L’École des cotes

KFUM v IK Start

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-15 16:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

KFUM (Local)

Prévision 47.92%2.09cote équitable
EV -0.328%
Avantage -0.158%
Kelly -0.303%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.65%48.00%47.95%50.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.921.932.0858.82%51.97%51.81%48.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

IK Start (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.02%4.16cote équitable
EV +2.07%
Avantage +0.487%
Kelly +0.637%
Croissance +0.013%

avec la cote maximale 4.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.49%24.07%24.01%26.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.453.773.704.2528.99%26.54%27.03%23.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.06%3.56cote équitable
EV -0.372%
Avantage -0.105%
Kelly -0.146%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.25%27.94%28.04%29.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.303.303.5532.26%30.30%30.30%28.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 48.02%EV -4.64%E -2.33%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.49%EV +2.07%E +0.487%K +0.637%G +0.013%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.49%EV -9.07%E -2.80%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-15 15:55
LowVig.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 48.02%EV -4.64%E -2.33%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.49%EV +2.07%E +0.487%K +0.637%G +0.013%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.49%EV -9.07%E -2.80%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-15 15:55
Coolbet1.98I 50.51%NM 49.03%EV -5.12%E -2.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 23.23%EV +0.388%E +0.093%K +0.122%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.74%EV -1.78%E -0.507%K -0.710%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-15 08:19
Pinnacle2.03I 49.26%NM 47.64%EV -2.72%E -1.34%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 23.14%EV +0.388%E +0.093%K +0.122%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.22%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-15 15:55
Tipico (DE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -10.39%E -5.56%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -3.93%E -0.984%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 15:50
GTbets1.93I 51.81%NM 48.88%EV -7.52%E -3.89%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.70%EV -4.41%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.42%EV -3.46%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 07:09
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.34%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.97%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 15:55
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 48.88%EV -9.91%E -5.27%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 15:50
Marathon Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.80%EV -6.56%E -3.36%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.78%EV -5.86%E -1.49%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -7.95%E -2.42%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 15:55
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.03%EV -6.56%E -3.36%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -6.34%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -5.98%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 15:55
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -6.56%E -3.36%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.34%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 15:55
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -8.47%E -4.44%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -6.34%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -8.79%E -2.70%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 15:55
BetAnything1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -8.47%E -4.44%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -6.34%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -8.79%E -2.70%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 15:55
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -12.31%E -6.73%K -14.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -6.34%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -1.78%E -0.507%K -0.710%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 07:10
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -6.56%E -3.36%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -6.34%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -13.00%E -4.19%K -6.19%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-15 15:55
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 47.49%EV -8.47%E -4.44%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -6.34%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -13.00%E -4.19%K -6.19%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 15:55
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -6.56%E -3.36%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.74%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -4.58%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 15:50
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -6.56%E -3.36%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -8.74%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -8.79%E -2.70%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 15:55
Codere (IT)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.97%EV -8.95%E -4.71%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.99%EV -8.74%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.04%EV -8.79%E -2.70%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-15 15:55
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -11.35%E -6.13%K -13.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.74%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -4.58%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-15 07:05
Betclic (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.11%EV -16.14%E -9.22%K -21.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.08%EV -8.74%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 26.82%EV -8.23%E -2.52%K -3.63%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-15 15:34
Bet Right1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -8.47%E -4.44%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.94%E -2.65%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -5.98%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 15:50
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 48.69%EV -11.35%E -6.13%K -13.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -9.94%E -2.65%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-15 13:00
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 47.35%EV -5.60%E -2.84%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -11.14%E -3.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.58%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 15:55
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 47.35%EV -5.60%E -2.84%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -11.14%E -3.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.58%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 15:55
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.35%EV -5.60%E -2.84%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -11.14%E -3.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.58%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 15:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.35%EV -5.60%E -2.84%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -11.14%E -3.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.58%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 15:55
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.35%EV -5.60%E -2.84%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -11.14%E -3.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.58%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 15:55
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.35%EV -5.60%E -2.84%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -11.14%E -3.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.58%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 15:55
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 47.35%EV -5.60%E -2.84%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -11.14%E -3.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.58%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 15:55
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.33%EV -9.91%E -5.27%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.55%EV -11.14%E -3.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -5.98%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-15 15:55
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.65%EV -0.328%E -0.158%K -0.303%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -12.34%E -3.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -5.98%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 15:55
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 45.65%EV -0.328%E -0.158%K -0.303%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -12.34%E -3.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -5.98%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 15:55
BetRivers1.94I 51.55%NM 48.12%EV -7.04%E -3.63%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -12.34%E -3.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -0.372%E -0.105%K -0.146%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 07:54
Unibet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.32%EV -6.08%E -3.10%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -12.34%E -3.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -4.58%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 15:55
Grosvenor1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -6.56%E -3.36%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -12.34%E -3.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -4.58%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 15:55
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 47.51%EV -7.52%E -3.89%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -12.34%E -3.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -5.98%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 15:55
Parions Sport (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.22%EV -13.75%E -7.64%K -17.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.78%EV -12.34%E -3.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.00%EV -13.00%E -4.19%K -6.19%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-15 15:55
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.56%E -3.36%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -13.54%E -3.76%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 15:55
Virgin Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 47.28%EV -7.99%E -4.16%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -13.54%E -3.76%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 15:55
LiveScore Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 47.28%EV -7.99%E -4.16%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -13.54%E -3.76%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 15:55
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 45.69%EV -5.12%E -2.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -13.54%E -3.76%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -13.00%E -4.19%K -6.19%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-15 15:55
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -8.47%E -4.44%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -13.54%E -3.76%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.19%E -3.19%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-15 15:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -8.47%E -4.44%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -13.54%E -3.76%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.19%E -3.19%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-15 15:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -8.47%E -4.44%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -13.54%E -3.76%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.19%E -3.19%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-15 15:55
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -8.47%E -4.44%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -13.54%E -3.76%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.19%E -3.19%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-15 15:55
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.28%EV -12.31%E -6.73%K -14.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -13.54%E -3.76%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -8.79%E -2.70%K -3.91%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-15 10:55
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 47.11%EV -10.39%E -5.56%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.47%EV -13.54%E -3.76%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -13.00%E -4.19%K -6.19%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-15 15:55
LeoVegas1.89I 52.91%NM 47.31%EV -9.43%E -4.99%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.19%EV -14.74%E -4.15%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -8.79%E -2.70%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-15 15:55
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 47.77%EV -11.83%E -6.43%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.76%EV -14.74%E -4.15%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -10.19%E -3.19%K -4.63%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-15 15:55
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 48.99%EV -18.54%E -10.90%K -26.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.14%EV -17.14%E -4.97%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.87%EV -13.00%E -4.19%K -6.19%G +0.000%20.1%2026-03-15 15:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.90%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60%1.3%2026-03-15 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.90%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60%1.3%2026-03-15 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.90%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60%1.3%2026-03-15 15:55
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 47.90%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60%1.3%2026-03-15 15:55
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 47.95%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.29%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.77%2.2%2026-03-15 15:55