Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

KFUM v IK Start

Kickoff: 2026-03-15 16:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

KFUM (Local)

Prediction 47.92%2.09fair odd
EV -0.328%
Edge -0.158%
Kelly -0.303%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.65%48.00%47.95%50.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.921.932.0858.82%51.97%51.81%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

IK Start (Visit)

Prediction 24.02%4.16fair odd
EV +2.07%
Edge +0.487%
Kelly +0.637%
Growth +0.013%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.49%24.07%24.01%26.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.773.704.2528.99%26.54%27.03%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.06%3.56fair odd
EV -0.372%
Edge -0.105%
Kelly -0.146%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.25%27.94%28.04%29.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.303.303.5532.26%30.30%30.30%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: KFUM (Local): 47.92%; IK Start (Visit): 24.02%; Draw: 28.06%. For IK Start (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.16. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.07%.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.02%EV -4.64%E -2.33%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.49%EV +2.07%E +0.487%K +0.637%G +0.013%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.49%EV -9.07%E -2.80%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-15 15:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.02%EV -4.64%E -2.33%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.49%EV +2.07%E +0.487%K +0.637%G +0.013%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.49%EV -9.07%E -2.80%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-15 15:55
Coolbet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.03%EV -5.12%E -2.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 23.23%EV +0.388%E +0.093%K +0.122%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.74%EV -1.78%E -0.507%K -0.710%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-15 08:19
Pinnacle🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.64%EV -2.72%E -1.34%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 23.14%EV +0.388%E +0.093%K +0.122%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.22%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-15 15:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -10.39%E -5.56%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -3.93%E -0.984%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 15:50
GTbets🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.88%EV -7.52%E -3.89%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.70%EV -4.41%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.42%EV -3.46%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 07:09
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.34%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.97%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 15:55
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.88%EV -9.91%E -5.27%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 15:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.80%EV -6.56%E -3.36%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.78%EV -5.86%E -1.49%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -7.95%E -2.42%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 15:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.03%EV -6.56%E -3.36%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -6.34%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -5.98%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 15:55
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -6.56%E -3.36%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.34%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 15:55
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -8.47%E -4.44%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -6.34%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -8.79%E -2.70%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 15:55
BetAnything🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -8.47%E -4.44%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -6.34%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -8.79%E -2.70%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 15:55
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -12.31%E -6.73%K -14.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -6.34%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -1.78%E -0.507%K -0.710%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 07:10
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -6.56%E -3.36%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -6.34%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -13.00%E -4.19%K -6.19%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-15 15:55
Everygame🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.49%EV -8.47%E -4.44%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -6.34%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -13.00%E -4.19%K -6.19%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 15:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -6.56%E -3.36%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.74%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -4.58%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 15:50
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -6.56%E -3.36%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -8.74%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -8.79%E -2.70%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 15:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.97%EV -8.95%E -4.71%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.99%EV -8.74%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.04%EV -8.79%E -2.70%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-15 15:55
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -11.35%E -6.13%K -13.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.74%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -4.58%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-15 07:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.11%EV -16.14%E -9.22%K -21.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.08%EV -8.74%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 26.82%EV -8.23%E -2.52%K -3.63%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-15 15:34
Bet Right🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -8.47%E -4.44%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.94%E -2.65%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -5.98%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 15:50
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.69%EV -11.35%E -6.13%K -13.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -9.94%E -2.65%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-15 13:00
betPARX🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.35%EV -5.60%E -2.84%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -11.14%E -3.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.58%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 15:55
Casumo🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.35%EV -5.60%E -2.84%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -11.14%E -3.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.58%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 15:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.35%EV -5.60%E -2.84%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -11.14%E -3.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.58%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 15:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.35%EV -5.60%E -2.84%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -11.14%E -3.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.58%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 15:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.35%EV -5.60%E -2.84%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -11.14%E -3.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.58%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 15:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.35%EV -5.60%E -2.84%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -11.14%E -3.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.58%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 15:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.35%EV -5.60%E -2.84%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -11.14%E -3.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.58%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 15:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.33%EV -9.91%E -5.27%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.55%EV -11.14%E -3.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -5.98%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-15 15:55
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.65%EV -0.328%E -0.158%K -0.303%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -12.34%E -3.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -5.98%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 15:55
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.65%EV -0.328%E -0.158%K -0.303%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -12.34%E -3.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -5.98%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 15:55
BetRivers🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.12%EV -7.04%E -3.63%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -12.34%E -3.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -0.372%E -0.105%K -0.146%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 07:54
Unibet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.32%EV -6.08%E -3.10%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -12.34%E -3.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -4.58%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 15:55
Grosvenor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -6.56%E -3.36%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -12.34%E -3.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -4.58%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 15:55
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.51%EV -7.52%E -3.89%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -12.34%E -3.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -5.98%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 15:55
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.22%EV -13.75%E -7.64%K -17.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.78%EV -12.34%E -3.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.00%EV -13.00%E -4.19%K -6.19%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-15 15:55
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.56%E -3.36%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -13.54%E -3.76%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 15:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.28%EV -7.99%E -4.16%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -13.54%E -3.76%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 15:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.28%EV -7.99%E -4.16%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -13.54%E -3.76%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 15:55
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.69%EV -5.12%E -2.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -13.54%E -3.76%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -13.00%E -4.19%K -6.19%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-15 15:55
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -8.47%E -4.44%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -13.54%E -3.76%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.19%E -3.19%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-15 15:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -8.47%E -4.44%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -13.54%E -3.76%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.19%E -3.19%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-15 15:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -8.47%E -4.44%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -13.54%E -3.76%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.19%E -3.19%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-15 15:55
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -8.47%E -4.44%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -13.54%E -3.76%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.19%E -3.19%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-15 15:55
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.28%EV -12.31%E -6.73%K -14.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -13.54%E -3.76%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -8.79%E -2.70%K -3.91%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-15 10:55
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.11%EV -10.39%E -5.56%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.47%EV -13.54%E -3.76%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -13.00%E -4.19%K -6.19%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-15 15:55
LeoVegas🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 47.31%EV -9.43%E -4.99%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.19%EV -14.74%E -4.15%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -8.79%E -2.70%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-15 15:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 47.77%EV -11.83%E -6.43%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.76%EV -14.74%E -4.15%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -10.19%E -3.19%K -4.63%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-15 15:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 48.99%EV -18.54%E -10.90%K -26.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.14%EV -17.14%E -4.97%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.87%EV -13.00%E -4.19%K -6.19%G +0.000%20.1%2026-03-15 15:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.90%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60%1.3%2026-03-15 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.90%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60%1.3%2026-03-15 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.90%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60%1.3%2026-03-15 15:55
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 47.90%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60%1.3%2026-03-15 15:55
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 47.95%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.29%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.77%2.2%2026-03-15 15:55