%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.28%EV -3.65%E -1.64%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.97%EV -5.35%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-20 00:05
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -11.52%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-19 21:00
PMU (FR)2.63I 38.02%NM 33.42%EV -19.20%E -7.30%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.95%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -13.96%E -4.23%K -6.07%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-19 15:25
Pinnacle3.05I 32.79%NM 31.25%EV -6.30%E -2.07%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.53%EV -5.38%E -2.46%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.22%EV -1.44%E -0.382%K -0.519%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-19 21:35
Betsson3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -1.69%E -0.529%K -0.769%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.57%EV -5.81%E -2.67%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -7.44%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 23:15
NordicBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -1.69%E -0.529%K -0.769%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.57%EV -5.81%E -2.67%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -7.44%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 23:15
Marathon Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -6.24%E -2.88%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.14%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-19 22:05
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.14%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-19 21:00
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-19 21:20
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-19 21:20
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-19 23:15
SportsBet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.79%EV -8.40%E -3.96%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-19 21:00
Codere (IT)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -9.37%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 42.98%EV -8.84%E -4.19%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.28%EV -10.05%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-19 21:25
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -4.76%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -9.27%E -4.41%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-19 21:25
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -9.27%E -4.41%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.14%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-19 21:25
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 31.02%EV -9.37%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.27%E -4.41%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -6.14%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-19 21:29
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.27%E -4.41%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-20 00:09
betano_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.27%E -4.41%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-20 00:10
Betway2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -9.27%E -4.41%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -6.14%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-19 21:25
LeoVegas2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.18%EV -9.27%E -4.41%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.55%EV -7.44%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-19 23:15
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -11.52%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.27%E -4.41%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-19 20:59
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.11%EV -13.98%E -4.99%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.49%EV -11.43%E -5.57%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -13.96%E -4.23%K -6.07%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-19 21:20
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 31.50%EV -15.52%E -5.64%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.25%EV -11.43%E -5.57%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.25%EV -13.96%E -4.23%K -6.07%G +0.000%15.4%2026-07-19 20:55
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 31.37%EV -15.52%E -5.64%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.08%EV -11.43%E -5.57%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.55%EV -15.26%E -4.70%K -6.78%G +0.000%15.9%2026-07-19 20:59
Betclic (FR)2.88I 34.72%NM 30.48%EV -11.52%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.46%EV -12.72%E -6.30%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.05%EV -12.13%E -3.60%K -5.12%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-19 21:24
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.02%EV -13.98%E -4.99%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.43%EV -13.59%E -6.79%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -11.35%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-19 21:20
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 31.17%EV -17.05%E -6.32%K -10.03%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 42.94%EV -15.32%E -7.81%K -15.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.89%EV -15.26%E -4.70%K -6.78%G +0.000%18.8%2026-07-19 21:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%7.5%2026-07-19 23:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%7.5%2026-07-19 23:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%7.5%2026-07-19 23:15
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%10.2%2026-07-20 01:25