Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

KFUM v Molde

Início: 2026-07-26 15:00 UTC

Final: KFUM 2–4 Molde

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

KFUM (Local)

Previsão 30.40%3.29odd justa
EV -2.41%
Vantagem -0.751%
Kelly -1.09%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.21

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.64%30.40%30.39%31.16%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.803.013.003.2135.71%33.18%33.33%31.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Molde (Visitante)

Previsão 44.15%2.26odd justa
EV -2.87%
Vantagem -1.30%
Kelly -2.39%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.34%44.07%44.17%45.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.952.112.102.2051.28%47.49%47.62%45.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.45%3.93odd justa
EV -2.03%
Vantagem -0.527%
Kelly -0.712%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.72%25.54%25.44%26.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.563.503.8530.30%28.07%28.57%25.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: KFUM (Local): 30.40%; Molde (Visitante): 44.15%; Empate: 25.45%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.93. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.85, com valor esperado de -2.03%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯3.21I 31.15%NM 30.12%EV -2.41%E -0.751%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -4.63%E -2.15%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.11%EV -2.03%E -0.527%K -0.712%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-26 14:56
LowVig.ag🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 30.44%EV -3.32%E -1.04%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.41%EV -3.75%E -1.72%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.15%EV -2.03%E -0.527%K -0.712%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-26 14:40
BetOnline.ag🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 30.44%EV -3.32%E -1.04%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.41%EV -3.75%E -1.72%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.15%EV -2.03%E -0.527%K -0.712%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-26 14:40
BetAnything🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 30.44%EV -3.32%E -1.04%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.41%EV -3.75%E -1.72%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.15%EV -2.03%E -0.527%K -0.712%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-26 14:40
Coolbet🎯3.17I 31.55%NM 30.63%EV -3.63%E -1.14%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.14%EV -2.87%E -1.30%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%EV -2.03%E -0.527%K -0.712%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-26 14:55
GTbets🎯3.16I 31.65%NM 30.39%EV -3.93%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.65%EV -2.87%E -1.30%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.96%EV -5.85%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 14:55
Betsson🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -4.23%E -1.34%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.52%EV -6.40%E -3.02%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -5.85%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 14:45
NordicBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -4.23%E -1.34%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.52%EV -6.40%E -3.02%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -5.85%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 14:45
DraftKings🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -5.07%E -2.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.85%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-26 14:35
BetUS🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -5.07%E -2.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -7.12%E -1.95%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 14:45
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -7.28%E -3.47%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -3.30%E -0.869%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 14:49
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.07%E -2.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.39%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 14:56
Marathon Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -7.28%E -3.47%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -7.12%E -1.95%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 14:55
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -9.49%E -4.63%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.39%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 14:45
Bovada🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -7.28%E -2.39%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -7.28%E -3.47%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -10.93%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 14:54
Betclic (FR)🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 29.69%EV -7.88%E -2.60%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.98%EV -11.70%E -5.85%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.34%EV -9.66%E -2.72%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-26 14:55
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -2.87%E -1.30%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -10.93%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 14:00
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -7.28%E -3.47%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -4.57%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 14:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -7.28%E -3.47%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -5.85%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 13:15
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.28%E -3.47%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.39%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-20 11:05
BetRivers🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.74%EV -5.07%E -2.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -12.21%E -3.54%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-20 11:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.74%EV -5.07%E -2.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -12.21%E -3.54%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-20 11:05
ATG (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.74%EV -5.07%E -2.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -12.21%E -3.54%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-20 11:05
Casumo🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.74%EV -5.07%E -2.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -12.21%E -3.54%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-20 11:05
Unibet (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.74%EV -5.07%E -2.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -12.21%E -3.54%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-20 11:05
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.74%EV -5.07%E -2.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -12.21%E -3.54%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-20 11:05
TABtouch🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.74%EV -5.07%E -2.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -12.21%E -3.54%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-20 11:05
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.74%EV -5.07%E -2.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -12.21%E -3.54%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-20 11:04
Grosvenor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.74%EV -5.07%E -2.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -12.21%E -3.54%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-20 11:05
betPARX🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.74%EV -5.07%E -2.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -12.21%E -3.54%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-20 11:05
Svenska Spel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.74%EV -5.07%E -2.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -12.21%E -3.54%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-20 11:05
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -9.49%E -4.63%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -5.85%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 14:50
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.53%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.03%EV -8.17%E -3.93%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -8.39%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 14:55
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.28%E -3.47%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.93%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-26 14:54
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.28%E -3.47%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.93%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-26 14:50
Codere (IT)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.37%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 43.60%EV -7.72%E -3.70%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.93%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 14:55
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.49%E -4.63%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.39%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-26 14:35
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.49%E -4.63%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.39%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-26 14:35
Everygame🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.49%E -4.63%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.39%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-26 14:35
Virgin Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.91%EV -6.40%E -3.02%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -13.48%E -3.96%K -5.62%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-20 11:05
LiveScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.91%EV -6.40%E -3.02%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -13.48%E -3.96%K -5.62%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-20 11:05
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -11.70%E -5.85%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -8.39%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 14:50
Unibet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -11.70%E -5.85%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.93%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 14:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.69%EV -10.32%E -3.50%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.16%EV -9.49%E -4.63%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -8.39%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-26 14:54
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -11.84%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -7.28%E -3.47%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -10.93%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-26 14:45
Bet Right🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -11.84%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -9.49%E -4.63%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -10.93%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-26 13:16
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -11.84%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -11.70%E -5.85%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -10.93%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-26 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -12.44%E -4.32%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -7.28%E -3.47%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -13.48%E -3.96%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-26 14:00
Neds🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -12.44%E -4.32%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -7.28%E -3.47%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -13.48%E -3.96%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-26 14:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.51%EV -12.44%E -4.32%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -9.49%E -4.63%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -16.02%E -4.86%K -6.97%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-20 11:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -12.75%E -4.44%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -7.28%E -3.47%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -13.48%E -3.96%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 14:00
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -12.75%E -4.44%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -7.28%E -3.47%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -13.48%E -3.96%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 14:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.76%EV -13.36%E -4.69%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.83%EV -11.70%E -5.85%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.41%EV -12.21%E -3.54%K -4.98%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-26 14:50
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -14.88%E -5.31%K -8.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.37%EV -13.91%E -7.13%K -14.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.72%EV -10.93%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%15.6%2026-07-26 14:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-07-26 14:55
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-07-26 14:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.30%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.77%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.93%1.5%2026-07-26 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.30%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.77%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.93%1.5%2026-07-26 14:55
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 30.08%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.85%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.07%2.3%2026-07-26 14:55