Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

KFUM v Molde

Kickoff: 2026-07-26 15:00 UTC

Final: KFUM 2–4 Molde

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

KFUM (Local)

Prediction 30.40%3.29fair odd
EV -2.41%
Edge -0.751%
Kelly -1.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.64%30.40%30.39%31.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.013.003.2135.71%33.18%33.33%31.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Molde (Visit)

Prediction 44.15%2.26fair odd
EV -2.87%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -2.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.34%44.07%44.17%45.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.112.102.2051.28%47.49%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.45%3.93fair odd
EV -2.03%
Edge -0.527%
Kelly -0.712%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.72%25.54%25.44%26.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.563.503.8530.30%28.07%28.57%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: KFUM (Local): 30.40%; Molde (Visit): 44.15%; Draw: 25.45%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.93. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.85, with an expected value of -2.03%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.21I 31.15%NM 30.12%EV -2.41%E -0.751%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -4.63%E -2.15%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.11%EV -2.03%E -0.527%K -0.712%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-26 14:56
LowVig.ag🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 30.44%EV -3.32%E -1.04%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.41%EV -3.75%E -1.72%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.15%EV -2.03%E -0.527%K -0.712%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-26 14:40
BetOnline.ag🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 30.44%EV -3.32%E -1.04%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.41%EV -3.75%E -1.72%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.15%EV -2.03%E -0.527%K -0.712%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-26 14:40
BetAnything🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 30.44%EV -3.32%E -1.04%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.41%EV -3.75%E -1.72%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.15%EV -2.03%E -0.527%K -0.712%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-26 14:40
Coolbet🎯3.17I 31.55%NM 30.63%EV -3.63%E -1.14%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.14%EV -2.87%E -1.30%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%EV -2.03%E -0.527%K -0.712%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-26 14:55
GTbets🎯3.16I 31.65%NM 30.39%EV -3.93%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.65%EV -2.87%E -1.30%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.96%EV -5.85%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 14:55
Betsson🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -4.23%E -1.34%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.52%EV -6.40%E -3.02%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -5.85%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 14:45
NordicBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -4.23%E -1.34%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.52%EV -6.40%E -3.02%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -5.85%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 14:45
DraftKings🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -5.07%E -2.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.85%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-26 14:35
BetUS🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -5.07%E -2.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -7.12%E -1.95%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 14:45
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -7.28%E -3.47%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -3.30%E -0.869%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 14:49
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.07%E -2.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.39%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 14:56
Marathon Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -7.28%E -3.47%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -7.12%E -1.95%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 14:55
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -9.49%E -4.63%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.39%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 14:45
Bovada🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -7.28%E -2.39%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -7.28%E -3.47%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -10.93%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 14:54
Betclic (FR)🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 29.69%EV -7.88%E -2.60%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.98%EV -11.70%E -5.85%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.34%EV -9.66%E -2.72%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-26 14:55
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -2.87%E -1.30%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -10.93%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 14:00
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -7.28%E -3.47%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -4.57%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 14:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -7.28%E -3.47%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -5.85%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 13:15
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.28%E -3.47%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.39%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-20 11:05
BetRivers🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.74%EV -5.07%E -2.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -12.21%E -3.54%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-20 11:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.74%EV -5.07%E -2.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -12.21%E -3.54%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-20 11:05
ATG (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.74%EV -5.07%E -2.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -12.21%E -3.54%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-20 11:05
Casumo🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.74%EV -5.07%E -2.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -12.21%E -3.54%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-20 11:05
Unibet (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.74%EV -5.07%E -2.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -12.21%E -3.54%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-20 11:05
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.74%EV -5.07%E -2.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -12.21%E -3.54%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-20 11:05
TABtouch🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.74%EV -5.07%E -2.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -12.21%E -3.54%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-20 11:05
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.74%EV -5.07%E -2.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -12.21%E -3.54%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-20 11:04
Grosvenor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.74%EV -5.07%E -2.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -12.21%E -3.54%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-20 11:05
betPARX🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.74%EV -5.07%E -2.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -12.21%E -3.54%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-20 11:05
Svenska Spel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.74%EV -5.07%E -2.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -12.21%E -3.54%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-20 11:05
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -9.49%E -4.63%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -5.85%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 14:50
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.53%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.03%EV -8.17%E -3.93%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -8.39%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 14:55
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.28%E -3.47%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.93%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-26 14:54
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.28%E -3.47%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.93%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-26 14:50
Codere (IT)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.37%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 43.60%EV -7.72%E -3.70%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.93%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 14:55
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.49%E -4.63%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.39%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-26 14:35
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.49%E -4.63%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.39%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-26 14:35
Everygame🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.49%E -4.63%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.39%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-26 14:35
Virgin Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.91%EV -6.40%E -3.02%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -13.48%E -3.96%K -5.62%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-20 11:05
LiveScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.91%EV -6.40%E -3.02%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -13.48%E -3.96%K -5.62%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-20 11:05
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -11.70%E -5.85%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -8.39%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 14:50
Unibet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -11.70%E -5.85%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.93%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 14:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.69%EV -10.32%E -3.50%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.16%EV -9.49%E -4.63%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -8.39%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-26 14:54
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -11.84%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -7.28%E -3.47%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -10.93%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-26 14:45
Bet Right🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -11.84%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -9.49%E -4.63%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -10.93%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-26 13:16
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -11.84%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -11.70%E -5.85%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -10.93%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-26 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -12.44%E -4.32%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -7.28%E -3.47%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -13.48%E -3.96%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-26 14:00
Neds🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -12.44%E -4.32%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -7.28%E -3.47%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -13.48%E -3.96%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-26 14:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.51%EV -12.44%E -4.32%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -9.49%E -4.63%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -16.02%E -4.86%K -6.97%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-20 11:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -12.75%E -4.44%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -7.28%E -3.47%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -13.48%E -3.96%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 14:00
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -12.75%E -4.44%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -7.28%E -3.47%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -13.48%E -3.96%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 14:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.76%EV -13.36%E -4.69%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.83%EV -11.70%E -5.85%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.41%EV -12.21%E -3.54%K -4.98%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-26 14:50
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -14.88%E -5.31%K -8.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.37%EV -13.91%E -7.13%K -14.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.72%EV -10.93%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%15.6%2026-07-26 14:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-07-26 14:55
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-07-26 14:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.30%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.77%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.93%1.5%2026-07-26 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.30%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.77%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.93%1.5%2026-07-26 14:55
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 30.08%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.85%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.07%2.3%2026-07-26 14:55